LOCK LABS — Power Plays

BTS Single 127-72 (63.8%) · Streak: 0 · Parlay: 29-43 (40.3%) · S 10-7 (58.8%) · A 216-103 (67.7%) · B 2484-1325 (65.2%)

Power Plays

BETA

Highest conviction 2+ total base picks. LOCK tier only — pitcher form + boost required.

XBH Record

308-620 33%

2+ TB Record

385-543 41%

Graded

928 picks L1

← PREV 2026-06-27 NEXT →

Last scored 04:00 PM ET

Juan Soto LOCK

NYM vs PHI

PHI vs Alan Rangel 4:10 PM ET platoon temp confirmed

XBH Prob

48%

Awaiting lines

Soto's .262 ISO puts him in the top tier of power hitters on today's slate. Alan Rangel has allowed a 11% XBH rate over his last 3 starts — hitters are squaring him up for damage. Stacking boosts: platoon advantage and 79°F game-time temp.

✓ XBH 4 TB

Recent Results (last 20 graded)

✓

Brandon Lowe

2026-09-18 — PIT

PIT vs

4 TB

✗

Chase DeLauter

2026-09-18 — CLE

CLE vs ATH

No XBH

1 TB

✓

Oneil Cruz

2026-09-18 — PIT

PIT vs

4 TB

✗

Ryan O'Hearn

2026-09-18 — PIT

PIT vs

No XBH

0 TB

✓

Sal Stewart

2026-09-17 — CIN

CIN vs

LAD

5 TB

✓

Brandon Lowe

2026-09-17 — PIT

PIT vs

MIL

2 TB

✗

Juan Soto

2026-09-17 — NYM

NYM vs

PHI

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Jared Young

2026-09-17 — NYM

NYM vs

PHI

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Oneil Cruz

2026-09-17 — PIT

PIT vs

MIL

No XBH

1 TB

✗

Zach Neto

2026-09-17 — LAA

LAA vs

MIN

No XBH

0 TB

✓

Yordan Alvarez

2026-09-17 — HOU

HOU vs

5 TB

✗

Kyle Schwarber

2026-09-17 — PHI

PHI vs

NYM

No XBH

0 TB

✓

Daulton Varsho

2026-09-17 — HOU

HOU vs

4 TB

✗

Jordan Walker

2026-09-16 — STL

STL vs

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Jared Young

2026-09-16 — NYM

NYM vs

BAL

No XBH

1 TB

✗

Cole Young

2026-09-16 — SEA

SEA vs

LAA

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Zach Neto

2026-09-16 — LAA

LAA vs

SEA

No XBH

2 TB

✗

Christian Walker

2026-09-16 — HOU

HOU vs

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Jordan Walker

2026-09-15 — STL

STL vs

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Zach Neto

2026-09-15 — LAA

LAA vs

SEA

No XBH

0 TB

Home Run Picks

BETA

Separate model — HR rate × pitcher xSLG × max exit velo. BOMB = base + boost (temp, pitcher form, or platoon).

BOMB

327-1408 (19%)

ELITE

54-250 (18%)

Cal Raleigh BOMB

SEA vs CLE

CLE vs Slade Cecconi temp platoon

HR prob

30%

✗ No HR

Juan Soto BOMB

NYM vs PHI

PHI vs Alan Rangel temp platoon

HR prob

30%

✗ No HR

Byron Buxton BOMB

MIN vs COL

COL vs Michael Lorenzen temp

HR prob

30%

✗ No HR

Max Muncy BOMB

LAD vs

SD vs Randy Vásquez pitcher_form platoon

HR prob

29%

✗ No HR

Shohei Ohtani BOMB

LAD vs

SD vs Randy Vásquez pitcher_form platoon

HR prob

29%

✗ No HR

Daulton Varsho BOMB

TOR vs TEX

TEX vs Cal Quantrill pitcher_form platoon

HR prob

29%

✗ No HR

Kody Clemens BOMB

MIN vs COL

COL vs Michael Lorenzen temp platoon

HR prob

27%

✗ No HR

Colson Montgomery BOMB

CWS vs

KC vs Michael Wacha platoon

HR prob

27%

✗ No HR

Rafael Devers BOMB

SF vs

ATL vs Bryce Elder pitcher_form platoon

HR prob

26%

✓ HOME RUN! 2 HR

James Wood BOMB

WSH vs BAL

BAL vs Brandon Young temp platoon

HR prob

24%

✗ No HR

Julio Rodríguez BOMB

SEA vs CLE

CLE vs Slade Cecconi temp

HR prob

24%

✗ No HR

Carter Jensen BOMB

KC vs

CWS vs Davis Martin pitcher_form platoon

HR prob

23%

✗ No HR

Rob Refsnyder ELITE

SEA vs CLE

CLE vs Slade Cecconi

HR prob

21%

How picks are filtered

2+ TB: ISO×pxSLG ≥ .100 + pitcher L3 XBH rate ≥ .08 + boost flag. ~48% XBH hit rate vs ~29% implied.

HR: HR rate ≥ .049 + pitcher xSLG ≥ .420 + max EV ≥ 101. BOMB = base + boost. ~27% HR vs ~20-25% implied.

LOCK LABS — Data In. Locks Out.
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