LOCK LABS — Power Plays

BTS Single 126-71 (64.0%) · Streak: 2 · Parlay: 29-42 (40.8%) · S 10-7 (58.8%) · A 214-100 (68.2%) · B 2466-1321 (65.1%)

Power Plays

BETA

Highest conviction 2+ total base picks. LOCK tier only — pitcher form + boost required.

XBH Record

302-613 33%

2+ TB Record

379-536 41%

Graded

915 picks L2

← PREV 2026-08-27 NEXT →

Last scored 04:00 PM ET

Andy Pages LOCK

LAD vs ATL

ATL vs Chris Sale 7:15 PM ET platoon confirmed

XBH Prob

48%

Awaiting lines

Pages is one of the most dangerous power bats in baseball right now — .323 ISO with 110 mph max exit velo. Chris Sale's last 3 starts show a 9% XBH rate — he's been hittable for power. Gets an extra edge from platoon advantage.

Jordan Walker LOCK

STL vs BAL

BAL vs Trevor Rogers 2:15 PM ET platoon temp confirmed

XBH Prob

48%

Awaiting lines

Elite power numbers from Walker: .267 ISO and a 117 mph max exit velo this season. Trevor Rogers's last 3 starts show a 9% XBH rate — he's been hittable for power. Stacking boosts: platoon advantage and 83°F game-time temp.

✓ 2+ TB 2 TB

Recent Results (last 20 graded)

✗

Jordan Walker

2026-09-16 — STL

STL vs

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Jared Young

2026-09-16 — NYM

NYM vs

BAL

No XBH

1 TB

✗

Cole Young

2026-09-16 — SEA

SEA vs

LAA

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Zach Neto

2026-09-16 — LAA

LAA vs

SEA

No XBH

2 TB

✗

Christian Walker

2026-09-16 — HOU

HOU vs

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Jordan Walker

2026-09-15 — STL

STL vs

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Zach Neto

2026-09-15 — LAA

LAA vs

SEA

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Jackson Merrill

2026-09-14 —

SD vs

COL

No XBH

3 TB

✗

Juan Soto

2026-09-14 — NYM

NYM vs

BAL

No XBH

1 TB

✗

Jared Young

2026-09-14 — NYM

NYM vs

BAL

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Mickey Moniak

2026-09-14 — COL

COL vs

No XBH

0 TB

✓

Ian Happ

2026-09-14 — CHC

CHC vs

ATL

2 TB

✗

Max Muncy

2026-09-13 — ATH vs SEA

SEA

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Munetaka Murakami

2026-09-13 — CWS

CWS vs

STL

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Ian Happ

2026-09-13 — CHC

CHC vs

PIT

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Jahmai Jones

2026-09-13 — BOS

BOS vs

No XBH

0 TB

✓

Mickey Moniak

2026-09-13 — COL

COL vs

DET

2 TB

✗

Brandon Lowe

2026-09-12 — PIT

PIT vs

CHC

No XBH

1 TB

✗

Oneil Cruz

2026-09-12 — PIT

PIT vs

CHC

No XBH

0 TB

✓

Ryan O'Hearn

2026-09-12 — PIT

PIT vs

CHC

4 TB

Home Run Picks

BETA

Separate model — HR rate × pitcher xSLG × max exit velo. BOMB = base + boost (temp, pitcher form, or platoon).

BOMB

325-1401 (19%)

ELITE

54-250 (18%)

Hunter Goodman BOMB

COL vs WSH

WSH vs Jake Irvin temp pitcher_form

HR prob

31%

✗ No HR

Trent Grisham BOMB

NYY vs HOU

HOU vs Hayden Wesneski pitcher_form platoon

HR prob

29%

✗ No HR

Jazz Chisholm Jr. BOMB

NYY vs HOU

HOU vs Hayden Wesneski pitcher_form platoon

HR prob

29%

✗ No HR

Mickey Moniak BOMB

COL vs WSH

WSH vs Jake Irvin pitcher_form platoon

HR prob

26%

Ben Rice BOMB

NYY vs HOU

HOU vs Hayden Wesneski pitcher_form platoon

HR prob

26%

✗ No HR

Gary Sánchez BOMB

MIL vs NYM

NYM vs Sean Manaea temp platoon

HR prob

24%

✗ No HR

Cody Bellinger BOMB

NYY vs HOU

HOU vs Hayden Wesneski pitcher_form platoon

HR prob

23%

✗ No HR

Austin Wells BOMB

NYY vs HOU

HOU vs Hayden Wesneski pitcher_form platoon

HR prob

23%

✗ No HR

Vinnie Pasquantino BOMB

KC vs

TOR vs Spencer Arrighetti pitcher_form platoon

HR prob

23%

✓ HOME RUN!

Carter Jensen BOMB

KC vs

TOR vs Spencer Arrighetti pitcher_form platoon

HR prob

23%

✓ HOME RUN!

Christian Yelich ELITE

MIL vs NYM

NYM vs Sean Manaea

HR prob

21%

How picks are filtered

2+ TB: ISO×pxSLG ≥ .100 + pitcher L3 XBH rate ≥ .08 + boost flag. ~48% XBH hit rate vs ~29% implied.

HR: HR rate ≥ .049 + pitcher xSLG ≥ .420 + max EV ≥ 101. BOMB = base + boost. ~27% HR vs ~20-25% implied.

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