Enter Access Code
DATA IN. LOCKS OUT.
Welcome to Lock Labs! Scores above 80 = strong pick · Tier S+ = elite · Tap any pick to see the breakdown.
BTS Single 60-34 (63.8%) · Streak: 0 · Parlay: 15-24 (38.5%) · S 6-5 (54.5%) · A 110-46 (70.5%) · B 1040-551 (65.4%)

Power Plays

BETA

Highest conviction 2+ total base picks. LOCK tier only — pitcher form + boost required.

XBH Record
104-184 36%
2+ TB Record
131-157 45%
Graded
288 picks L1
← PREV 2026-05-04 NEXT →
Last scored 04:00 PM ET
Aaron Judge
AJ
NYY NYY vs BAL BAL vs Shane Baz 7:05 PM ET park confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Elite power numbers from Judge: .278 ISO and a 116 mph max exit velo this season. Shane Baz has been getting crushed for extra-base hits — 13% XBH rate in his last 3 starts. Gets an extra edge from park factor 1.06x.
✓ HR 5 TB
Matt Olson
MO
Matt Olson LOCK
ATL ATL vs SEA SEA vs Logan Gilbert 9:40 PM ET platoon confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Elite power numbers from Olson: .290 ISO and a 112 mph max exit velo this season. Logan Gilbert has allowed a 10% XBH rate over his last 3 starts — hitters are squaring him up for damage. Gets an extra edge from platoon advantage.
✓ HR 4 TB
Drake Baldwin
DB
ATL ATL vs SEA SEA vs Logan Gilbert 9:40 PM ET platoon confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Baldwin is one of the most dangerous power bats in baseball right now — .325 ISO with 110 mph max exit velo. Logan Gilbert has allowed a 10% XBH rate over his last 3 starts — hitters are squaring him up for damage. Gets an extra edge from platoon advantage.
✓ HR 4 TB
Chase DeLauter
CD
CLE CLE vs KC KC vs Michael Wacha 7:40 PM ET platoon park confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Elite power numbers from DeLauter: .468 ISO and a 111 mph max exit velo this season. Michael Wacha has been getting crushed for extra-base hits — 13% XBH rate in his last 3 starts. Stacking boosts: platoon advantage and park factor 1.05x.
Recent Results (last 20 graded)
✗
Cole Young
Cole Young
2026-06-09 — SEA SEA vs BAL BAL
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Juan Soto
Juan Soto
2026-06-09 — NYM NYM vs STL STL
No XBH
1 TB
✓
Andy Pages
Andy Pages
2026-06-09 — LAD LAD vs PIT PIT
HR
4 TB
✗
Jared Young
Jared Young
2026-06-09 — NYM NYM vs STL STL
No XBH
0 TB
✗
CJ Abrams
CJ Abrams
2026-06-08 — WSH WSH vs SF SF
No XBH
2 TB
✗
Chase DeLauter
Chase DeLauter
2026-06-08 — CLE CLE vs NYY NYY
No XBH
1 TB
✗
Brice Turang
Brice Turang
2026-06-07 — MIL MIL vs COL COL
No XBH
1 TB
✗
William Contreras
William Contreras
2026-06-07 — MIL MIL vs COL COL
No XBH
2 TB
✗
Matt Olson
Matt Olson
2026-06-07 — ATL ATL vs PIT PIT
No XBH
0 TB
✓
Nick Kurtz
Nick Kurtz
2026-06-07 — ATH vs HOU HOU
HR
4 TB
✗
Cole Young
Cole Young
2026-06-07 — SEA SEA vs DET DET
No XBH
2 TB
✗
Juan Soto
Juan Soto
2026-06-07 — NYM NYM vs SD SD
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Wilyer Abreu
Wilyer Abreu
2026-06-07 — BOS BOS vs NYY NYY
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Jared Young
Jared Young
2026-06-07 — NYM NYM vs SD SD
No XBH
1 TB
✗
Sal Stewart
Sal Stewart
2026-06-07 — CIN CIN vs STL STL
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Cole Young
Cole Young
2026-06-06 — SEA SEA vs DET DET
No XBH
1 TB
✗
Jared Young
Jared Young
2026-06-06 — NYM NYM vs SD SD
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Brandon Lowe
Brandon Lowe
2026-06-06 — PIT PIT vs ATL ATL
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Ryan O'Hearn
Ryan O'Hearn
2026-06-06 — PIT PIT vs ATL ATL
No XBH
1 TB
✗
Oneil Cruz
Oneil Cruz
2026-06-06 — PIT PIT vs ATL ATL
No XBH
0 TB

Home Run Picks

BETA

Separate model — HR rate × pitcher xSLG × max exit velo. BOMB = base + boost (temp, pitcher form, or platoon).

BOMB
152-630 (19%)
ELITE
29-164 (15%)
Michael Busch
MB
CHC CHC vs CIN CIN vs Chase Petty pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
29%
✗ No HR
Pete Crow-Armstrong
PC
CHC CHC vs CIN CIN vs Chase Petty pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
29%
✗ No HR
Kyle Schwarber
KS
PHI PHI vs MIA MIA vs Janson Junk platoon
HR prob
27%
✗ No HR
Juan Soto
JS
Juan Soto BOMB
NYM NYM vs COL COL vs Tomoyuki Sugano platoon
HR prob
27%
✗ No HR
Rafael Devers
RD
SF SF vs SD SD vs Randy Vásquez pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
26%
✗ No HR
José Ramírez
JR
CLE CLE vs KC KC vs Michael Wacha pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
23%
✗ No HR
Kyle Manzardo
KM
CLE CLE vs KC KC vs Michael Wacha pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
23%
Bryce Harper
BH
PHI PHI vs MIA MIA vs Janson Junk platoon
HR prob
21%
✓ HOME RUN!
Jahmai Jones
JJ
DET DET vs BOS BOS vs Payton Tolle platoon
HR prob
21%
✗ No HR
Spencer Torkelson
ST
DET DET vs BOS BOS vs Payton Tolle platoon
HR prob
21%
✗ No HR
Jo Adell
JA
Jo Adell ELITE
LAA LAA vs CWS CWS vs Davis Martin
HR prob
27%
✗ No HR
Mike Trout
MT
Mike Trout ELITE
LAA LAA vs CWS CWS vs Davis Martin
HR prob
24%
✗ No HR
Kerry Carpenter
KC
DET DET vs BOS BOS vs Payton Tolle
HR prob
24%
✗ No HR
Riley Greene
RG
Riley Greene ELITE
DET DET vs BOS BOS vs Payton Tolle
HR prob
24%
✗ No HR
How picks are filtered
2+ TB: ISO×pxSLG ≥ .100 + pitcher L3 XBH rate ≥ .08 + boost flag. ~48% XBH hit rate vs ~29% implied.
HR: HR rate ≥ .049 + pitcher xSLG ≥ .420 + max EV ≥ 101. BOMB = base + boost. ~27% HR vs ~20-25% implied.
LOCK LABS — Data In. Locks Out.
For entertainment purposes only. Not financial advice. Must be 21+ and in a legal betting state.
Gambling involves risk. Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
© 2026 Lock Labs. All rights reserved.