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DATA IN. LOCKS OUT.
Welcome to Lock Labs! Scores above 80 = strong pick · Tier S+ = elite · Tap any pick to see the breakdown.
BTS Single 127-72 (63.8%) · Streak: 0 · Parlay: 29-43 (40.3%) · S 10-7 (58.8%) · A 220-104 (67.9%) · B 2515-1336 (65.3%)
← PREV 2026-09-20 ▼ DOWNLOAD TODAY'S HOT BOARD Last scored 10:00 AM ET
Today's Locks
Picks locked 10:00 AM ET
Current Streak
🔥 0
Randy Arozarena
Randy Arozarena
SEASEA vs COLCOL · vs Tomoyuki Sugano · 3:10 PM
Score
90.1
Prob
77%
Tier
S
William Contreras
William Contreras
MILMIL vs BALBAL · vs Brandon Young · 7:20 PM
Score
88.1
Prob
74%
Tier
S
Yesterday's Card
19-9 Record 67.9% Hit Rate 28 Picks
Player Score Tier Line Result
Cody Bellinger 85.0 A 0-for-4 ✗ MISS
Randy Arozarena 84.1 A 1-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Alejandro Kirk 82.5 A 2-for-4 ✓ HIT
William Contreras 82.4 A 1-for-4 ✓ HIT
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 79.0 B 1-for-3 ✓ HIT
Dominic Canzone 79.0 B 1-for-2 ✓ HIT
Bo Bichette 78.0 B 1-for-4, 2K ✓ HIT
Ben Rice 76.3 B 0-for-3, 1K ✗ MISS
Javier Sanoja 75.5 B 0-for-4, 1K ✗ MISS
Corey Seager 75.1 B 1-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Marcus Semien 73.8 B 1-for-3 ✓ HIT
Juan Soto 72.9 B 1-for-5, 3K ✓ HIT
Heriberto Hernández 72.1 B 1-for-4, 2K ✓ HIT
Kazuma Okamoto 71.8 B 1-for-4 ✓ HIT
Pete Crow-Armstrong 71.3 B 0-for-5, 1K ✗ MISS
Elly De La Cruz 70.8 B 0-for-2, 1K ✗ MISS
Francisco Lindor 70.7 B 0-for-4, 1K ✗ MISS
Jackson Merrill 70.7 B 1-for-4, 3K ✓ HIT
Kevin McGonigle 70.6 B 1-for-4 ✓ HIT
Josh Naylor 68.9 B 0-for-4 ✗ MISS
Mauricio Dubón 68.5 B 1-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Leo Bernal 68.5 B 1-for-6, 2K ✓ HIT
Sal Stewart 68.3 B 0-for-4, 2K ✗ MISS
Brandon Lowe 68.2 B 2-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Konnor Griffin 68.2 B 0-for-3 ✗ MISS
Fernando Tatis Jr. 68.1 B 1-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
TJ Rumfield 68.0 B 2-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Joey Ortiz 68.0 B 1-for-3, 1K ✓ HIT
0
🔒 LOCKS
38
TOTAL PICKS
4
S/A TIER
90.1
TOP SCORE
Today's Locks
S
90.1
77% hit prob
SEA vs COL • vs Tomoyuki Sugano (R) • #2 • 3:10 PM projected
🔥 8-game streak L7: .448 (7/7 H) ⚾ Hitter+
112321131 L10
Matchup vs Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP) grades 16/20 — model sees a favorable split here. Hitter-friendly park factor at Coors Field. Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
34.6/35
Contact
18.0/20
Pitcher
16.0/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
4.5/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
1.69
WHIP
0.84
K/9
7.94
H/9
5.3
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
S
88.1
74% hit prob
MIL vs BAL • vs Brandon Young (R) • #3 • 7:20 PM projected
🔥 8-game streak L7: .310 (7/7 H) ⚾ Neutral
112211111 L10
Contreras is scorching — 8 straight games with a hit and a 0.310 L7 average. Contreras has only struck out at a 10% clip over his last 7 games (3 Ks in 29 PAs) — elite contact window. Faces Brandon Young (RHP) on the mound today.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
34.6/35
Contact
20.0/20
Pitcher
13.5/20
Lineup
8.5/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
A
83.6
70% hit prob
TB vs BOS • vs Patrick Sandoval (L) • #3 • 1:40 PM projected
🔥 2-game streak L7: .231 (6/7 H) 🏟 Pitcher+ · 72°F
11111111 L10
Caminero has reached base with a hit in 6 of his last 7 games. Matchup vs Patrick Sandoval (LHP) grades 16/20 — model sees a favorable split here. Hitting 3rd in the order today.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
34.12/35
Contact
18.5/20
Pitcher
16.0/20
Lineup
8.5/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
A
82.5
70% hit prob
SEA vs COL • vs Tomoyuki Sugano (R) • #3 • 3:10 PM projected
🔥 9-game streak L7: .320 (7/7 H) ⚾ Hitter+
122111111 L10
Matchup vs Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP) grades 16/20 — model sees a favorable split here. Hitter-friendly park factor at Coors Field. Hitting 3rd in the order today.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
