LOCK LABS — Picks 2026-05-28

Player	Score	Tier	Line	Result
William Contreras	87.5	A	0-for-3	✗ MISS
Ketel Marte	75.9	B	2-for-5	✓ HIT
Jackson Chourio	75.2	B	0-for-4, 2K	✗ MISS
Willson Contreras	74.1	B	1-for-5, 2K	✓ HIT
Julio Rodríguez	73.7	B	1-for-5, 1K	✓ HIT
Andy Pages	73.6	B	2-for-4	✓ HIT
Ceddanne Rafaela	72.8	B	3-for-5	✓ HIT
Jake Bauers	72.5	B	0-for-2, 2K	✗ MISS
Alec Bohm	71.8	B	1-for-4	✓ HIT
José Ramírez	71.4	B	0-for-2	✗ MISS
Corbin Carroll	70.6	B	0-for-4, 1K	✗ MISS
Rafael Devers	70.5	B	0-for-4, 2K	✗ MISS
Bobby Witt Jr.	70.0	B	0-for-4, 1K	✗ MISS
Travis Bazzana	69.7	B	2-for-4, 1K	✓ HIT
Shohei Ohtani	69.6	B	1-for-4, 1K	✓ HIT
Spencer Horwitz	69.1	B	1-for-4	✓ HIT
Alex Bregman	68.9	B	2-for-6, 1K	✓ HIT
Kevin McGonigle	68.7	B	2-for-3	✓ HIT
Brandon Nimmo	68.6	B	1-for-4, 1K	✓ HIT
Kyle Schwarber	68.1	B	2-for-4, 1K	✓ HIT
Juan Soto	68.0	B	2-for-3	✓ HIT

🔒 LOCK

A

Kevin McGonigle

84.2

70% hit prob

DET vs

LAA • vs Grayson Rodriguez (R) • #2 • 1:10 PM ✗ MISS

🔥 6-game streak L7: .360 (6/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 70°F · 7mph

111111132 L10

Matchup vs Grayson Rodriguez (RHP) grades 18/20 — model sees a favorable split here. Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed. McGonigle is on a 6-game hit streak, batting 0.360 over his last 7.

0-4

H-AB

1

K

✗ MISS

Score Breakdown

Hit Rate

33.7/35

Contact

12.5/20

Pitcher

18.5/20

Lineup

10.0/10

Park

1.5/5

Discipline

5.0/5

Momentum

5.0/5

Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit

B

Bryan Reynolds

73.6

67% hit prob

PIT vs

CHC • vs Colin Rea (R) • #3 • 6:40 PM projected ✓ HIT · 2H

🔥 5-game streak L7: .375 (5/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+

1121123 L10

Hitting 3rd in the order today. Reynolds is on a 5-game hit streak, batting 0.375 over his last 7. Faces Colin Rea who carries a 6.00 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today.

2-3

H-AB

1

BB

✓ HIT

Score Breakdown

Hit Rate

31.6/35

Contact

16.5/20

Pitcher

11.5/20

Lineup

5.5/10

Park

2.0/5

Discipline

3.0/5

Momentum

3.5/5

vs. Pitcher

ERA

6.0

WHIP

1.33

K/9

12.0

H/9

12.0

Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit

B

Spencer Horwitz

72.5

67% hit prob

PIT vs

CHC • vs Colin Rea (R) • #1 • 6:40 PM projected ✗ MISS

🔥 5-game streak L7: .364 (6/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+

111111221 L10

Horwitz is outperforming his xBA by 48 points (0.286 AVG vs 0.237 xBA) — he's finding hits where the data doesn't expect them. Horwitz has only struck out at a 4% clip over his last 7 games (1 Ks in 22 PAs) — elite contact window. Faces Colin Rea who carries a 6.00 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today.

0-3

H-AB

2

BB

✗ MISS

Score Breakdown

Hit Rate

35.0/35

Contact

9.0/20

Pitcher

11.0/20

Lineup

7.0/10

Park

2.0/5

Discipline

5.0/5

Momentum

3.5/5

vs. Pitcher

ERA

6.0

WHIP

1.33

K/9

12.0

H/9

12.0

Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit

B

Brandon Lowe

71.2

66% hit prob

PIT vs

CHC • vs Colin Rea (R) • #2 • 6:40 PM projected ✗ MISS

🔥 4-game streak L7: .400 (6/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+

121221221 L10

Lowe's 46.4% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. Lowe has a 13.9% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. A 0.400 average in his last 7 — Lowe's timing is locked in right now.

0-3

H-AB

3

K

✗ MISS

Score Breakdown

Hit Rate

29.72/35

Contact

13.0/20

Pitcher

11.0/20

Lineup

10.0/10

Park

2.0/5

Discipline

2.0/5

Momentum

3.5/5

vs. Pitcher

ERA

6.0

WHIP

1.33

K/9

12.0

H/9

12.0

Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit

B

Pete Alonso

70.4

66% hit prob

BAL vs

TOR • vs Patrick Corbin (L) • #4 • 6:35 PM ✓ HIT · 1H

🔥 1-game streak L7: .296 (5/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 75°F · 13mph

321131 L10

Alonso has only struck out at a 11% clip over his last 7 games (3 Ks in 27 PAs) — elite contact window. Alonso is averaging 95.0 mph exit velocity this season with a 55% hard-hit rate. Alonso has a 12.3% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up.

1-4

H-AB

2

K

✓ HIT

Score Breakdown

Hit Rate

26.44/35

Contact

18.0/20

Pitcher

15.0/20

Lineup

5.5/10

Park

2.0/5

Discipline

3.0/5

Momentum

0.5/5

Last 10 Games 6/10 with a hit

B

Taylor Ward

69.3

66% hit prob

BAL vs

TOR • vs Patrick Corbin (L) • #1 • 6:35 PM ✓ HIT · 2H

🔥 1-game streak L7: .179 (5/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 75°F · 13mph

1111111 L10

Ward has recorded a hit in 5 of his last 7 games. Matchup vs Patrick Corbin (LHP) grades 15/20 — model sees a favorable split here. Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed.

2-3

H-AB

1

BB

✓ HIT

Score Breakdown

Hit Rate

27.82/35

Contact

13.0/20

Pitcher

15.0/20

Lineup

10.0/10

Park

2.0/5

Discipline

1.0/5

Momentum

0.5/5

Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit