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DATA IN. LOCKS OUT.
Welcome to Lock Labs! Scores above 80 = strong pick · Tier S+ = elite · Tap any pick to see the breakdown.
BTS Single 60-34 (63.8%) · Streak: 0 · Parlay: 15-24 (38.5%) · S 6-5 (54.5%) · A 110-46 (70.5%) · B 1040-551 (65.4%)

Power Plays

BETA

Highest conviction 2+ total base picks. LOCK tier only — pitcher form + boost required.

XBH Record
104-184 36%
2+ TB Record
131-157 45%
Graded
288 picks L1
← PREV 2026-04-26 NEXT →
Last scored 04:00 PM ET
Matt Olson
MO
Matt Olson LOCK
ATL ATL vs PHI PHI vs Aaron Nola 1:35 PM ET platoon confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Elite power numbers from Olson: .290 ISO and a 112 mph max exit velo this season. Aaron Nola's last 3 starts show a 8% XBH rate — he's been hittable for power. Gets an extra edge from platoon advantage.
✓ HR 4 TB
Wilyer Abreu
WA
BOS BOS vs BAL BAL vs Kyle Bradish 1:35 PM ET platoon park confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Abreu's .428 ISO puts him in the top tier of power hitters on today's slate. Kyle Bradish's last 3 starts show a 8% XBH rate — he's been hittable for power. Stacking boosts: platoon advantage and park factor 1.07x.
✗ No XBH 1 TB
Drake Baldwin
DB
ATL ATL vs PHI PHI vs Aaron Nola 1:35 PM ET platoon confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Baldwin is one of the most dangerous power bats in baseball right now — .325 ISO with 110 mph max exit velo. Aaron Nola's last 3 starts show a 8% XBH rate — he's been hittable for power. Gets an extra edge from platoon advantage.
✓ 2+ TB 2 TB
Jordan Walker
JW
STL STL vs SEA SEA vs Emerson Hancock 2:15 PM ET temp confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Elite power numbers from Walker: .267 ISO and a 115 mph max exit velo this season. Emerson Hancock has allowed a 10% XBH rate over his last 3 starts — hitters are squaring him up for damage. Gets an extra edge from 77°F game-time temp.
✗ No XBH 1 TB
Cole Young
CY
Cole Young LOCK
SEA SEA vs STL STL vs Michael McGreevy 2:15 PM ET platoon temp confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Elite power numbers from Young: .278 ISO and a 111 mph max exit velo this season. Michael McGreevy's last 3 starts show a 8% XBH rate — he's been hittable for power. Stacking boosts: platoon advantage and 77°F game-time temp.
✓ 2+ TB 2 TB
Recent Results (last 20 graded)
✗
Cole Young
Cole Young
2026-06-09 — SEA SEA vs BAL BAL
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Juan Soto
Juan Soto
2026-06-09 — NYM NYM vs STL STL
No XBH
1 TB
✓
Andy Pages
Andy Pages
2026-06-09 — LAD LAD vs PIT PIT
HR
4 TB
✗
Jared Young
Jared Young
2026-06-09 — NYM NYM vs STL STL
No XBH
0 TB
✗
CJ Abrams
CJ Abrams
2026-06-08 — WSH WSH vs SF SF
No XBH
2 TB
✗
Chase DeLauter
Chase DeLauter
2026-06-08 — CLE CLE vs NYY NYY
No XBH
1 TB
✗
Brice Turang
Brice Turang
2026-06-07 — MIL MIL vs COL COL
No XBH
1 TB
✗
William Contreras
William Contreras
2026-06-07 — MIL MIL vs COL COL
No XBH
2 TB
✗
Matt Olson
Matt Olson
2026-06-07 — ATL ATL vs PIT PIT
No XBH
0 TB
✓
Nick Kurtz
Nick Kurtz
2026-06-07 — ATH vs HOU HOU
HR
4 TB
✗
Cole Young
Cole Young
2026-06-07 — SEA SEA vs DET DET
No XBH
2 TB
✗
Juan Soto
Juan Soto
2026-06-07 — NYM NYM vs SD SD
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Wilyer Abreu
Wilyer Abreu
2026-06-07 — BOS BOS vs NYY NYY
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Jared Young
Jared Young
2026-06-07 — NYM NYM vs SD SD
No XBH
1 TB
✗
Sal Stewart
Sal Stewart
2026-06-07 — CIN CIN vs STL STL
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Cole Young
Cole Young
2026-06-06 — SEA SEA vs DET DET
No XBH
1 TB
✗
Jared Young
Jared Young
2026-06-06 — NYM NYM vs SD SD
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Brandon Lowe
Brandon Lowe
2026-06-06 — PIT PIT vs ATL ATL
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Ryan O'Hearn
Ryan O'Hearn
2026-06-06 — PIT PIT vs ATL ATL
No XBH
1 TB
✗
Oneil Cruz
Oneil Cruz
2026-06-06 — PIT PIT vs ATL ATL
No XBH
0 TB