13.0/20
Pitcher
16.5/20
Lineup
6.5/10
Park
4.5/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
1.69
WHIP
0.84
K/9
7.94
H/9
5.3
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
77.0
68% hit prob
COL vs SEA • vs Kade Anderson (L) • #3 • 3:10 PM projected
🔥 7-game streak L7: .429 (7/7 H) ⚾ Hitter+
13122112 L10
Hitting 3rd in the order today. Rumfield is scorching — 7 straight games with a hit and a 0.429 L7 average. Rumfield is outperforming his xBA by 43 points (0.304 AVG vs 0.260 xBA) — he's finding hits where the data doesn't expect them.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
4.0/20
Pitcher
15.0/20
Lineup
8.5/10
Park
4.5/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
MIA vs SD • vs Walker Buehler (R) • #2 • 4:10 PM projected
🔥 8-game streak L7: .333 (7/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
111111411 L10
Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed. Hernández is scorching — 8 straight games with a hit and a 0.333 L7 average. Hernández's 47.5% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.1/35
Contact
16.5/20
Pitcher
13.5/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
1.5/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
9.45
WHIP
1.95
K/9
10.16
H/9
11.6
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
76.0
68% hit prob
MIA vs SD • vs Walker Buehler (R) • #4 • 4:10 PM projected
L7: .250 (5/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
12212112 L10
Sanoja has only struck out at a 11% clip over his last 7 games (3 Ks in 28 PAs) — elite contact window. Faces Walker Buehler who carries a 9.45 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. Hitting 4th in the order today.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
12.5/20
Pitcher
13.5/20
Lineup
8.5/10
Park
1.5/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
9.45
WHIP
1.95
K/9
10.16
H/9
11.6
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
75.5
68% hit prob
SD vs MIA • vs Sandy Alcantara (R) • #1 • 4:10 PM projected
🔥 3-game streak L7: .267 (6/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
312311111 L10
Faces Sandy Alcantara (RHP) on the mound today. Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed. Jr. is averaging 92.9 mph exit velocity this season with a 54% hard-hit rate.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.02/35
Contact
18.5/20
Pitcher
11.0/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
1.5/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
2.5/5
vs. Pitcher
WHIP
0.56
K/9
6.75
H/9
3.9
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
75.2
68% hit prob
CHC vs CIN • vs Rhett Lowder (R) • #1 • 1:40 PM projected
L7: .219 (2/7 H) ⚾ Hitter+
11143 L10
Hitter-friendly park factor at Great American Ball Park. Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed. Crow-Armstrong's 49.0% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
26.16/35
Contact
18.0/20
Pitcher
17.5/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
4.5/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
3.6
WHIP
1.0
K/9
9.0
H/9
5.4
Last 10 Games 5/10 with a hit
B
75.0
68% hit prob
MIL vs BAL • vs Brandon Young (R) • #5 • 7:20 PM projected
🔥 10-game streak L7: .444 (7/7 H) ⚾ Neutral
1114131111 L10
Ortiz is scorching — 10 straight games with a hit and a 0.444 L7 average. Ortiz is outperforming his xBA by 33 points (0.270 AVG vs 0.237 xBA) — he's finding hits where the data doesn't expect them. Faces Brandon Young (RHP) on the mound today.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
11.0/20
Pitcher
13.5/20
Lineup
5.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
Last 10 Games 10/10 with a hit
B
74.8
68% hit prob
DET vs CWS • vs Davis Martin (R) • #1 • 2:10 PM projected
🔥 4-game streak L7: .370 (6/7 H) ⚾ Neutral
12122221 L10
