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DATA IN. LOCKS OUT.
Welcome to Lock Labs! Scores above 80 = strong pick · Tier S+ = elite · Tap any pick to see the breakdown.
BTS Single 126-71 (64.0%) · Streak: 2 · Parlay: 29-42 (40.8%) · S 10-7 (58.8%) · A 214-99 (68.4%) · B 2453-1313 (65.1%)

Power Plays

BETA

Highest conviction 2+ total base picks. LOCK tier only — pitcher form + boost required.

XBH Record
302-609 33%
2+ TB Record
378-533 41%
Graded
911 picks L3
← PREV 2026-09-09 NEXT →
Last scored 04:00 PM ET
Salvador Perez
SP
KC KC vs AZ AZ vs Zac Gallen 7:40 PM ET park temp confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
With a .235 ISO and 111 mph max exit velocity, Perez has the raw power to damage any pitcher. Zac Gallen has allowed a 10% XBH rate over his last 3 starts — hitters are squaring him up for damage. Stacking boosts: park factor 1.05x and 83°F game-time temp.
✗ No XBH 0 TB
Carter Jensen
CJ
KC KC vs AZ AZ vs Zac Gallen 7:40 PM ET platoon park temp confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Elite power numbers from Jensen: .250 ISO and a 114 mph max exit velo this season. Zac Gallen has allowed a 10% XBH rate over his last 3 starts — hitters are squaring him up for damage. Everything lines up: platoon advantage, park factor 1.05x, and 83°F game-time temp.
✓ HR 4 TB
Recent Results (last 20 graded)
✗
Jordan Walker
Jordan Walker
2026-09-16 — STL STL vs SF SF
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Jordan Walker
Jordan Walker
2026-09-15 — STL STL vs SF SF
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Zach Neto
Zach Neto
2026-09-15 — LAA LAA vs SEA SEA
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Jackson Merrill
Jackson Merrill
2026-09-14 — SD SD vs COL COL
No XBH
3 TB
✗
Juan Soto
Juan Soto
2026-09-14 — NYM NYM vs BAL BAL
No XBH
1 TB
✗
Jared Young
Jared Young
2026-09-14 — NYM NYM vs BAL BAL
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Mickey Moniak
Mickey Moniak
2026-09-14 — COL COL vs SD SD
No XBH
0 TB
✓
Ian Happ
Ian Happ
2026-09-14 — CHC CHC vs ATL ATL
2B
2 TB
✗
Max Muncy
Max Muncy
2026-09-13 — ATH vs SEA SEA
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Munetaka Murakami
Munetaka Murakami
2026-09-13 — CWS CWS vs STL STL
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Ian Happ
Ian Happ
2026-09-13 — CHC CHC vs PIT PIT
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Jahmai Jones
Jahmai Jones
2026-09-13 — BOS BOS vs KC KC
No XBH
0 TB
✓
Mickey Moniak
Mickey Moniak
2026-09-13 — COL COL vs DET DET
2B
2 TB
✗
Brandon Lowe
Brandon Lowe
2026-09-12 — PIT PIT vs CHC CHC
No XBH
1 TB
✗
Oneil Cruz
Oneil Cruz
2026-09-12 — PIT PIT vs CHC CHC
No XBH
0 TB
✓
Ryan O'Hearn
Ryan O'Hearn
2026-09-12 — PIT PIT vs CHC CHC
HR
4 TB
✗
Munetaka Murakami
Munetaka Murakami
2026-09-12 — CWS CWS vs STL STL
No XBH
1 TB
✓
Drake Baldwin
Drake Baldwin
2026-09-11 — ATL ATL vs PHI PHI
2B
3 TB
✗
Chase DeLauter
Chase DeLauter
2026-09-11 — CLE CLE vs MIN MIN
No XBH
0 TB
✓
Wilyer Abreu
Wilyer Abreu
2026-09-11 — BOS BOS vs KC KC
2B
3 TB

Home Run Picks

BETA

Separate model — HR rate × pitcher xSLG × max exit velo. BOMB = base + boost (temp, pitcher form, or platoon).

BOMB
325-1395 (19%)
ELITE
53-249 (18%)
Ben Rice
BR
Ben Rice BOMB
NYY NYY vs COL COL vs Tomoyuki Sugano temp pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
32%
✗ No HR
Aaron Judge
AJ
NYY NYY vs COL COL vs Tomoyuki Sugano temp pitcher_form
HR prob
31%
✗ No HR
Colson Montgomery
CM
CWS CWS vs PIT PIT vs Lake Bachar temp platoon
HR prob
30%
✗ No HR
Cody Bellinger
CB
NYY NYY vs COL COL vs Tomoyuki Sugano temp pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
29%
✓ HOME RUN!
Trent Grisham
TG
NYY NYY vs COL COL vs Tomoyuki Sugano pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
29%
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
JJ
NYY NYY vs COL COL vs Tomoyuki Sugano pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
29%
Kyle Stowers
KS
MIA MIA vs NYM NYM vs Robert Stock pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
29%
✗ No HR
Austin Wells
AW
NYY NYY vs COL COL vs Tomoyuki Sugano temp pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
29%
✗ No HR
Brandon Lowe
BL
PIT PIT vs CWS CWS vs Davis Martin temp platoon
HR prob
27%
✗ No HR
Juan Soto
JS
Juan Soto BOMB
NYM NYM vs MIA MIA vs Janson Junk platoon
HR prob
27%
✗ No HR
Riley Greene
RG
DET DET vs MIN MIN vs Zebby Matthews temp platoon
HR prob
27%
✗ No HR
Kody Clemens
KC
MIN MIN vs DET DET vs Keider Montero temp pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
26%
✓ HOME RUN!
Vinnie Pasquantino
VP
KC KC vs AZ AZ vs Zac Gallen temp pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
26%
✗ No HR
Carter Jensen
CJ
KC KC vs AZ AZ vs Zac Gallen temp pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
26%
✓ HOME RUN!
Salvador Perez
SP
KC KC vs AZ AZ vs Zac Gallen temp pitcher_form
HR prob
25%
✗ No HR
Mickey Moniak
MM
COL COL vs NYY NYY vs Will Warren temp platoon
HR prob
24%
✗ No HR
James Wood
JW
James Wood BOMB
WSH WSH vs SD SD vs Walker Buehler temp platoon
HR prob
24%
✗ No HR
Hunter Goodman
HG
COL COL vs NYY NYY vs Will Warren temp
HR prob
24%
✗ No HR
How picks are filtered
2+ TB: ISO×pxSLG ≥ .100 + pitcher L3 XBH rate ≥ .08 + boost flag. ~48% XBH hit rate vs ~29% implied.
HR: HR rate ≥ .049 + pitcher xSLG ≥ .420 + max EV ≥ 101. BOMB = base + boost. ~27% HR vs ~20-25% implied.
LOCK LABS — Data In. Locks Out.
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