Home Run Picks

BETA

Separate model — HR rate × pitcher xSLG × max exit velo. BOMB = base + boost (temp, pitcher form, or platoon).

BOMB
152-630 (19%)
ELITE
29-164 (15%)
Jo Adell
JA
Jo Adell BOMB
LAA LAA vs KC KC vs Seth Lugo temp
HR prob
30%
✗ No HR
Daulton Varsho
DV
TOR TOR vs CLE CLE vs Slade Cecconi pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
29%
✗ No HR
Ketel Marte
KM
AZ AZ vs SD SD vs Michael King temp platoon
HR prob
27%
✗ No HR
Nick Kurtz
NK
Nick Kurtz BOMB
ATH vs TEX TEX vs Kumar Rocker platoon
HR prob
27%
✗ No HR
Mike Trout
MT
Mike Trout BOMB
LAA LAA vs KC KC vs Seth Lugo temp
HR prob
27%
✓ HOME RUN!
Rafael Devers
RD
SF SF vs MIA MIA vs Max Meyer platoon
HR prob
24%
✗ No HR
Corbin Carroll
CC
AZ AZ vs SD SD vs Michael King temp platoon
HR prob
24%
✗ No HR
Julio Rodríguez
JR
SEA SEA vs STL STL vs Michael McGreevy temp
HR prob
24%
✗ No HR
José Ramírez
JR
CLE CLE vs TOR TOR vs Patrick Corbin platoon
HR prob
21%
✗ No HR
Will Benson
WB
CIN CIN vs DET DET vs Keider Montero platoon
HR prob
21%
✗ No HR
Austin Wells
AW
NYY NYY vs HOU HOU vs Spencer Arrighetti platoon
HR prob
21%
Ben Rice
BR
Ben Rice BOMB
NYY NYY vs HOU HOU vs Spencer Arrighetti platoon
HR prob
21%
✗ No HR
Giancarlo Stanton
GS
NYY NYY vs HOU HOU vs Spencer Arrighetti
HR prob
27%
Eugenio Suárez
ES
CIN CIN vs DET DET vs Keider Montero
HR prob
27%
Aaron Judge
AJ
Aaron Judge ELITE
NYY NYY vs HOU HOU vs Spencer Arrighetti
HR prob
27%
✓ HOME RUN!
Austin Wynns
AW
Austin Wynns ELITE
ATH vs TEX TEX vs Kumar Rocker
HR prob
27%
Shohei Ohtani
SO
LAD LAD vs CHC CHC vs Shota Imanaga
HR prob
27%
✓ HOME RUN!
Shea Langeliers
SL
ATH vs TEX TEX vs Kumar Rocker
HR prob
27%
✗ No HR
Sal Stewart
SS
Sal Stewart ELITE
CIN CIN vs DET DET vs Keider Montero
HR prob
27%
✗ No HR
Max Muncy
MM
Max Muncy ELITE
LAD LAD vs CHC CHC vs Shota Imanaga
HR prob
24%
Kyle Manzardo
KM
CLE CLE vs TOR TOR vs Patrick Corbin
HR prob
24%
✗ No HR
How picks are filtered
2+ TB: ISO×pxSLG ≥ .100 + pitcher L3 XBH rate ≥ .08 + boost flag. ~48% XBH hit rate vs ~29% implied.
HR: HR rate ≥ .049 + pitcher xSLG ≥ .420 + max EV ≥ 101. BOMB = base + boost. ~27% HR vs ~20-25% implied.
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