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DATA IN. LOCKS OUT.
Welcome to Lock Labs! Scores above 80 = strong pick · Tier S+ = elite · Tap any pick to see the breakdown.
BTS Single 127-72 (63.8%) · Streak: 0 · Parlay: 29-43 (40.3%) · S 10-7 (58.8%) · A 220-104 (67.9%) · B 2515-1336 (65.3%)
← PREV 2026-09-17 NEXT → ▼ DOWNLOAD TODAY'S HOT BOARD Last scored 04:00 PM ET
Today's Locks
Picks locked 1:00 PM ET
Current Streak
🔥 0
Junior Caminero
Junior Caminero
TBTB vs ATH · vs Jeffrey Springs · 1:10 PM
Score
83.4
Prob
70%
Tier
A
✗ MISS
Jackson Merrill
Jackson Merrill
SDSD vs COLCOL · vs Tanner Gordon · 3:10 PM
Score
82.4
Prob
69%
Tier
A
✓ HIT
Yesterday's Card
28-17 Record 62.2% Hit Rate 45 Picks
▼
Player Score Tier Line Result
Cody Bellinger 83.0 A 3-for-5 ✓ HIT
Fernando Tatis Jr. 82.0 A 0-for-4, 1K ✗ MISS
Junior Caminero 81.5 A 1-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Randy Arozarena 79.9 B 1-for-3, 1K ✓ HIT
Coby Mayo 79.9 B 0-for-3 ✗ MISS
Javier Sanoja 79.0 B 1-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Leo Bernal 78.7 B 1-for-5, 2K ✓ HIT
Alec Burleson 78.4 B 1-for-5, 2K ✓ HIT
Dominic Canzone 78.0 B 1-for-3 ✓ HIT
Bobby Witt Jr. 77.7 B 0-for-3, 1K ✗ MISS
William Contreras 76.0 B 1-for-5, 1K ✓ HIT
Bryce Eldridge 76.0 B 0-for-3, 1K ✗ MISS
Carter Jensen 75.3 B 1-for-4 ✓ HIT
Yandy Díaz 74.9 B 0-for-4 ✗ MISS
Randal Grichuk 74.1 B 2-for-5, 1K ✓ HIT
Kazuma Okamoto 73.9 B 0-for-3, 1K ✗ MISS
Ben Rice 73.8 B 1-for-3, 1K ✓ HIT
Thomas Saggese 73.4 B 1-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Elly De La Cruz 73.1 B 1-for-3 ✓ HIT
Jackson Merrill 72.9 B 3-for-5, 2K ✓ HIT
Pete Alonso 72.6 B 1-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Shea Langeliers 72.6 B 1-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 72.3 B 1-for-3 ✓ HIT
Vinnie Pasquantino 71.3 B 0-for-4 ✗ MISS
Steven Kwan 70.9 B 0-for-3 ✗ MISS
Roman Anthony 70.9 B 0-for-3, 1K ✗ MISS
Juan Soto 70.8 B 0-for-4 ✗ MISS
Bo Bichette 70.6 B 1-for-4, 2K ✓ HIT
Pete Crow-Armstrong 70.6 B 3-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Salvador Perez 70.2 B 0-for-5, 1K ✗ MISS
Marcus Semien 70.2 B 1-for-4 ✓ HIT
Travis Bazzana 69.6 B 0-for-4 ✗ MISS
George Springer 69.2 B 1-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Manny Machado 69.1 B 1-for-5, 1K ✓ HIT
Max Clark 69.0 B 1-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Riley Greene 68.9 B 1-for-4 ✓ HIT
JJ Wetherholt 68.9 B 0-for-3, 1K ✗ MISS
Kevin McGonigle 68.9 B 2-for-5, 1K ✓ HIT
Luis García Jr. 68.7 B 0-for-4, 3K ✗ MISS
Heriberto Hernández 68.7 B 4-for-5, 1K ✓ HIT
Otto Lopez 68.6 B 2-for-5, 1K ✓ HIT
Drake Baldwin 68.5 B 0-for-4 ✗ MISS
Jake McCarthy 68.3 B 0-for-3, 1K ✗ MISS
Spencer Jones 68.2 B 0-for-6, 5K ✗ MISS
Julio Rodríguez 68.0 B 2-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
0
🔒 LOCKS
17
TOTAL PICKS
5
S/A TIER
83.4
TOP SCORE
11-5
Record
69%
Hit Rate
1
Pending
17
Total Picks
Today's Locks (5 locks)
🔒 LOCK
A
Junior Caminero

