LOCK LABS — Power Plays

BTS Single 126-71 (64.0%) · Streak: 2 · Parlay: 29-42 (40.8%) · S 10-7 (58.8%) · A 214-100 (68.2%) · B 2466-1321 (65.1%)

Power Plays

BETA

Highest conviction 2+ total base picks. LOCK tier only — pitcher form + boost required.

XBH Record

302-613 33%

2+ TB Record

379-536 41%

Graded

915 picks L2

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Last scored 04:00 PM ET

Corey Seager LOCK

TEX vs LAA

LAA vs Ryan Johnson 9:38 PM ET platoon park confirmed

XBH Prob

48%

Awaiting lines

Seager's .265 ISO puts him in the top tier of power hitters on today's slate. Ryan Johnson has allowed a 10% XBH rate over his last 3 starts — hitters are squaring him up for damage. Stacking boosts: platoon advantage and park factor 1.05x.

✗ No XBH 0 TB

Jared Young LOCK

NYM vs ATL

ATL vs Martín Pérez 7:15 PM ET temp confirmed

XBH Prob

48%

Awaiting lines

Elite power numbers from Young: .302 ISO and a 114 mph max exit velo this season. Martín Pérez has allowed a 10% XBH rate over his last 3 starts — hitters are squaring him up for damage. Gets an extra edge from 86°F game-time temp.

Recent Results (last 20 graded)

✗

Jordan Walker

2026-09-16 — STL

STL vs

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Jared Young

2026-09-16 — NYM

NYM vs

BAL

No XBH

1 TB

✗

Cole Young

2026-09-16 — SEA

SEA vs

LAA

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Zach Neto

2026-09-16 — LAA

LAA vs

SEA

No XBH

2 TB

✗

Christian Walker

2026-09-16 — HOU

HOU vs

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Jordan Walker

2026-09-15 — STL

STL vs

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Zach Neto

2026-09-15 — LAA

LAA vs

SEA

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Jackson Merrill

2026-09-14 —

SD vs

COL

No XBH

3 TB

✗

Juan Soto

2026-09-14 — NYM

NYM vs

BAL

No XBH

1 TB

✗

Jared Young

2026-09-14 — NYM

NYM vs

BAL

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Mickey Moniak

2026-09-14 — COL

COL vs

No XBH

0 TB

✓

Ian Happ

2026-09-14 — CHC

CHC vs

ATL

2 TB

✗

Max Muncy

2026-09-13 — ATH vs SEA

SEA

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Munetaka Murakami

2026-09-13 — CWS

CWS vs

STL

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Ian Happ

2026-09-13 — CHC

CHC vs

PIT

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Jahmai Jones

2026-09-13 — BOS

BOS vs

No XBH

0 TB

✓

Mickey Moniak

2026-09-13 — COL

COL vs

DET

2 TB

✗

Brandon Lowe

2026-09-12 — PIT

PIT vs

CHC

No XBH

1 TB

✗

Oneil Cruz

2026-09-12 — PIT

PIT vs

CHC

No XBH

0 TB

✓

Ryan O'Hearn

2026-09-12 — PIT

PIT vs

CHC

4 TB

Home Run Picks

BETA

Separate model — HR rate × pitcher xSLG × max exit velo. BOMB = base + boost (temp, pitcher form, or platoon).

BOMB

325-1401 (19%)

ELITE

54-250 (18%)

Taylor Ward BOMB

BAL vs MIN

MIN vs Bailey Ober temp pitcher_form

HR prob

31%

✗ No HR

Eugenio Suárez BOMB

CIN vs CWS

CWS vs Sean Burke temp

HR prob

30%

✓ HOME RUN!

Sal Stewart BOMB

CIN vs CWS

CWS vs Sean Burke temp

HR prob

30%

✗ No HR

Pete Alonso BOMB

BAL vs MIN

MIN vs Bailey Ober temp pitcher_form

HR prob

28%

✓ HOME RUN!

Jorge Polanco BOMB

NYM vs ATL

ATL vs Martín Pérez temp platoon

HR prob

27%

✗ No HR

Shohei Ohtani BOMB

LAD vs

KC vs Michael Wacha platoon

HR prob

27%

✗ No HR

Tyler O'Neill BOMB

BAL vs MIN

MIN vs Bailey Ober temp pitcher_form

HR prob

25%

✗ No HR

Max Muncy BOMB

LAD vs

KC vs Michael Wacha platoon

HR prob

24%

✗ No HR

Kody Clemens BOMB

MIN vs BAL

BAL vs Brandon Young temp platoon

HR prob

24%

✗ No HR

Christian Yelich BOMB

MIL vs

SD vs Walker Buehler platoon

HR prob

21%

✗ No HR

Gary Sánchez ELITE

MIL vs

SD vs Walker Buehler

HR prob

24%

✗ No HR

How picks are filtered

2+ TB: ISO×pxSLG ≥ .100 + pitcher L3 XBH rate ≥ .08 + boost flag. ~48% XBH hit rate vs ~29% implied.

HR: HR rate ≥ .049 + pitcher xSLG ≥ .420 + max EV ≥ 101. BOMB = base + boost. ~27% HR vs ~20-25% implied.

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