LOCK LABS — Strikeout Props

BTS Single 63-34 (64.9%) · Streak: 2 · Parlay: 16-24 (40.0%) · S 6-5 (54.5%) · A 113-48 (70.2%) · B 1067-560 (65.6%)

Strikeout Props

BETA

Pitcher K over lines + batter over 0.5 K props.

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Pitcher Strikeouts

Over K line props

Overall

196-76 72%

ACE

104-42 71%

PUNCH

92-34 73%

ACE Picks — Over 4.5 K · 2026-05-03

Chase Burns ACE

CIN vs PIT

PIT Line: Over 4.5 K high K opp elite whiff

Over Prob

86%

K/9: 10.3 · L3: 10.7

Pred: 7.7 K

✓ OVER ✓ 7 K in 7.0 IP

Jesús Luzardo ACE

PHI vs MIA

MIA Line: Over 4.5 K elite whiff

Over Prob

74%

K/9: 10.8 · L3: 7.9

Pred: 6.6 K

✓ OVER ✓ 10 K in 6.3333 IP

Braxton Ashcraft ACE

PIT vs CIN

CIN Line: Over 4.5 K elite whiff

Over Prob

65%

K/9: 10.3 · L3: 10.1

Pred: 6.0 K

✓ OVER ✓ 6 K in 7.6667 IP

PUNCH Picks — Over 4.5 K

Parker Messick PUNCH

CLE vs ATH Line: Over 4.5 K deep starter

Over Prob

78%

K/9: 9.6 · L3: 10.6

Pred: 6.9 K

✓ OVER ✓ 6 K in 5.0 IP

Joe Ryan PUNCH

MIN vs TOR

TOR Line: Over 4.5 K high K opp

Over Prob

68%

K/9: 9.2 · L3: 9.0

Pred: 6.2 K

✗ UNDER 1 K in 0.3333 IP

Kris Bubic PUNCH

KC vs

SEA Line: Over 4.5 K

Over Prob

49%

K/9: 9.4 · L3: 6.9

Pred: 4.9 K

✓ OVER ✓ 7 K in 7.0 IP

Batter Strikeouts

Over 0.5 K props

Overall

2807-1511 65%

WHIFF

1573-715 69%

CHASE

1234-796 61%

WHIFF Picks — 2026-05-03

Owen Caissie WHIFF

MIA vs PHI

PHI vs Jesús Luzardo high K team hot K streak

K Prob

91%

K rate: 47% · K/9: 10.8

✓ STRUCK OUT 1 K

Corbin Carroll WHIFF

AZ vs

CHC vs Matthew Boyd hot K streak

K Prob

89%

K rate: 33% · K/9: 13.7

✓ STRUCK OUT 1 K

Nick Kurtz WHIFF

ATH vs CLE

CLE vs Parker Messick high K team hot K streak

K Prob

89%

K rate: 42% · K/9: 9.6

✓ STRUCK OUT 2 K

Connor Norby WHIFF

MIA vs PHI

PHI vs Jesús Luzardo high K team hot K streak

K Prob

87%

K rate: 34% · K/9: 10.8

✓ STRUCK OUT 3 K

Elly De La Cruz WHIFF

CIN vs PIT

PIT vs Braxton Ashcraft high K team hot K streak

K Prob

86%

K rate: 32% · K/9: 10.3

✓ STRUCK OUT 1 K

Oneil Cruz WHIFF

PIT vs CIN

CIN vs Chase Burns hot K streak

K Prob

86%

K rate: 39% · K/9: 10.3

✗ No K 0 K

Brent Rooker WHIFF

ATH vs CLE

CLE vs Parker Messick high K team

K Prob

84%

K rate: 37% · K/9: 9.6

✓ STRUCK OUT 2 K

Jorge Barrosa WHIFF

AZ vs

CHC vs Matthew Boyd

K Prob

84%

K rate: 33% · K/9: 13.7

✗ No K 0 K

Kerry Carpenter WHIFF

DET vs TEX

TEX vs Jack Leiter high K team

K Prob

83%

K rate: 39% · K/9: 9.5

✓ STRUCK OUT 2 K

Matt McLain WHIFF

CIN vs PIT

PIT vs Braxton Ashcraft high K team hot K streak

K Prob

82%

K rate: 31% · K/9: 10.3

✗ No K 0 K

Leo Rivas WHIFF

SEA vs

KC vs Kris Bubic high K team hot K streak

K Prob

82%

K rate: 38% · K/9: 9.4

✗ No K 0 K

Davis Schneider WHIFF

TOR vs MIN

MIN vs Joe Ryan hot K streak

K Prob

81%

K rate: 39% · K/9: 9.2

Riley Greene WHIFF

DET vs TEX

TEX vs Jack Leiter high K team hot K streak

K Prob

80%

K rate: 31% · K/9: 9.5

✓ STRUCK OUT 2 K

Bryan Reynolds WHIFF

PIT vs CIN

CIN vs Chase Burns

K Prob

80%

K rate: 33% · K/9: 10.3

✓ STRUCK OUT 2 K

Graham Pauley WHIFF

MIA vs PHI

PHI vs Jesús Luzardo high K team

K Prob

80%

K rate: 28% · K/9: 10.8

✗ No K 0 K

Spencer Torkelson WHIFF

DET vs TEX

TEX vs Jack Leiter high K team

K Prob

79%

K rate: 33% · K/9: 9.5

✓ STRUCK OUT 3 K

Agustín Ramírez WHIFF

