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DATA IN. LOCKS OUT.
Welcome to Lock Labs! Scores above 80 = strong pick · Tier S+ = elite · Tap any pick to see the breakdown.
BTS Single 127-73 (63.5%) · Streak: 0 · Parlay: 29-43 (40.3%) · S 11-8 (57.9%) · A 222-104 (68.1%) · B 2540-1347 (65.3%)
← PREV 2026-08-12 NEXT → ▼ DOWNLOAD TODAY'S HOT BOARD Last scored 04:00 PM ET
Today's Locks
Picks locked 10:00 AM ET
Current Streak
🔥 2
Pete Alonso
Pete Alonso
BALBAL vs MINMIN · vs Zebby Matthews · 1:40 PM
Score
81.2
Prob
69%
Tier
A
▲ Locked at 80.7 (A) · 10:00 AM ET
✓ HIT
Jac Caglianone
Jac Caglianone
KCKC vs LADLAD · vs Eric Lauer · 10:10 PM
Score
78.6
Prob
69%
Tier
B
✓ HIT
Yesterday's Card
10-9 Record 52.6% Hit Rate 19 Picks
▼
Player Score Tier Line Result
Jake McCarthy 79.5 B 0-for-4 ✗ MISS
Jonathan Aranda 78.5 B 0-for-4 ✗ MISS
Brandon Nimmo 77.4 B 2-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Ryan Jeffers 76.2 B 1-for-5, 1K ✓ HIT
Yandy Díaz 76.1 B 1-for-5 ✓ HIT
Jackson Chourio 74.4 B 0-for-2 ✗ MISS
Jac Caglianone 74.0 B 2-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Pete Alonso 73.7 B 3-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Jake Bauers 73.0 B 0-for-3, 1K ✗ MISS
Justin Crawford 72.9 B 0-for-3 ✗ MISS
Royce Lewis 72.8 B 2-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Josh Bell 71.9 B 0-for-3, 1K ✗ MISS
Brice Turang 71.4 B 1-for-5, 1K ✓ HIT
Iván Herrera 70.3 B 0-for-4, 2K ✗ MISS
Francisco Lindor 68.7 B 1-for-3 ✓ HIT
Cole Young 68.7 B 0-for-4 ✗ MISS
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 68.5 B 1-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Bryson Stott 68.2 B 1-for-3, 2K ✓ HIT
Drake Baldwin 68.0 B 0-for-3, 1K ✗ MISS
0
🔒 LOCKS
17
TOTAL PICKS
1
S/A TIER
81.2
TOP SCORE
11-6
Record
65%
Hit Rate
0
Pending
17
Total Picks
Today's Locks (3 locks)
🔒 LOCK
A
Pete Alonso

Pete Alonso
81.2
69% hit prob
BAL vs MIN • vs Zebby Matthews (R) • #2 • 1:40 PM ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 4-game streak L7: .346 (5/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 86°F · 7mph
1111313 L10
Alonso has hits in 4 straight, carrying a 0.346 average over his last 7. Alonso is averaging 93.8 mph exit velocity this season with a 56% hard-hit rate. Alonso has a 14.3% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up.
2-3
H-AB
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
29.72/35
Contact
20.0/20
Pitcher
17.0/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
🔒 LOCK
B
Yandy Díaz

Yandy Díaz
77.6
69% hit prob
TB vs ATH • vs Jack Perkins (R) • #1 • 3:05 PM ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 3-game streak L7: .303 (4/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 82°F · 5mph
122431 L10
Díaz's 48.1% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. Matchup vs Jack Perkins (RHP) grades 15/20 — model sees a favorable split here. Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed.
2-5
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
24.14/35
Contact
20.0/20
Pitcher
15.0/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
2.5/5
Last 10 Games 6/10 with a hit
🔒 LOCK
B
Jackson Merrill

Jackson Merrill
76.9
68% hit prob
SD vs MIL • vs Dustin May (R) • #5 • 4:10 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 6-game streak L7: .333 (6/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 79°F · 8mph
213211212 L10
Merrill is on a 6-game hit streak, batting 0.333 over his last 7. Merrill's 49.4% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. Merrill has a 12.5% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up.
1-4
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
33.9/35
Contact
16.5/20
Pitcher
13.0/20
Lineup
4.0/10
Park
1.5/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
13.5
WHIP
2.75
K/9
6.75
H/9
22.5
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
Additional picks
B
Gabriel Moreno