Junior Caminero
83.4
70% hit prob
TB vs ATH • vs Jeffrey Springs (L) • #3 • 1:10 PM ✗ MISS
🔥 5-game streak L7: .214 (6/7 H) 🏟 Pitcher+ · 72°F
22111111 L10
Caminero has a 12.9% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Faces Jeffrey Springs (1.50 WHIP) — he's been putting baserunners on all season. Hitting 3rd in the order today.
0-3
H-AB
1
K
2
BB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
34.9/35
Contact
20.0/20
Pitcher
11.5/20
Lineup
8.5/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
3.38
WHIP
1.5
K/9
3.53
H/9
8.8
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
🔒 LOCK
A
Jackson Merrill

Jackson Merrill
82.4
69% hit prob
SD vs COL • vs Tanner Gordon (R) • #5 • 3:10 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 7-game streak L7: .531 (7/7 H) 🌡 Hitter+ · 74°F · 2mph
34311323 L10
Merrill is scorching — 7 straight games with a hit and a 0.531 L7 average. Merrill's 47.5% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. Matchup vs Tanner Gordon (RHP) grades 18/20 — model sees a favorable split here.
1-4
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
28.4/35
Contact
20.0/20
Pitcher
18.5/20
Lineup
4.0/10
Park
4.5/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
🔒 LOCK
A
Fernando Tatis Jr.

Fernando Tatis Jr.
81.4
69% hit prob
SD vs COL • vs Tanner Gordon (R) • #1 • 3:10 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
L7: .367 (6/7 H) 🌡 Hitter+ · 74°F · 2mph
13312311 L10
Jr.'s last 7 games: 0.367 AVG with 6 games producing a hit. Matchup vs Tanner Gordon (RHP) grades 18/20 — model sees a favorable split here. Hitter-friendly park factor at Coors Field.
1-4
H-AB
1
K
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
30.42/35
Contact
18.5/20
Pitcher
18.0/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
4.5/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
0/5
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
🔒 LOCK
A
Elly De La Cruz

Elly De La Cruz
81.0
69% hit prob
CIN vs LAD • vs Justin Wrobleski (L) • #2 • 12:40 PM ✗ MISS
🔥 5-game streak L7: .346 (6/7 H) 🌡 Hitter+ · 90°F · 7mph
222122121 L10
Hitter-friendly park factor at Great American Ball Park. Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed. Cruz is on a 5-game hit streak, batting 0.346 over his last 7.
0-4
H-AB
3
K
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
20.0/20
Pitcher
10.5/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
5.0/5
Discipline
0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
6.75
WHIP
1.25
K/9
4.5
H/9
9.0
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
🔒 LOCK
A
Manny Machado

Manny Machado
80.3
69% hit prob
SD vs COL • vs Tanner Gordon (R) • #3 • 3:10 PM ✗ MISS
🔥 4-game streak L7: .138 (4/7 H) 🌡 Hitter+ · 74°F · 2mph
1221111 L10
Machado's xBA (0.250) outpaces his actual average (0.222) by 27 points — positive regression is coming. Matchup vs Tanner Gordon (RHP) grades 18/20 — model sees a favorable split here. Hitter-friendly park factor at Coors Field.
0-3
H-AB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
28.32/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
18.0/20
Lineup
8.5/10
Park
4.5/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
Additional picks
B
Ty France

