Enter Access Code
DATA IN. LOCKS OUT.
Welcome to Lock Labs! Scores above 80 = strong pick · Tier S+ = elite · Tap any pick to see the breakdown.
BTS Single 125-71 (63.8%) · Streak: 1 · Parlay: 29-42 (40.8%) · S 10-7 (58.8%) · A 212-99 (68.2%) · B 2440-1305 (65.2%)

Power Plays

BETA

Highest conviction 2+ total base picks. LOCK tier only — pitcher form + boost required.

XBH Record
302-608 33%
2+ TB Record
378-532 42%
Graded
910 picks L2
← PREV 2026-09-14 NEXT →
Last scored 04:00 PM ET
Juan Soto
JS
Juan Soto LOCK
NYM NYM vs BAL BAL vs Brandon Young 7:10 PM ET platoon confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Soto's .262 ISO puts him in the top tier of power hitters on today's slate. Brandon Young's last 3 starts show a 8% XBH rate — he's been hittable for power. Gets an extra edge from platoon advantage.
✗ No XBH 1 TB
Jackson Merrill
JM
SD SD vs COL COL vs Tomoyuki Sugano 8:40 PM ET platoon park temp confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Merrill's slugging 0.469 on the year with .219 isolated power — the extra-base hits are real. Tomoyuki Sugano's last 3 starts show a 9% XBH rate — he's been hittable for power. Everything lines up: platoon advantage, park factor 1.19x, and 84°F game-time temp.
✓ 2+ TB 3 TB
Recent Results (last 20 graded)
✗
Jordan Walker
Jordan Walker
2026-09-15 — STL STL vs SF SF
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Zach Neto
Zach Neto
2026-09-15 — LAA LAA vs SEA SEA
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Jackson Merrill
Jackson Merrill
2026-09-14 — SD SD vs COL COL
No XBH
3 TB
✗
Juan Soto
Juan Soto
2026-09-14 — NYM NYM vs BAL BAL
No XBH
1 TB
✗
Jared Young
Jared Young
2026-09-14 — NYM NYM vs BAL BAL
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Mickey Moniak
Mickey Moniak
2026-09-14 — COL COL vs SD SD
No XBH
0 TB
✓
Ian Happ
Ian Happ
2026-09-14 — CHC CHC vs ATL ATL
2B
2 TB
✗
Max Muncy
Max Muncy
2026-09-13 — ATH vs SEA SEA
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Munetaka Murakami
Munetaka Murakami
2026-09-13 — CWS CWS vs STL STL
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Ian Happ
Ian Happ
2026-09-13 — CHC CHC vs PIT PIT
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Jahmai Jones
Jahmai Jones
2026-09-13 — BOS BOS vs KC KC
No XBH
0 TB
✓
Mickey Moniak
Mickey Moniak
2026-09-13 — COL COL vs DET DET
2B
2 TB
✗
Brandon Lowe
Brandon Lowe
2026-09-12 — PIT PIT vs CHC CHC
No XBH
1 TB
✗
Oneil Cruz
Oneil Cruz
2026-09-12 — PIT PIT vs CHC CHC
No XBH
0 TB
✓
Ryan O'Hearn
Ryan O'Hearn
2026-09-12 — PIT PIT vs CHC CHC
HR
4 TB
✗
Munetaka Murakami
Munetaka Murakami
2026-09-12 — CWS CWS vs STL STL
No XBH
1 TB
✓
Drake Baldwin
Drake Baldwin
2026-09-11 — ATL ATL vs PHI PHI
2B
3 TB
✗
Chase DeLauter
Chase DeLauter
2026-09-11 — CLE CLE vs MIN MIN
No XBH
0 TB
✓
Wilyer Abreu
Wilyer Abreu
2026-09-11 — BOS BOS vs KC KC
2B
3 TB
✓
Matt Olson
Matt Olson
2026-09-11 — ATL ATL vs PHI PHI
HR
4 TB

Home Run Picks

BETA

Separate model — HR rate × pitcher xSLG × max exit velo. BOMB = base + boost (temp, pitcher form, or platoon).

BOMB
325-1388 (19%)
ELITE
53-249 (18%)
Juan Soto
JS
Juan Soto BOMB
NYM NYM vs BAL BAL vs Brandon Young pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
29%
✗ No HR
Michael Busch
MB
CHC CHC vs ATL ATL vs Reynaldo López pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
29%
✗ No HR
Pete Crow-Armstrong
PC
CHC CHC vs ATL ATL vs Reynaldo López pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
29%
✓ HOME RUN!
Kody Clemens
KC
MIN MIN vs NYY NYY vs Will Warren platoon
HR prob
21%
✗ No HR
How picks are filtered
2+ TB: ISO×pxSLG ≥ .100 + pitcher L3 XBH rate ≥ .08 + boost flag. ~48% XBH hit rate vs ~29% implied.
HR: HR rate ≥ .049 + pitcher xSLG ≥ .420 + max EV ≥ 101. BOMB = base + boost. ~27% HR vs ~20-25% implied.
LOCK LABS — Data In. Locks Out.
For entertainment purposes only. Not financial advice. Must be 21+ and in a legal betting state.
Gambling involves risk. Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
© 2026 Lock Labs. All rights reserved.