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DATA IN. LOCKS OUT.
Welcome to Lock Labs! Scores above 80 = strong pick · Tier S+ = elite · Tap any pick to see the breakdown.
BTS Single 126-71 (64.0%) · Streak: 2 · Parlay: 29-42 (40.8%) · S 10-7 (58.8%) · A 214-99 (68.4%) · B 2453-1313 (65.1%)

Power Plays

BETA

Highest conviction 2+ total base picks. LOCK tier only — pitcher form + boost required.

XBH Record
302-609 33%
2+ TB Record
378-533 41%
Graded
911 picks L3
← PREV 2026-08-29 NEXT →
Last scored 04:00 PM ET
Matt Olson
MO
Matt Olson LOCK
ATL ATL vs COL COL vs Ryan Feltner 4:10 PM ET platoon temp confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Elite power numbers from Olson: .290 ISO and a 112 mph max exit velo this season. Ryan Feltner has been getting crushed for extra-base hits — 12% XBH rate in his last 3 starts. Stacking boosts: platoon advantage and 86°F game-time temp.
✗ No XBH 1 TB
Luis García Jr.
LJ
WSH WSH vs MIA MIA vs Sandy Alcantara 4:05 PM ET platoon temp confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
With a .235 ISO and 114 mph max exit velocity, Jr. has the raw power to damage any pitcher. Sandy Alcantara's last 3 starts show a 8% XBH rate — he's been hittable for power. Stacking boosts: platoon advantage and 84°F game-time temp.
✗ No XBH 0 TB
Drake Baldwin
DB
ATL ATL vs COL COL vs Ryan Feltner 4:10 PM ET platoon temp confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Baldwin is one of the most dangerous power bats in baseball right now — .325 ISO with 113 mph max exit velo. Ryan Feltner has been getting crushed for extra-base hits — 12% XBH rate in his last 3 starts. Stacking boosts: platoon advantage and 86°F game-time temp.
✗ No XBH 1 TB
Recent Results (last 20 graded)
✗
Jordan Walker
Jordan Walker
2026-09-16 — STL STL vs SF SF
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Jordan Walker
Jordan Walker
2026-09-15 — STL STL vs SF SF
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Zach Neto
Zach Neto
2026-09-15 — LAA LAA vs SEA SEA
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Jackson Merrill
Jackson Merrill
2026-09-14 — SD SD vs COL COL
No XBH
3 TB
✗
Juan Soto
Juan Soto
2026-09-14 — NYM NYM vs BAL BAL
No XBH
1 TB
✗
Jared Young
Jared Young
2026-09-14 — NYM NYM vs BAL BAL
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Mickey Moniak
Mickey Moniak
2026-09-14 — COL COL vs SD SD
No XBH
0 TB
✓
Ian Happ
Ian Happ
2026-09-14 — CHC CHC vs ATL ATL
2B
2 TB
✗
Max Muncy
Max Muncy
2026-09-13 — ATH vs SEA SEA
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Munetaka Murakami
Munetaka Murakami
2026-09-13 — CWS CWS vs STL STL
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Ian Happ
Ian Happ
2026-09-13 — CHC CHC vs PIT PIT
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Jahmai Jones
Jahmai Jones
2026-09-13 — BOS BOS vs KC KC
No XBH
0 TB
✓
Mickey Moniak
Mickey Moniak
2026-09-13 — COL COL vs DET DET
2B
2 TB
✗
Brandon Lowe
Brandon Lowe
2026-09-12 — PIT PIT vs CHC CHC
No XBH
1 TB
✗
Oneil Cruz
Oneil Cruz
2026-09-12 — PIT PIT vs CHC CHC
No XBH
0 TB
✓
Ryan O'Hearn
Ryan O'Hearn
2026-09-12 — PIT PIT vs CHC CHC
HR
4 TB
✗
Munetaka Murakami
Munetaka Murakami
2026-09-12 — CWS CWS vs STL STL
No XBH
1 TB
✓
Drake Baldwin
Drake Baldwin
2026-09-11 — ATL ATL vs PHI PHI
2B
3 TB
✗
Chase DeLauter
Chase DeLauter
2026-09-11 — CLE CLE vs MIN MIN
No XBH
0 TB
✓
Wilyer Abreu
Wilyer Abreu
2026-09-11 — BOS BOS vs KC KC
2B
3 TB

Home Run Picks

BETA

Separate model — HR rate × pitcher xSLG × max exit velo. BOMB = base + boost (temp, pitcher form, or platoon).

BOMB
325-1395 (19%)
ELITE
53-249 (18%)
Colson Montgomery
CM
CWS CWS vs MIN MIN vs Bailey Ober temp pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
32%
✗ No HR
Shohei Ohtani
SO
LAD LAD vs DET DET vs Keider Montero temp platoon
HR prob
30%
✗ No HR
Max Muncy
MM
Max Muncy BOMB
LAD LAD vs DET DET vs Keider Montero temp platoon
HR prob
27%
✗ No HR
Kody Clemens
KC
MIN MIN vs CWS CWS vs Erick Fedde temp platoon
HR prob
27%
✗ No HR
Hunter Goodman
HG
COL COL vs ATL ATL vs Martín Pérez temp platoon
HR prob
27%
✗ No HR
Mickey Moniak
MM
COL COL vs ATL ATL vs Martín Pérez temp
HR prob
27%
✗ No HR
Christian Yelich
CY
MIL MIL vs TEX TEX vs Cal Quantrill platoon
HR prob
24%
✗ No HR
Byron Buxton
BB
Byron Buxton ELITE
MIN MIN vs CWS CWS vs Erick Fedde
HR prob
27%
Junior Caminero
JC
TB TB vs SD SD vs Walker Buehler
HR prob
27%
✓ HOME RUN!
Gary Sánchez
GS
MIL MIL vs TEX TEX vs Cal Quantrill
HR prob
24%
How picks are filtered
2+ TB: ISO×pxSLG ≥ .100 + pitcher L3 XBH rate ≥ .08 + boost flag. ~48% XBH hit rate vs ~29% implied.
HR: HR rate ≥ .049 + pitcher xSLG ≥ .420 + max EV ≥ 101. BOMB = base + boost. ~27% HR vs ~20-25% implied.
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