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DATA IN. LOCKS OUT.
Welcome to Lock Labs! Scores above 80 = strong pick · Tier S+ = elite · Tap any pick to see the breakdown.
BTS Single 24-6 (80.0%) · Streak: 1 · Parlay: 9-4 (69.2%) · S 1-1 (50.0%) · A 31-12 (72.1%) · B 247-121 (67.1%)

Power Plays

BETA

Highest conviction 2+ total base picks. LOCK tier only — pitcher form + boost required.

XBH Record
7-4 64%
2+ TB Record
7-4 64%
Graded
11 picks L1
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Last scored 02:05 PM ET
⚡
No LOCK picks for 2026-04-12.
LOCK picks require pitcher form + boost on top of elevated power metrics. Not every day qualifies.
Recent Results (last 20 graded)
✗
Aaron Judge
Aaron Judge
2026-04-23 — NYY NYY vs BOS BOS
No XBH
1 TB
✗
Drake Baldwin
Drake Baldwin
2026-04-23 — ATL ATL vs WSH WSH
No XBH
1 TB
✓
Matt Olson
Matt Olson
2026-04-23 — ATL ATL vs WSH WSH
2B
4 TB
✓
Ian Happ
Ian Happ
2026-04-23 — CHC CHC vs PHI PHI
HR
5 TB
✓
Yordan Alvarez
Yordan Alvarez
2026-04-22 — HOU HOU vs CLE CLE
HR
6 TB
✓
Drake Baldwin
Drake Baldwin
2026-04-22 — ATL ATL vs WSH WSH
HR
5 TB
✓
Matt Olson
Matt Olson
2026-04-22 — ATL ATL vs WSH WSH
HR
4 TB
✗
Ramón Laureano
Ramón Laureano
2026-04-22 — SD SD vs COL COL
No XBH
0 TB
✓
Carter Jensen
Carter Jensen
2026-04-22 — KC KC vs BAL BAL
HR
5 TB
✗
Daulton Varsho
Daulton Varsho
2026-04-22 — TOR TOR vs LAA LAA
No XBH
1 TB
✓
Zach Neto
Zach Neto
2026-04-22 — LAA LAA vs TOR TOR
2B
2 TB

Home Run Picks

BETA

Separate model — HR rate × pitcher xSLG × max exit velo. BOMB = base + boost (temp, pitcher form, or platoon).

BOMB
44-169 (21%)
ELITE
13-47 (22%)
Cal Raleigh
CR
SEA SEA vs HOU HOU vs Cody Bolton pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
29%
✗ No HR
Matt Wallner
MW
MIN MIN vs TOR TOR vs Max Scherzer pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
29%
✗ No HR
Byron Buxton
BB
MIN MIN vs TOR TOR vs Max Scherzer pitcher_form
HR prob
28%
Rafael Devers
RD
SF SF vs BAL BAL vs Cade Povich pitcher_form
HR prob
28%
✗ No HR
Kyle Schwarber
KS
PHI PHI vs AZ AZ vs Zac Gallen platoon
HR prob
27%
✗ No HR
Juan Soto
JS
Juan Soto BOMB
NYM NYM vs ATH vs Aaron Civale platoon
HR prob
27%
Corey Seager
CS
TEX TEX vs LAD LAD vs Roki Sasaki pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
26%
✗ No HR
Willy Adames
WA
SF SF vs BAL BAL vs Cade Povich pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
26%
✗ No HR
Kody Clemens
KC
MIN MIN vs TOR TOR vs Max Scherzer pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
26%
✓ HOME RUN!
Rob Refsnyder
RR
SEA SEA vs HOU HOU vs Cody Bolton pitcher_form
HR prob
25%
Julio Rodríguez
JR
SEA SEA vs HOU HOU vs Cody Bolton pitcher_form
HR prob
25%
✗ No HR
Ramón Laureano
RL
SD SD vs COL COL vs Kyle Freeland platoon
HR prob
24%
✓ HOME RUN!
Brandon Lowe
BL
PIT PIT vs CHC CHC vs Jameson Taillon platoon
HR prob
24%
✓ HOME RUN! 2 HR
Kerry Carpenter
KC
DET DET vs MIA MIA vs Sandy Alcantara platoon
HR prob
24%
✓ HOME RUN!
Riley Greene
RG
DET DET vs MIA MIA vs Sandy Alcantara platoon
HR prob
24%
✗ No HR
Mickey Moniak
MM
COL COL vs SD SD vs Nick Pivetta pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
23%
✗ No HR
Hunter Goodman
HG
COL COL vs SD SD vs Nick Pivetta pitcher_form
HR prob
22%
✗ No HR
Bryce Harper
BH
PHI PHI vs AZ AZ vs Zac Gallen platoon
HR prob
21%
✗ No HR
Christian Yelich
CY
MIL MIL vs WSH WSH vs Zack Littell platoon
HR prob
21%
✗ No HR
Jorge Polanco
JP
NYM NYM vs ATH vs Aaron Civale platoon
HR prob
21%
✗ No HR
Gary Sánchez
GS
MIL MIL vs WSH WSH vs Zack Littell
HR prob
24%
✓ HOME RUN!
Jahmai Jones
JJ
Jahmai Jones ELITE
DET DET vs MIA MIA vs Sandy Alcantara
HR prob
21%
Dylan Moore
DM
Dylan Moore ELITE
PHI PHI vs AZ AZ vs Zac Gallen
HR prob
21%
Spencer Torkelson
ST
DET DET vs MIA MIA vs Sandy Alcantara
HR prob
21%
✗ No HR
How picks are filtered
2+ TB: ISO×pxSLG ≥ .100 + pitcher L3 XBH rate ≥ .08 + boost flag. ~48% XBH hit rate vs ~29% implied.
HR: HR rate ≥ .049 + pitcher xSLG ≥ .420 + max EV ≥ 101. BOMB = base + boost. ~27% HR vs ~20-25% implied.
LOCK LABS — Data In. Locks Out.
For entertainment purposes only. Not financial advice. Must be 21+ and in a legal betting state.
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