Gabriel Moreno
75.4
68% hit prob
AZ vs COL • vs Ryan Feltner (R) • #3 • 3:40 PM ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 6-game streak L7: .370 (6/7 H) 🏟 Hitter+ · 72°F
1312121 L10
Hitter-friendly park factor at Chase Field. Hitting 3rd in the order today. Moreno is on a 6-game hit streak, batting 0.370 over his last 7.
2-5
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
34.9/35
Contact
7.5/20
Pitcher
13.5/20
Lineup
5.5/10
Park
4.0/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
WHIP
0.67
K/9
12.0
H/9
3.0
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
Munetaka Murakami

Munetaka Murakami
75.4
68% hit prob
CWS vs CIN • vs Rhett Lowder (R) • #2 • 7:40 PM ✗ MISS
🔥 4-game streak L7: .179 (5/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 76°F · 6mph
21111111 L10
Murakami has a 18.5% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Matchup vs Rhett Lowder (RHP) grades 16/20 — model sees a favorable split here. Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed.
0-3
H-AB
1
BB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.92/35
Contact
15.0/20
Pitcher
15.5/20
Lineup
8.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
3.6
WHIP
1.0
K/9
9.0
H/9
5.4
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
Jake McCarthy

Jake McCarthy
72.5
67% hit prob
COL vs AZ • vs Merrill Kelly (R) • #1 • 3:40 PM ✗ MISS
L7: .467 (6/7 H) 🏟 Hitter+ · 72°F
211313421 L10
McCarthy is swinging a 0.467 bat over his last 7 games (6/7 with a hit). Faces Merrill Kelly (RHP) on the mound today. Hitter-friendly park factor at Chase Field.
0-4
H-AB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.52/35
Contact
16.0/20
Pitcher
10.0/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
4.0/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
0/5
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
Junior Caminero

Junior Caminero
72.1
67% hit prob
TB vs ATH • vs Jack Perkins (R) • #3 • 3:05 PM ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 2-game streak L7: .185 (4/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 82°F · 5mph
222111 L10
Caminero has a 13.0% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Matchup vs Jack Perkins (RHP) grades 15/20 — model sees a favorable split here. Hitting 3rd in the order today.
2-5
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
24.56/35
Contact
16.5/20
Pitcher
15.0/20
Lineup
8.5/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
Last 10 Games 6/10 with a hit
B
Cole Young

Cole Young
72.1
67% hit prob
SEA vs NYY • vs Will Warren (R) • #2 • 7:05 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
L7: .160 (3/7 H) 🌡 Hitter+ · 85°F · 6mph
124112 L10
Draws Will Warren, who's giving up 11.0 H/9 — hitters are teeing off on him. Hitter-friendly park factor at Yankee Stadium. Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed.
1-4
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
26.64/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
14.0/20
Lineup
8.0/10
Park
4.0/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
2.08
WHIP
1.62
K/9
6.59
H/9
11.0
Last 10 Games 6/10 with a hit
B
Jac Caglianone

Jac Caglianone
78.6
69% hit prob
KC vs LAD • vs Eric Lauer (L) • #3 • 10:10 PM projected ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 10-game streak L7: .481 (7/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
1121124122 L10
Caglianone has a 13.4% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Faces Eric Lauer (4.91 ERA) — a plus matchup by the model. Hitting 3rd in the order today.
1-4
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
34.6/35
Contact
20.0/20
Pitcher
6.5/20
Lineup
7.5/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
4.91
WHIP
1.36
K/9
11.41
H/9
7.6
Last 10 Games 10/10 with a hit
B
Brandon Nimmo

Brandon Nimmo
76.9
68% hit prob
TEX vs LAA • vs George Klassen (R) • #4 • 10:10 PM projected ✗ MISS
🔥 7-game streak L7: .444 (7/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
223211122 L10
Nimmo is scorching — 7 straight games with a hit and a 0.444 L7 average. Nimmo is averaging 92.1 mph exit velocity this season with a 50% hard-hit rate. Faces George Klassen who carries a 6.75 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today.
0-4
H-AB
1
K
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
31.4/35
Contact
12.5/20
Pitcher
18.5/20
Lineup
8.5/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
6.75
WHIP
3.0
K/9
16.36
H/9
12.3
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
Jonathan Aranda