McGonigle has only struck out at a 7% clip over his last 7 games (2 Ks in 27 PAs) — elite contact window. A 0.370 average in his last 7 — McGonigle's timing is locked in right now. Goes up against Davis Martin (2.45 ERA) today.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
31.32/35
Contact
12.5/20
Pitcher
10.0/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
2.45
WHIP
1.18
K/9
9.82
H/9
7.4
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
74.2
68% hit prob
MIA vs SD • vs Walker Buehler (R) • #2 • 4:10 PM projected
🔥 7-game streak L7: .448 (7/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
21321132 L10
Norby is outperforming his xBA by 34 points (0.245 AVG vs 0.211 xBA) — he's finding hits where the data doesn't expect them. Faces Walker Buehler who carries a 9.45 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
34.2/35
Contact
11.0/20
Pitcher
13.5/20
Lineup
8.0/10
Park
1.5/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
9.45
WHIP
1.95
K/9
10.16
H/9
11.6
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
73.8
68% hit prob
LAA vs MIN • vs Dean Kremer (R) • #4 • 4:07 PM projected
🔥 7-game streak L7: .310 (7/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
111211112 L10
Adell is scorching — 7 straight games with a hit and a 0.310 L7 average. Faces Dean Kremer (RHP) on the mound today. Hitting 4th in the order today.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.3/35
Contact
18.5/20
Pitcher
9.5/20
Lineup
5.5/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
73.6
67% hit prob
SD vs MIA • vs Sandy Alcantara (R) • #5 • 4:10 PM projected
🔥 10-game streak L7: .400 (7/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
4311323111 L10
Faces Sandy Alcantara (RHP) on the mound today. Merrill is scorching — 10 straight games with a hit and a 0.400 L7 average. Merrill's 47.5% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
31.6/35
Contact
18.0/20
Pitcher
11.5/20
Lineup
4.0/10
Park
1.5/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
WHIP
0.56
K/9
6.75
H/9
3.9
Last 10 Games 10/10 with a hit
B
73.5
67% hit prob
MIN vs LAA • vs Ryan Johnson (R) • #1 • 4:07 PM projected
🔥 5-game streak L7: .393 (6/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
1233111 L10
Keaschall has only struck out at a 11% clip over his last 7 games (3 Ks in 28 PAs) — elite contact window. Faces Ryan Johnson who carries a 16.20 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
33.5/35
Contact
7.5/20
Pitcher
15.0/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
16.2
WHIP
3.3
K/9
5.81
H/9
20.3
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
73.4
67% hit prob
MIN vs LAA • vs Ryan Johnson (R) • #4 • 4:07 PM projected
🔥 4-game streak L7: .241 (5/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
221112 L10
Bell has recorded a hit in 5 of his last 7 games. Faces Ryan Johnson who carries a 16.20 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. Hitting 4th in the order today.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
27.92/35
Contact
12.5/20
Pitcher
16.0/20
Lineup
7.5/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
16.2
WHIP
3.3
K/9
5.81
H/9
20.3
Last 10 Games 6/10 with a hit
B
73.0
67% hit prob
COL vs SEA • vs Kade Anderson (L) • #1 • 3:10 PM projected
🔥 3-game streak L7: .321 (5/7 H) ⚾ Hitter+
23122131 L10
McCarthy has only struck out at a 11% clip over his last 7 games (3 Ks in 28 PAs) — elite contact window. Matchup vs Kade Anderson (LHP) grades 15/20 — model sees a favorable split here. Hitter-friendly park factor at Coors Field.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
4.0/20
Pitcher
15.0/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
4.5/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
2.5/5
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
72.7
67% hit prob
MIA vs SD • vs Walker Buehler (R) • #1 • 4:10 PM projected
🔥 3-game streak L7: .296 (5/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
12421221 L10
Faces Walker Buehler who carries a 9.45 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed. Lopez has hits in 3 straight, carrying a 0.296 average over his last 7.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
31.74/35
Contact
9.5/20
Pitcher
13.5/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
1.5/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
2.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
9.45
WHIP
1.95
K/9
10.16
H/9
11.6
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
72.1
67% hit prob
NYY vs AZ • vs Corbin Burnes (R) • #2 • 4:10 PM projected
L7: .333 (5/7 H) 🏟 Hitter+ · 72°F
12221331 L10
Faces Corbin Burnes (RHP) on the mound today. Hitter-friendly park factor at Chase Field. Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
34.12/35
Contact
16.0/20
Pitcher
4.0/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
4.0/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
0/5
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
72.0
67% hit prob
SEA vs COL • vs Tomoyuki Sugano (R) • #6 • 3:10 PM projected
L7: .333 (5/7 H) ⚾ Hitter+
1232221 L10
Naylor is hitting 0.333 over his last 7 (5/7 with a hit). Matchup vs Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP) grades 16/20 — model sees a favorable split here. Hitter-friendly park factor at Coors Field.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
28.04/35
Contact
14.0/20
Pitcher
16.5/20
Lineup
4.0/10
Park
4.5/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
1.69
WHIP
0.84
K/9
7.94
H/9
5.3
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
71.5
67% hit prob
TB vs BOS • vs Patrick Sandoval (L) • #2 • 1:40 PM projected
🔥 7-game streak L7: .286 (7/7 H) 🏟 Pitcher+ · 72°F
11121111 L10
Matchup vs Patrick Sandoval (LHP) grades 16/20 — model sees a favorable split here. Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed. Aranda is scorching — 7 straight games with a hit and a 0.286 L7 average.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
33.0/35
Contact
9.0/20
Pitcher
15.5/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
71.3
67% hit prob
COL vs SEA • vs Kade Anderson (L) • #4 • 3:10 PM projected
🔥 4-game streak L7: .179 (4/7 H) ⚾ Hitter+
111211 L10
Matchup vs Kade Anderson (LHP) grades 16/20 — model sees a favorable split here. Hitter-friendly park factor at Coors Field. Hitting 4th in the order today.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
25.82/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
15.5/20
Lineup
5.5/10
Park
4.5/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
Last 10 Games 6/10 with a hit
B
71.3
67% hit prob
SD vs MIA • vs Sandy Alcantara (R) • #4 • 4:10 PM projected
🔥 4-game streak L7: .484 (6/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
2331323 L10
France has hits in 4 straight, carrying a 0.484 average over his last 7. France is outperforming his xBA by 52 points (0.304 AVG vs 0.251 xBA) — he's finding hits where the data doesn't expect them. France's 48.1% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
28.82/35
Contact
18.0/20
Pitcher
11.0/20
Lineup
5.5/10
Park
1.5/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
WHIP
0.56
K/9
6.75
H/9
3.9
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
71.0
66% hit prob
TOR vs TEX • vs Jacob deGrom (R) • #3 • 2:35 PM projected
🔥 5-game streak L7: .346 (6/7 H) 🏟 Hitter+ · 72°F
121122112 L10
Faces Jacob deGrom who carries a 5.79 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. Hitter-friendly park factor at Globe Life Field. Hitting 3rd in the order today.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
13.5/20
Pitcher
3.5/20
Lineup
6.5/10
Park
4.0/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
5.79
WHIP
1.29
K/9
15.0
H/9
12.9
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
70.7
66% hit prob
NYM vs PHI • vs Cristopher Sánchez (L) • #3 • 1:10 PM projected
🔥 5-game streak L7: .258 (6/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
11131111 L10
Bichette is on a 5-game hit streak, batting 0.258 over his last 7. Goes up against Cristopher Sánchez (0.79 ERA) today. Hitting 3rd in the order today.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
33.7/35
