LOCK LABS — Power Plays

BTS Single 126-71 (64.0%) · Streak: 2 · Parlay: 29-42 (40.8%) · S 10-7 (58.8%) · A 214-99 (68.4%) · B 2453-1313 (65.1%)

Power Plays

BETA

Highest conviction 2+ total base picks. LOCK tier only — pitcher form + boost required.

XBH Record

302-609 33%

2+ TB Record

378-533 41%

Graded

911 picks L3

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Last scored 04:00 PM ET

Drake Baldwin LOCK

ATL vs PHI

PHI vs Aaron Nola 7:15 PM ET platoon temp confirmed

XBH Prob

48%

Awaiting lines

Baldwin is one of the most dangerous power bats in baseball right now — .325 ISO with 113 mph max exit velo. Aaron Nola's last 3 starts show a 8% XBH rate — he's been hittable for power. Stacking boosts: platoon advantage and 79°F game-time temp.

✓ XBH 3 TB

Chase DeLauter LOCK

CLE vs MIN

MIN vs Taj Bradley 8:10 PM ET platoon confirmed

XBH Prob

48%

Awaiting lines

Elite power numbers from DeLauter: .468 ISO and a 111 mph max exit velo this season. Taj Bradley's last 3 starts show a 9% XBH rate — he's been hittable for power. Gets an extra edge from platoon advantage.

✗ No XBH 0 TB

Recent Results (last 20 graded)

✗

Jordan Walker

2026-09-16 — STL

STL vs

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Jordan Walker

2026-09-15 — STL

STL vs

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Zach Neto

2026-09-15 — LAA

LAA vs

SEA

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Jackson Merrill

2026-09-14 —

SD vs

COL

No XBH

3 TB

✗

Juan Soto

2026-09-14 — NYM

NYM vs

BAL

No XBH

1 TB

✗

Jared Young

2026-09-14 — NYM

NYM vs

BAL

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Mickey Moniak

2026-09-14 — COL

COL vs

No XBH

0 TB

✓

Ian Happ

2026-09-14 — CHC

CHC vs

ATL

2 TB

✗

Max Muncy

2026-09-13 — ATH vs SEA

SEA

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Munetaka Murakami

2026-09-13 — CWS

CWS vs

STL

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Ian Happ

2026-09-13 — CHC

CHC vs

PIT

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Jahmai Jones

2026-09-13 — BOS

BOS vs

No XBH

0 TB

✓

Mickey Moniak

2026-09-13 — COL

COL vs

DET

2 TB

✗

Brandon Lowe

2026-09-12 — PIT

PIT vs

CHC

No XBH

1 TB

✗

Oneil Cruz

2026-09-12 — PIT

PIT vs

CHC

No XBH

0 TB

✓

Ryan O'Hearn

2026-09-12 — PIT

PIT vs

CHC

4 TB

✗

Munetaka Murakami

2026-09-12 — CWS

CWS vs

STL

No XBH

1 TB

✓

Drake Baldwin

2026-09-11 — ATL

ATL vs

PHI

3 TB

✗

Chase DeLauter

2026-09-11 — CLE

CLE vs

MIN

No XBH

0 TB

✓

Wilyer Abreu

2026-09-11 — BOS

BOS vs

3 TB

Home Run Picks

BETA

Separate model — HR rate × pitcher xSLG × max exit velo. BOMB = base + boost (temp, pitcher form, or platoon).

BOMB

325-1395 (19%)

ELITE

53-249 (18%)

Colson Montgomery BOMB

CWS vs STL

STL vs Matthew Liberatore temp pitcher_form

HR prob

31%

✗ No HR

Cal Raleigh BOMB

SEA vs ATH vs Jeffrey Springs pitcher_form platoon

HR prob

29%

✗ No HR

Shohei Ohtani BOMB

LAD vs MIA

MIA vs Ryan Gusto platoon

HR prob

27%

Wilyer Abreu BOMB

BOS vs

KC vs Seth Lugo pitcher_form platoon

HR prob

26%

✗ No HR

Max Muncy BOMB

LAD vs MIA

MIA vs Ryan Gusto platoon

HR prob

24%

✗ No HR

James Wood BOMB

WSH vs LAA

LAA vs Yusei Kikuchi temp

HR prob

24%

✗ No HR

Julio Rodríguez BOMB

SEA vs ATH vs Jeffrey Springs pitcher_form platoon

HR prob

23%

✗ No HR

Taylor Ward ELITE

BAL vs TOR

TOR vs Max Scherzer

HR prob

27%

✗ No HR

Pete Alonso ELITE

BAL vs TOR

TOR vs Max Scherzer

HR prob

27%

✗ No HR

How picks are filtered

2+ TB: ISO×pxSLG ≥ .100 + pitcher L3 XBH rate ≥ .08 + boost flag. ~48% XBH hit rate vs ~29% implied.

HR: HR rate ≥ .049 + pitcher xSLG ≥ .420 + max EV ≥ 101. BOMB = base + boost. ~27% HR vs ~20-25% implied.

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