MIA vs PHI

PHI vs Jesús Luzardo high K team

K Prob

79%

K rate: 26% · K/9: 10.8

✗ No K 0 K

Randy Arozarena WHIFF

SEA vs

KC vs Kris Bubic high K team hot K streak

K Prob

78%

K rate: 27% · K/9: 9.4

✓ STRUCK OUT 1 K

Spencer Steer WHIFF

CIN vs PIT

PIT vs Braxton Ashcraft high K team

K Prob

77%

K rate: 29% · K/9: 10.3

✓ STRUCK OUT 1 K

Jonathan Aranda WHIFF

TB vs

SF vs Tyler Mahle hot K streak

K Prob

77%

K rate: 31% · K/9: 8.5

✗ No K 0 K

Marcell Ozuna WHIFF

PIT vs CIN

CIN vs Chase Burns hot K streak

K Prob

76%

K rate: 30% · K/9: 10.3

✗ No K 0 K

Taylor Walls WHIFF

TB vs

SF vs Tyler Mahle hot K streak

K Prob

75%

K rate: 33% · K/9: 8.5

✗ No K 0 K

Jake Fraley WHIFF

TB vs

SF vs Tyler Mahle hot K streak

K Prob

72%

K rate: 28% · K/9: 8.5

✓ STRUCK OUT 1 K

CHASE Picks

Kyle Schwarber CHASE

PHI vs MIA

MIA vs Chris Paddack hot K streak

K Prob

83%

K rate: 40% · K/9: 8.4

✗ No K 0 K

TJ Friedl CHASE

CIN vs PIT

PIT vs Braxton Ashcraft high K team

K Prob

78%

K rate: 25% · K/9: 10.3

✓ STRUCK OUT 1 K

Jac Caglianone CHASE

KC vs

SEA vs Luis Castillo hot K streak

K Prob

77%

K rate: 36% · K/9: 8.3

✗ No K 0 K

Carter Jensen CHASE

KC vs

SEA vs Luis Castillo hot K streak

K Prob

75%

K rate: 34% · K/9: 8.3

✓ STRUCK OUT 1 K

Recent Results (last 20 graded)

✓

Nolan Gorman

2026-06-11 — STL vs NYM · vs Christian Scott

2 K

WHIFF

✓

Jordan Walker

2026-06-11 — STL vs NYM · vs Christian Scott

1 K

WHIFF

✓

Luke Raley

2026-06-11 — SEA vs BAL · vs Kyle Bradish

1 K

WHIFF

✓

Hunter Goodman

2026-06-11 — COL vs CHC · vs Edward Cabrera

3 K

CHASE

✓

Masyn Winn

2026-06-11 — STL vs NYM · vs Christian Scott

1 K

CHASE

✓

Edouard Julien

2026-06-11 — COL vs CHC · vs Edward Cabrera

1 K

CHASE

✓

Colt Emerson

2026-06-11 — SEA vs BAL · vs Kyle Bradish

1 K

WHIFF

✓

Nathan Church

2026-06-11 — STL vs NYM · vs Christian Scott

3 K

CHASE

✓

Ezequiel Tovar

2026-06-11 — COL vs CHC · vs Edward Cabrera

3 K

CHASE

✗

Willi Castro

2026-06-11 — COL vs CHC · vs Edward Cabrera

0 K

CHASE

✗

Julio Rodríguez

2026-06-11 — SEA vs BAL · vs Kyle Bradish

0 K

CHASE

✓

Randy Arozarena

2026-06-11 — SEA vs BAL · vs Kyle Bradish

2 K

CHASE

✓

Dominic Canzone

2026-06-11 — SEA vs BAL · vs Kyle Bradish

1 K

CHASE

✗

Brett Sullivan

2026-06-11 — COL vs CHC · vs Edward Cabrera

0 K

CHASE

✓

Derek Hill

2026-06-10 — CWS vs ATL · vs Chris Sale

2 K

WHIFF

✓

Kazuma Okamoto

2026-06-10 — TOR vs PHI · vs Jesús Luzardo

2 K

WHIFF

✓

Rhys Hoskins

2026-06-10 — CLE vs NYY · vs Carlos Rodón

1 K

WHIFF

✓

David Fry

2026-06-10 — CLE vs NYY · vs Carlos Rodón

2 K

WHIFF

✓

Ryan McMahon

2026-06-10 — NYY vs CLE · vs Parker Messick

2 K

WHIFF

✓

Starling Marte

2026-06-10 — KC vs TEX · vs MacKenzie Gore

1 K

WHIFF

How K picks are filtered

ACE: Pitcher K/9 ≥ 10.0 + L5 avg IP ≥ 5.5. Over 4.5 K line. Elite strikeout arms.

PUNCH: Pitcher K/9 ≥ 9.0 + L5 avg IP ≥ 5.5. Over 4.5 K line. High K rate starters with workload depth.

WHIFF: Batter K rate ≥ 28% + pitcher K/9 ≥ 9.0. Backtest: ~77% 1+K rate vs ~60% implied.

CHASE: Batter K rate ≥ 22% + pitcher K/9 ≥ 8.0. Backtest: ~68% 1+K rate vs ~60% implied.

Boosts: hot form (L3 K/9 ≥ 10) · high K opp (team K rate ≥ 25%) · hot K streak (batter L7 K rate ≥ 30%).

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