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DATA IN. LOCKS OUT.
Welcome to Lock Labs! Scores above 80 = strong pick · Tier S+ = elite · Tap any pick to see the breakdown.
BTS Single 60-34 (63.8%) · Streak: 0 · Parlay: 15-24 (38.5%) · S 6-5 (54.5%) · A 110-46 (70.5%) · B 1040-551 (65.4%)

Power Plays

BETA

Highest conviction 2+ total base picks. LOCK tier only — pitcher form + boost required.

XBH Record
104-184 36%
2+ TB Record
131-157 45%
Graded
288 picks L1
← PREV 2026-06-05 NEXT →
Last scored 04:00 PM ET
Matt Olson
MO
Matt Olson LOCK
ATL ATL vs PIT PIT vs Mitch Keller 7:15 PM ET platoon temp confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Elite power numbers from Olson: .290 ISO and a 112 mph max exit velo this season. Mitch Keller has allowed a 10% XBH rate over his last 3 starts — hitters are squaring him up for damage. Stacking boosts: platoon advantage and 82°F game-time temp.
✓ 2+ TB 2 TB
Wilyer Abreu
WA
BOS BOS vs NYY NYY vs Ryan Weathers 7:05 PM ET park temp confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Abreu's .428 ISO puts him in the top tier of power hitters on today's slate. Ryan Weathers's last 3 starts show a 9% XBH rate — he's been hittable for power. Stacking boosts: park factor 1.06x and 87°F game-time temp.
✗ No XBH 1 TB
Ben Rice
BR
Ben Rice LOCK
NYY NYY vs BOS BOS vs Sonny Gray 7:05 PM ET platoon park temp confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Rice brings legit pop — .244 ISO and 111 mph max exit velocity this season. Sonny Gray's last 3 starts show a 9% XBH rate — he's been hittable for power. Everything lines up: platoon advantage, park factor 1.06x, and 87°F game-time temp.
✓ HR 5 TB
Recent Results (last 20 graded)
✗
Cole Young
Cole Young
2026-06-09 — SEA SEA vs BAL BAL
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Juan Soto
Juan Soto
2026-06-09 — NYM NYM vs STL STL
No XBH
1 TB
✓
Andy Pages
Andy Pages
2026-06-09 — LAD LAD vs PIT PIT
HR
4 TB
✗
Jared Young
Jared Young
2026-06-09 — NYM NYM vs STL STL
No XBH
0 TB
✗
CJ Abrams
CJ Abrams
2026-06-08 — WSH WSH vs SF SF
No XBH
2 TB
✗
Chase DeLauter
Chase DeLauter
2026-06-08 — CLE CLE vs NYY NYY
No XBH
1 TB
✗
Brice Turang
Brice Turang
2026-06-07 — MIL MIL vs COL COL
No XBH
1 TB
✗
William Contreras
William Contreras
2026-06-07 — MIL MIL vs COL COL
No XBH
2 TB
✗
Matt Olson
Matt Olson
2026-06-07 — ATL ATL vs PIT PIT
No XBH
0 TB
✓
Nick Kurtz
Nick Kurtz
2026-06-07 — ATH vs HOU HOU
HR
4 TB
✗
Cole Young
Cole Young
2026-06-07 — SEA SEA vs DET DET
No XBH
2 TB
✗
Juan Soto
Juan Soto
2026-06-07 — NYM NYM vs SD SD
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Wilyer Abreu
Wilyer Abreu
2026-06-07 — BOS BOS vs NYY NYY
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Jared Young
Jared Young
2026-06-07 — NYM NYM vs SD SD
No XBH
1 TB
✗
Sal Stewart
Sal Stewart
2026-06-07 — CIN CIN vs STL STL
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Cole Young
Cole Young
2026-06-06 — SEA SEA vs DET DET
No XBH
1 TB
✗
Jared Young
Jared Young
2026-06-06 — NYM NYM vs SD SD
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Brandon Lowe
Brandon Lowe
2026-06-06 — PIT PIT vs ATL ATL
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Ryan O'Hearn
Ryan O'Hearn
2026-06-06 — PIT PIT vs ATL ATL
No XBH
1 TB
✗
Oneil Cruz
Oneil Cruz
2026-06-06 — PIT PIT vs ATL ATL
No XBH
0 TB

Home Run Picks

BETA

Separate model — HR rate × pitcher xSLG × max exit velo. BOMB = base + boost (temp, pitcher form, or platoon).

BOMB
152-630 (19%)
ELITE
29-164 (15%)
Byron Buxton
BB
MIN MIN vs KC KC vs Michael Wacha temp pitcher_form
HR prob
31%
✗ No HR
Brandon Lowe
BL
PIT PIT vs ATL ATL vs Martín Pérez temp
HR prob
30%
✗ No HR
Ronald Acuña Jr.
RJ
ATL ATL vs PIT PIT vs Mitch Keller temp pitcher_form
HR prob
28%
✗ No HR
Daulton Varsho
DV
TOR TOR vs BAL BAL vs Brandon Young platoon
HR prob
27%
✗ No HR
Juan Soto
JS
Juan Soto BOMB
NYM NYM vs SD SD vs Michael King platoon
HR prob
27%
✗ No HR
Kody Clemens
KC
MIN MIN vs KC KC vs Michael Wacha temp pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
26%
✗ No HR
Vinnie Pasquantino
VP
KC KC vs MIN MIN vs Zebby Matthews temp pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
26%
✗ No HR
Carter Jensen
CJ
KC KC vs MIN MIN vs Zebby Matthews temp pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
26%
✗ No HR
Salvador Perez
SP
KC KC vs MIN MIN vs Zebby Matthews temp pitcher_form
HR prob
25%
✗ No HR
José Ramírez
JR
CLE CLE vs TEX TEX vs Kumar Rocker platoon
HR prob
24%
✗ No HR
Kyle Manzardo
KM
CLE CLE vs TEX TEX vs Kumar Rocker platoon
HR prob
24%
✗ No HR
James Wood
JW
James Wood BOMB
WSH WSH vs AZ AZ vs Merrill Kelly platoon
HR prob
21%
✓ HOME RUN!
Jo Adell
JA
Jo Adell ELITE
LAA LAA vs LAD LAD vs Roki Sasaki
HR prob
27%
✗ No HR
George Springer
GS
TOR TOR vs BAL BAL vs Brandon Young
HR prob
24%
✗ No HR
Mike Trout
MT
Mike Trout ELITE
LAA LAA vs LAD LAD vs Roki Sasaki
HR prob
24%
✗ No HR
Davis Schneider
DS
TOR TOR vs BAL BAL vs Brandon Young
HR prob
24%
Zach Neto
ZN
Zach Neto ELITE
LAA LAA vs LAD LAD vs Roki Sasaki
HR prob
21%
✗ No HR
How picks are filtered
2+ TB: ISO×pxSLG ≥ .100 + pitcher L3 XBH rate ≥ .08 + boost flag. ~48% XBH hit rate vs ~29% implied.
HR: HR rate ≥ .049 + pitcher xSLG ≥ .420 + max EV ≥ 101. BOMB = base + boost. ~27% HR vs ~20-25% implied.
LOCK LABS — Data In. Locks Out.
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