Ty France
74.8
68% hit prob
SD vs COL • vs Tanner Gordon (R) • #4 • 3:10 PM ✓ HIT · 3H
🔥 1-game streak L7: .321 (4/7 H) 🌡 Hitter+ · 74°F · 2mph
222331 L10
France is outperforming his xBA by 52 points (0.304 AVG vs 0.251 xBA) — he's finding hits where the data doesn't expect them. France's 48.1% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. France is hitting 0.321 over his last 7 (4/7 with a hit).
3-4
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
28.82/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
18.0/20
Lineup
5.5/10
Park
4.5/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
0.5/5
Last 10 Games 6/10 with a hit
B
Dustin Harris

Dustin Harris
74.0
68% hit prob
SD vs COL • vs Tanner Gordon (R) • #2 • 3:10 PM ✓ HIT · 3H
🔥 6-game streak L7: .333 (6/7 H) 🌡 Hitter+ · 74°F · 2mph
1211112 L10
Harris is on a 6-game hit streak, batting 0.333 over his last 7. Harris has only struck out at a 8% clip over his last 7 games (2 Ks in 24 PAs) — elite contact window. Matchup vs Tanner Gordon (RHP) grades 18/20 — model sees a favorable split here.
3-5
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
30.0/35
Contact
4.0/20
Pitcher
18.5/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
4.5/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
Sal Stewart

Sal Stewart
71.7
67% hit prob
CIN vs LAD • vs Justin Wrobleski (L) • #3 • 12:40 PM ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 1-game streak L7: .370 (5/7 H) 🌡 Hitter+ · 90°F · 7mph
122123 L10
A 0.370 average in his last 7 — Stewart's timing is locked in right now. Faces Justin Wrobleski who carries a 6.75 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. Hitter-friendly park factor at Great American Ball Park.
2-4
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
29.24/35
Contact
16.5/20
Pitcher
10.0/20
Lineup
8.5/10
Park
5.0/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
0.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
6.75
WHIP
1.25
K/9
4.5
H/9
9.0
Last 10 Games 6/10 with a hit
B
Xander Bogaerts

Xander Bogaerts
71.7
67% hit prob
SD vs COL • vs Tanner Gordon (R) • #6 • 3:10 PM ✓ HIT · 3H
L7: .296 (5/7 H) 🌡 Hitter+ · 74°F · 2mph
111411 L10
Matchup vs Tanner Gordon (RHP) grades 18/20 — model sees a favorable split here. Hitter-friendly park factor at Coors Field. Quietly productive — Bogaerts owns a 0.296 average across his last 7 starts.
3-5
H-AB
2
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
25.74/35
Contact
16.5/20
Pitcher
18.0/20
Lineup
4.0/10
Park
4.5/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
0/5
Last 10 Games 6/10 with a hit
B
Miguel Vargas

Miguel Vargas
71.7
67% hit prob
CWS vs DET • vs Framber Valdez (L) • #3 • 7:40 PM ✗ MISS
🔥 6-game streak L7: .250 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 77°F · 5mph
2111211 L10
Vargas is on a 6-game hit streak, batting 0.250 over his last 7. Vargas's 45.2% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. Vargas has a 13.6% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up.
0-3
H-AB
1
K
1
BB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
34.2/35
Contact
11.0/20
Pitcher
7.5/20
Lineup
8.5/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
1.5
WHIP
1.33
K/9
7.5
H/9
10.5
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
Joey Ortiz

Joey Ortiz
70.5
66% hit prob
MIL vs PIT • vs Wilber Dotel (R) • #6 • 12:35 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 7-game streak L7: .444 (7/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 77°F · 5mph
111114131 L10
Ortiz is scorching — 7 straight games with a hit and a 0.444 L7 average. Ortiz is outperforming his xBA by 33 points (0.270 AVG vs 0.237 xBA) — he's finding hits where the data doesn't expect them. Faces Wilber Dotel (RHP) on the mound today.
1-4
H-AB
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
9.0/20
Pitcher
12.5/20
Lineup
5.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
Bo Bichette

