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DATA IN. LOCKS OUT.
Welcome to Lock Labs! Scores above 80 = strong pick · Tier S+ = elite · Tap any pick to see the breakdown.
BTS Single 89-52 (63.1%) · Streak: 0 · Parlay: 23-32 (41.8%) · S 8-5 (61.5%) · A 165-75 (68.8%) · B 1714-906 (65.4%)

Power Plays

BETA

Highest conviction 2+ total base picks. LOCK tier only — pitcher form + boost required.

XBH Record
213-400 35%
2+ TB Record
268-345 44%
Graded
613 picks W1
← PREV 2026-05-09 NEXT →
Last scored 04:00 PM ET
Nick Kurtz
NK
Nick Kurtz LOCK
ATH vs BAL BAL vs Shane Baz 4:05 PM ET platoon park confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Kurtz's .329 ISO puts him in the top tier of power hitters on today's slate. Shane Baz has been getting crushed for extra-base hits — 16% XBH rate in his last 3 starts. Stacking boosts: platoon advantage and park factor 1.07x.
✓ XBH 4 TB
Chase DeLauter
CD
CLE CLE vs MIN MIN vs Joe Ryan 6:10 PM ET platoon confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Elite power numbers from DeLauter: .468 ISO and a 111 mph max exit velo this season. Joe Ryan has been getting crushed for extra-base hits — 13% XBH rate in his last 3 starts. Gets an extra edge from platoon advantage.
✗ No XBH 0 TB
Recent Results (last 20 graded)
✗
Yordan Alvarez
Yordan Alvarez
2026-07-24 — HOU HOU vs CWS CWS
No XBH
1 TB
✗
CJ Abrams
CJ Abrams
2026-07-24 — WSH WSH vs AZ AZ
No XBH
2 TB
✗
Corbin Carroll
Corbin Carroll
2026-07-24 — AZ AZ vs WSH WSH
No XBH
1 TB
✗
Juan Soto
Juan Soto
2026-07-24 — NYM NYM vs LAD LAD
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Luis García Jr.
Luis García Jr.
2026-07-24 — WSH WSH vs AZ AZ
No XBH
0 TB
✓
Andy Pages
Andy Pages
2026-07-24 — LAD LAD vs NYM NYM
3B
3 TB
✓
Freddie Freeman
Freddie Freeman
2026-07-24 — LAD LAD vs NYM NYM
2B
4 TB
✗
Jose Altuve
Jose Altuve
2026-07-24 — HOU HOU vs CWS CWS
No XBH
3 TB
✓
Kyle Schwarber
Kyle Schwarber
2026-07-24 — PHI PHI vs NYY NYY
2B
2 TB
✓
Munetaka Murakami
Munetaka Murakami
2026-07-24 — CWS CWS vs HOU HOU
2B
2 TB
✓
Jared Young
Jared Young
2026-07-24 — NYM NYM vs LAD LAD
2B
3 TB
✓
Christian Walker
Christian Walker
2026-07-24 — HOU HOU vs CWS CWS
2B
2 TB
✗
Chase DeLauter
Chase DeLauter
2026-07-23 — CLE CLE vs MIN MIN
No XBH
0 TB
✓
Drake Baldwin
Drake Baldwin
2026-07-23 — ATL ATL vs SD SD
HR
4 TB
✗
Matt Olson
Matt Olson
2026-07-23 — ATL ATL vs SD SD
No XBH
0 TB
✓
Corbin Carroll
Corbin Carroll
2026-07-23 — AZ AZ vs STL STL
3B
3 TB
✗
Chase DeLauter
Chase DeLauter
2026-07-22 — CLE CLE vs MIN MIN
No XBH
1 TB
✗
Andy Pages
Andy Pages
2026-07-22 — LAD LAD vs PHI PHI
No XBH
1 TB
✓
Zach Neto
Zach Neto
2026-07-22 — LAA LAA vs STL STL
2B
2 TB
✓
Jackson Merrill
Jackson Merrill
2026-07-22 — SD SD vs ATL ATL
HR
5 TB

Home Run Picks

BETA

Separate model — HR rate × pitcher xSLG × max exit velo. BOMB = base + boost (temp, pitcher form, or platoon).

BOMB
247-994 (20%)
ELITE
40-192 (17%)
Sal Stewart
SS
CIN CIN vs HOU HOU vs Spencer Arrighetti temp
HR prob
30%
✗ No HR
Juan Soto
JS
Juan Soto BOMB
NYM NYM vs AZ AZ vs Merrill Kelly pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
29%
✗ No HR
Kerry Carpenter
KC
DET DET vs KC KC vs Michael Wacha temp pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
29%
✗ No HR
Riley Greene
RG
DET DET vs KC KC vs Michael Wacha temp pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
29%
✗ No HR
Shohei Ohtani
SO
LAD LAD vs ATL ATL vs Spencer Strider platoon
HR prob
27%
✗ No HR
Daulton Varsho
DV
TOR TOR vs LAA LAA vs Jack Kochanowicz platoon
HR prob
27%
✗ No HR
Junior Caminero
JC
TB TB vs BOS BOS vs Payton Tolle platoon
HR prob
27%
Michael Busch
MB
CHC CHC vs TEX TEX vs Jack Leiter pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
26%
✗ No HR
Jahmai Jones
JJ
DET DET vs KC KC vs Michael Wacha temp pitcher_form
HR prob
25%
Spencer Torkelson
ST
DET DET vs KC KC vs Michael Wacha temp pitcher_form
HR prob
25%
✗ No HR
Max Muncy
MM
Max Muncy BOMB
LAD LAD vs ATL ATL vs Spencer Strider platoon
HR prob
24%
✗ No HR
Will Benson
WB
CIN CIN vs HOU HOU vs Spencer Arrighetti temp platoon
HR prob
24%
✗ No HR
Pete Crow-Armstrong
PC
CHC CHC vs TEX TEX vs Jack Leiter pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
23%
✗ No HR
James Wood
JW
James Wood BOMB
WSH WSH vs MIA MIA vs Janson Junk platoon
HR prob
21%
✓ HOME RUN!
George Springer
GS
TOR TOR vs LAA LAA vs Jack Kochanowicz
HR prob
27%
✗ No HR
Taylor Ward
TW
Taylor Ward ELITE
BAL BAL vs ATH vs Aaron Civale
HR prob
24%
✗ No HR
Pete Alonso
PA
Pete Alonso ELITE
BAL BAL vs ATH vs Aaron Civale
HR prob
24%
✗ No HR
Davis Schneider
DS
TOR TOR vs LAA LAA vs Jack Kochanowicz
HR prob
24%
✗ No HR
Joey Wiemer
JW
Joey Wiemer ELITE
WSH WSH vs MIA MIA vs Janson Junk
HR prob
24%
Tyler O'Neill
TO
BAL BAL vs ATH vs Aaron Civale
HR prob
21%
✗ No HR
How picks are filtered
2+ TB: ISO×pxSLG ≥ .100 + pitcher L3 XBH rate ≥ .08 + boost flag. ~48% XBH hit rate vs ~29% implied.
HR: HR rate ≥ .049 + pitcher xSLG ≥ .420 + max EV ≥ 101. BOMB = base + boost. ~27% HR vs ~20-25% implied.
LOCK LABS — Data In. Locks Out.
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