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DATA IN. LOCKS OUT.
Welcome to Lock Labs! Scores above 80 = strong pick · Tier S+ = elite · Tap any pick to see the breakdown.
BTS Single 24-6 (80.0%) · Streak: 1 · Parlay: 9-4 (69.2%) · S 1-1 (50.0%) · A 31-12 (72.1%) · B 247-121 (67.1%)

Power Plays

BETA

Highest conviction 2+ total base picks. LOCK tier only — pitcher form + boost required.

XBH Record
7-4 64%
2+ TB Record
7-4 64%
Graded
11 picks L1
← PREV 2026-04-08 NEXT →
Last scored 09:03 PM ET
⚡
No LOCK picks for 2026-04-08.
LOCK picks require pitcher form + boost on top of elevated power metrics. Not every day qualifies.
Recent Results (last 20 graded)
✗
Aaron Judge
Aaron Judge
2026-04-23 — NYY NYY vs BOS BOS
No XBH
1 TB
✗
Drake Baldwin
Drake Baldwin
2026-04-23 — ATL ATL vs WSH WSH
No XBH
1 TB
✓
Matt Olson
Matt Olson
2026-04-23 — ATL ATL vs WSH WSH
2B
4 TB
✓
Ian Happ
Ian Happ
2026-04-23 — CHC CHC vs PHI PHI
HR
5 TB
✓
Yordan Alvarez
Yordan Alvarez
2026-04-22 — HOU HOU vs CLE CLE
HR
6 TB
✓
Drake Baldwin
Drake Baldwin
2026-04-22 — ATL ATL vs WSH WSH
HR
5 TB
✓
Matt Olson
Matt Olson
2026-04-22 — ATL ATL vs WSH WSH
HR
4 TB
✗
Ramón Laureano
Ramón Laureano
2026-04-22 — SD SD vs COL COL
No XBH
0 TB
✓
Carter Jensen
Carter Jensen
2026-04-22 — KC KC vs BAL BAL
HR
5 TB
✗
Daulton Varsho
Daulton Varsho
2026-04-22 — TOR TOR vs LAA LAA
No XBH
1 TB
✓
Zach Neto
Zach Neto
2026-04-22 — LAA LAA vs TOR TOR
2B
2 TB

Home Run Picks

BETA

Separate model — HR rate × pitcher xSLG × max exit velo. BOMB = base + boost (temp, pitcher form, or platoon).

BOMB
44-169 (21%)
ELITE
13-47 (22%)
Nick Kurtz
NK
Nick Kurtz BOMB
ATH vs NYY NYY vs Will Warren platoon
HR prob
27%
✗ No HR
Brandon Lowe
BL
PIT PIT vs SD SD vs Michael King platoon
HR prob
24%
✗ No HR
Kerry Carpenter
KC
DET DET vs MIN MIN vs Bailey Ober platoon
HR prob
24%
✗ No HR
Riley Greene
RG
DET DET vs MIN MIN vs Bailey Ober platoon
HR prob
24%
✗ No HR
Isaac Paredes
IP
HOU HOU vs COL COL vs Michael Lorenzen pitcher_form
HR prob
22%
✗ No HR
James Wood
JW
James Wood BOMB
WSH WSH vs STL STL vs Michael McGreevy platoon
HR prob
21%
✗ No HR
Junior Caminero
JC
TB TB vs CHC CHC vs Colin Rea
HR prob
27%
✗ No HR
Taylor Ward
TW
Taylor Ward ELITE
BAL BAL vs CWS CWS vs Sean Burke
HR prob
24%
✗ No HR
Pete Alonso
PA
Pete Alonso ELITE
BAL BAL vs CWS CWS vs Sean Burke
HR prob
24%
✗ No HR
Jahmai Jones
JJ
Jahmai Jones ELITE
DET DET vs MIN MIN vs Bailey Ober
HR prob
24%
✗ No HR
Shea Langeliers
SL
ATH vs NYY NYY vs Will Warren
HR prob
24%
✗ No HR
Spencer Torkelson
ST
DET DET vs MIN MIN vs Bailey Ober
HR prob
24%
✗ No HR
Joey Wiemer
JW
Joey Wiemer ELITE
WSH WSH vs STL STL vs Michael McGreevy
HR prob
24%
Tyler O'Neill
TO
BAL BAL vs CWS CWS vs Sean Burke
HR prob
21%
✗ No HR
Ramón Laureano
RL
SD SD vs PIT PIT vs Mitch Keller
HR prob
21%
✗ No HR
Carson Williams
CW
TB TB vs CHC CHC vs Colin Rea
HR prob
21%
How picks are filtered
2+ TB: ISO×pxSLG ≥ .100 + pitcher L3 XBH rate ≥ .08 + boost flag. ~48% XBH hit rate vs ~29% implied.
HR: HR rate ≥ .049 + pitcher xSLG ≥ .420 + max EV ≥ 101. BOMB = base + boost. ~27% HR vs ~20-25% implied.
LOCK LABS — Data In. Locks Out.
For entertainment purposes only. Not financial advice. Must be 21+ and in a legal betting state.
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