Contact
18.5/20
Pitcher
5.0/20
Lineup
5.5/10
Park
1.5/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
0.79
WHIP
0.97
K/9
13.78
H/9
5.7
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
70.7
66% hit prob
TB vs BOS • vs Patrick Sandoval (L) • #7 • 1:40 PM projected
🔥 2-game streak L7: .333 (5/7 H) 🏟 Pitcher+ · 72°F
11111211 L10
Palacios has only struck out at a 11% clip over his last 7 games (2 Ks in 18 PAs) — elite contact window. Palacios is hitting 0.333 over his last 7 (5/7 with a hit). Matchup vs Patrick Sandoval (LHP) grades 16/20 — model sees a favorable split here.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
28.24/35
Contact
12.5/20
Pitcher
15.5/20
Lineup
6.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
70.6
66% hit prob
TEX vs TOR • vs Spencer Miles (R) • #2 • 2:35 PM projected
🔥 7-game streak L7: .345 (7/7 H) 🏟 Hitter+ · 72°F
21321111 L10
Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed. Seager is scorching — 7 straight games with a hit and a 0.345 L7 average. Seager's 49.1% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
34.6/35
Contact
13.0/20
Pitcher
3.0/20
Lineup
8.0/10
Park
4.0/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
5.79
WHIP
1.5
K/9
10.71
H/9
10.7
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
70.0
66% hit prob
LAD vs SF • vs Matt Wilkinson (L) • #1 • 4:10 PM projected
🔥 3-game streak L7: .481 (5/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
312334 L10
Faces Matt Wilkinson (LHP) on the mound today. Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed. Betts has hits in 3 straight, carrying a 0.481 average over his last 7.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
28.54/35
Contact
14.0/20
Pitcher
10.0/20
Lineup
8.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
2.5/5
Last 10 Games 6/10 with a hit
B
69.9
66% hit prob
PHI vs NYM • vs Jonah Tong (R) • #5 • 1:10 PM projected
🔥 1-game streak L7: .400 (6/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
11221212 L10
Bohm has only struck out at a 4% clip over his last 7 games (1 Ks in 25 PAs) — elite contact window. Bohm is swinging a 0.400 bat over his last 7 games (6/7 with a hit). Matchup vs Jonah Tong (RHP) grades 15/20 — model sees a favorable split here.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
30.42/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
15.0/20
Lineup
4.0/10
Park
1.5/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
0.5/5
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
69.7
66% hit prob
CLE vs ATH • vs Jack Perkins (R) • #2 • 1:40 PM projected
🔥 3-game streak L7: .233 (4/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
111222 L10
Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed. Ramírez's xBA (0.272) outpaces his actual average (0.232) by 40 points — positive regression is coming. Matchup vs Jack Perkins (RHP) grades 16/20 — model sees a favorable split here.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
27.22/35
Contact
11.0/20
Pitcher
16.0/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
2.5/5
Last 10 Games 6/10 with a hit
B
TOR vs TEX • vs Jacob deGrom (R) • #2 • 2:35 PM projected
🔥 3-game streak L7: .308 (5/7 H) 🏟 Hitter+ · 72°F
2114111 L10
Faces Jacob deGrom who carries a 5.79 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. Hitter-friendly park factor at Globe Life Field. Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
29.44/35
Contact
15.0/20
Pitcher
3.5/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
4.0/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
2.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
5.79
WHIP
1.29
K/9
15.0
H/9
12.9
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
69.2
66% hit prob
PIT vs KC • vs Michael Wacha (R) • #5 • 1:35 PM projected
🔥 7-game streak L7: .360 (7/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
221112112 L10