Jonathan Aranda
71.2
66% hit prob
TB vs ATH • vs Jack Perkins (R) • #2 • 3:05 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
L7: .267 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 82°F · 5mph
14112112 L10
Matchup vs Jack Perkins (RHP) grades 16/20 — model sees a favorable split here. Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed. Aranda's 45.7% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud.
1-4
H-AB
2
K
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.22/35
Contact
12.5/20
Pitcher
15.5/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
0/5
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
Royce Lewis

Royce Lewis
70.8
66% hit prob
MIN vs BAL • vs Shane Baz (R) • #2 • 1:40 PM ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 2-game streak L7: .345 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 86°F · 7mph
124112222 L10
Lewis is hitting 0.345 over his last 7 (6/7 with a hit). Faces Shane Baz who carries a 6.75 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed.
2-5
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
33.82/35
Contact
14.0/20
Pitcher
9.5/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
6.75
WHIP
1.31
K/9
7.06
H/9
12.3
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
Otto Lopez

Otto Lopez
70.8
66% hit prob
MIA vs PIT • vs Carmen Mlodzinski (R) • #2 • 6:40 PM ✗ MISS
🔥 3-game streak L7: .267 (5/7 H) 🏟 Neutral · 72°F
1121221 L10
Draws Carmen Mlodzinski, who's giving up 13.2 H/9 — hitters are teeing off on him. Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed. Lopez has only struck out at a 7% clip over his last 7 games (2 Ks in 30 PAs) — elite contact window.
0-5
H-AB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
28.82/35
Contact
14.0/20
Pitcher
8.0/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
2.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
4.15
WHIP
1.38
K/9
17.56
H/9
13.2
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
CJ Abrams

CJ Abrams
69.7
66% hit prob
WSH vs CHC • vs David Peterson (L) • #4 • 6:45 PM ✗ MISS
🔥 4-game streak L7: .312 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 85°F · 5mph
1231211 L10
Hitting 4th in the order today. Abrams has hits in 4 straight, carrying a 0.312 average over his last 7. Abrams has reached base with a hit in 6 of his last 7 games.
0-3
H-AB
3
K
2
BB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
30.22/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
11.0/20
Lineup
8.5/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
4.66
WHIP
1.97
K/9
7.83
H/9
14.7
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
Jared Young

Jared Young
69.0
66% hit prob
NYM vs ATL • vs Tyler Mahle (R) • #6 • 7:15 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 2-game streak L7: .360 (5/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 88°F · 7mph
1121132 L10
A 0.360 average in his last 7 — Young's timing is locked in right now. Draws Tyler Mahle, who's giving up 11.2 H/9 — hitters are teeing off on him. Young's 46.8% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud.
1-4
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
29.02/35
Contact
16.0/20
Pitcher
8.5/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
4.5
WHIP
1.5
K/9
11.25
H/9
11.2
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
Randy Arozarena

Randy Arozarena
68.6
66% hit prob
SEA vs NYY • vs Will Warren (R) • #3 • 7:05 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 1-game streak L7: .185 (4/7 H) 🌡 Hitter+ · 85°F · 6mph
211211 L10
Draws Will Warren, who's giving up 11.0 H/9 — hitters are teeing off on him. Hitter-friendly park factor at Yankee Stadium. Hitting 3rd in the order today.
1-4
H-AB
1
K
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
24.56/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
13.5/20
Lineup
8.5/10
Park
4.0/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
0.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
2.08
WHIP
1.62
K/9
6.59
H/9
11.0
Last 10 Games 6/10 with a hit
B
Francisco Lindor

Francisco Lindor
68.2
66% hit prob
NYM vs ATL • vs Tyler Mahle (R) • #2 • 7:15 PM ✗ MISS
🔥 6-game streak L7: .321 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 88°F · 7mph
21211131 L10
Lindor is on a 6-game hit streak, batting 0.321 over his last 7. Lindor's 48.7% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. Draws Tyler Mahle, who's giving up 11.2 H/9 — hitters are teeing off on him.
0-4
H-AB
1
K
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
30.7/35
Contact
10.5/20
Pitcher
9.0/20
Lineup
8.0/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
4.5
WHIP
1.5
K/9
11.25
H/9
11.2
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
Power Plays
8 LOCK picks today — extra-base hit props
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