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DATA IN. LOCKS OUT.
Welcome to Lock Labs! Scores above 80 = strong pick · Tier S+ = elite · Tap any pick to see the breakdown.
BTS Single 22-6 (78.6%) · Streak: 0 · Parlay: 8-4 (66.7%) · S 1-1 (50.0%) · A 28-12 (70.0%) · B 232-117 (66.5%)

Power Plays

BETA

Highest conviction 2+ total base picks. LOCK tier only — pitcher form + boost required.

XBH Record
5-2 71%
2+ TB Record
5-2 71%
Graded
7 picks W2
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Last scored 09:00 PM ET
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No LOCK picks for 2026-04-18.
LOCK picks require pitcher form + boost on top of elevated power metrics. Not every day qualifies.
Recent Results (last 20 graded)
✓
Yordan Alvarez
Yordan Alvarez
2026-04-22 — HOU HOU vs CLE CLE
HR
6 TB
✓
Drake Baldwin
Drake Baldwin
2026-04-22 — ATL ATL vs WSH WSH
HR
5 TB
✓
Matt Olson
Matt Olson
2026-04-22 — ATL ATL vs WSH WSH
HR
4 TB
✗
Ramón Laureano
Ramón Laureano
2026-04-22 — SD SD vs COL COL
No XBH
0 TB
✓
Carter Jensen
Carter Jensen
2026-04-22 — KC KC vs BAL BAL
HR
5 TB
✗
Daulton Varsho
Daulton Varsho
2026-04-22 — TOR TOR vs LAA LAA
No XBH
1 TB
✓
Zach Neto
Zach Neto
2026-04-22 — LAA LAA vs TOR TOR
2B
2 TB

Home Run Picks

BETA

Separate model — HR rate × pitcher xSLG × max exit velo. BOMB = base + boost (temp, pitcher form, or platoon).

BOMB
42-161 (21%)
ELITE
13-47 (22%)
Mike Trout
MT
Mike Trout BOMB
LAA LAA vs SD SD vs Germán Márquez temp pitcher_form
HR prob
31%
✗ No HR
Jo Adell
JA
Jo Adell BOMB
LAA LAA vs SD SD vs Germán Márquez temp pitcher_form
HR prob
31%
✗ No HR
Zach Neto
ZN
Zach Neto BOMB
LAA LAA vs SD SD vs Germán Márquez temp pitcher_form
HR prob
28%
✗ No HR
Nick Kurtz
NK
Nick Kurtz BOMB
ATH vs CWS CWS vs Erick Fedde platoon
HR prob
27%
✓ HOME RUN!
Ketel Marte
KM
AZ AZ vs TOR TOR vs Max Scherzer pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
26%
✗ No HR
Corbin Carroll
CC
AZ AZ vs TOR TOR vs Max Scherzer pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
26%
✓ HOME RUN!
Ramón Laureano
RL
SD SD vs LAA LAA vs Yusei Kikuchi temp pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
26%
✗ No HR
Vinnie Pasquantino
VP
KC KC vs NYY NYY vs Will Warren platoon
HR prob
21%
✗ No HR
Carter Jensen
CJ
KC KC vs NYY NYY vs Will Warren platoon
HR prob
21%
✓ HOME RUN!
Shea Langeliers
SL
ATH vs CWS CWS vs Erick Fedde
HR prob
27%
✗ No HR
Gary Sánchez
GS
MIL MIL vs MIA MIA vs Sandy Alcantara
HR prob
21%
✗ No HR
How picks are filtered
2+ TB: ISO×pxSLG ≥ .100 + pitcher L3 XBH rate ≥ .08 + boost flag. ~48% XBH hit rate vs ~29% implied.
HR: HR rate ≥ .049 + pitcher xSLG ≥ .420 + max EV ≥ 101. BOMB = base + boost. ~27% HR vs ~20-25% implied.
LOCK LABS — Data In. Locks Out.
For entertainment purposes only. Not financial advice. Must be 21+ and in a legal betting state.
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