Bo Bichette
70.3
66% hit prob
NYM vs PHI • vs Aaron Nola (R) • #3 • 7:15 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 2-game streak L7: .226 (5/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 77°F · 11mph
12111131 L10
Bichette has recorded a hit in 5 of his last 7 games. Faces Aaron Nola who carries a 5.40 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. Hitting 3rd in the order today.
1-4
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
30.34/35
Contact
18.5/20
Pitcher
10.5/20
Lineup
5.5/10
Park
1.0/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
5.4
WHIP
1.4
K/9
12.6
H/9
9.0
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
Yandy Díaz

Yandy Díaz
70.0
66% hit prob
TB vs ATH • vs Jeffrey Springs (L) • #1 • 1:10 PM ✗ MISS
L7: .138 (3/7 H) 🏟 Pitcher+ · 72°F
22112 L10
Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed. Díaz's 48.5% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. Faces Jeffrey Springs (1.50 WHIP) — he's been putting baserunners on all season.
0-5
H-AB
2
K
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
24.48/35
Contact
18.0/20
Pitcher
11.5/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
3.38
WHIP
1.5
K/9
3.53
H/9
8.8
Last 10 Games 5/10 with a hit
B
Jo Adell

Jo Adell
69.7
66% hit prob
LAA vs MIN • vs Taj Bradley (R) • #3 • 9:38 PM projected
🔥 5-game streak L7: .241 (6/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
21112111 L10
Adell is on a 5-game hit streak, batting 0.241 over his last 7. Goes up against Taj Bradley (0.87 ERA) today. Hitting 3rd in the order today.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
30.7/35
Contact
18.5/20
Pitcher
8.5/20
Lineup
5.5/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
0.87
WHIP
1.16
K/9
10.69
H/9
7.1
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
Konnor Griffin

Konnor Griffin
69.5
66% hit prob
PIT vs MIL • vs Kyle Harrison (L) • #1 • 12:35 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 3-game streak L7: .226 (5/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 77°F · 5mph
212112 L10
Goes up against Kyle Harrison (2.61 ERA) today. Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed. Griffin is outperforming his xBA by 34 points (0.269 AVG vs 0.235 xBA) — he's finding hits where the data doesn't expect them.
1-4
H-AB
1
K
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
29.52/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
11.0/20
Lineup
8.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
2.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
2.61
WHIP
0.97
K/9
12.48
H/9
6.2
Last 10 Games 6/10 with a hit
B
Brandon Lowe

Brandon Lowe
69.3
66% hit prob
PIT vs MIL • vs Kyle Harrison (L) • #5 • 12:35 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 4-game streak L7: .346 (6/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 77°F · 5mph
12221112 L10
Lowe's 45.6% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. Lowe has reached base with a hit in 6 of his last 7 games. Goes up against Kyle Harrison (2.61 ERA) today.
1-2
H-AB
1
K
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
31.32/35
Contact
15.0/20
Pitcher
10.5/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
2.61
WHIP
0.97
K/9
12.48
H/9
6.2
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
Kevin McGonigle

Kevin McGonigle
68.0
66% hit prob
DET vs CWS • vs Erick Fedde (R) • #1 • 7:40 PM projected ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 1-game streak L7: .296 (5/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 77°F · 5mph
1212122 L10
Faces Erick Fedde who carries a 5.40 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed. Quietly productive — McGonigle owns a 0.296 average across his last 7 starts.
2-4
H-AB
1
K
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
29.02/35
Contact
11.0/20
Pitcher
10.0/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
0.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
5.4
WHIP
1.4
K/9
7.2
H/9
10.8
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
Power Plays
9 LOCK picks today — extra-base hit props
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