Faces Michael Wacha (RHP) on the mound today. Lowe is scorching — 7 straight games with a hit and a 0.360 L7 average. Lowe is outperforming his xBA by 26 points (0.264 AVG vs 0.238 xBA) — he's finding hits where the data doesn't expect them.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
33.7/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
7.0/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
WHIP
0.67
K/9
10.5
H/9
4.5
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
69.2
66% hit prob
SEA vs COL • vs Tomoyuki Sugano (R) • #5 • 3:10 PM projected
🔥 1-game streak L7: .310 (5/7 H) ⚾ Hitter+
11131122 L10
Hitter-friendly park factor at Coors Field. 5 hits in 7 games and a 0.310 clip — Rodríguez is seeing it well. Matchup vs Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP) grades 16/20 — model sees a favorable split here.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
25.74/35
Contact
18.5/20
Pitcher
16.0/20
Lineup
4.0/10
Park
4.5/5
Discipline
0/5
Momentum
0.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
1.69
WHIP
0.84
K/9
7.94
H/9
5.3
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
69.1
66% hit prob
ATL vs HOU • vs Hunter Brown (R) • #1 • 2:10 PM projected
🔥 2-game streak L7: .367 (6/7 H) ⚾ Neutral
112112223 L10
Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed. Baldwin's 51.1% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. Baldwin has a 12.5% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
33.62/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
6.5/20
Lineup
9.0/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
0.84
WHIP
1.03
K/9
15.0
H/9
4.4
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
69.1
66% hit prob
HOU vs ATL • vs Martín Pérez (L) • #2 • 2:10 PM projected
🔥 5-game streak L7: .300 (5/7 H) ⚾ Neutral
1211211 L10
Faces Martín Pérez (4.0 K/9) — low punchout rate means more balls in play. Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed. Alvarez is on a 5-game hit streak, batting 0.300 over his last 7.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
29.1/35
Contact
12.5/20
Pitcher
8.0/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
3.86
WHIP
0.86
K/9
3.96
H/9
6.9
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
68.5
66% hit prob
CHC vs CIN • vs Rhett Lowder (R) • #5 • 1:40 PM projected
🔥 2-game streak L7: .222 (4/7 H) ⚾ Hitter+
2121212 L10
Hitter-friendly park factor at Great American Ball Park. Hoerner's xBA (0.301) outpaces his actual average (0.265) by 35 points — positive regression is coming. Matchup vs Rhett Lowder (RHP) grades 17/20 — model sees a favorable split here.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
28.04/35
Contact
5.5/20
Pitcher
17.0/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
4.5/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
3.6
WHIP
1.0
K/9
9.0
H/9
5.4
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
68.2
66% hit prob
COL vs SEA • vs Kade Anderson (L) • #6 • 3:10 PM projected
L7: .259 (6/7 H) ⚾ Hitter+
11121111 L10
Matchup vs Kade Anderson (LHP) grades 16/20 — model sees a favorable split here. Hitter-friendly park factor at Coors Field. Karros has reached base with a hit in 6 of his last 7 games.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
29.72/35
Contact
11.5/20
Pitcher
15.5/20
Lineup
4.0/10
Park
4.5/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
0/5
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
68.0
66% hit prob
STL vs WSH • vs Jake Irvin (R) • #9 • 2:15 PM projected
🔥 1-game streak L7: .261 (5/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
1212111 L10
Burleson's 49.3% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. Goes up against Jake Irvin (3.60 ERA) today.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.02/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
13.0/20
Lineup
4.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
0.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
3.6
WHIP
0.8
K/9
12.6
H/9
5.4
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
Power Plays
8 LOCK picks today — extra-base hit props
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