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DATA IN. LOCKS OUT.
Welcome to Lock Labs! Scores above 80 = strong pick · Tier S+ = elite · Tap any pick to see the breakdown.
BTS Single 89-52 (63.1%) · Streak: 0 · Parlay: 23-32 (41.8%) · S 8-5 (61.5%) · A 164-73 (69.2%) · B 1705-896 (65.6%)
← PREV 2026-07-07 NEXT → ▼ DOWNLOAD TODAY'S HOT BOARD Last scored 04:00 PM ET
Today's Locks
Picks locked 10:00 AM ET
Current Streak
🔥 1
Willson Contreras
Willson Contreras
BOSBOS vs CWSCWS · vs Noah Schultz · 7:40 PM
Score
77.1
Prob
68%
Tier
B
✓ HIT
Luis García Jr.
Luis García Jr.
WSHWSH vs HOUHOU · vs Tatsuya Imai · 6:45 PM
Score
74.8
Prob
68%
Tier
B
▲ Locked at 74.3 (B) · 10:00 AM ET
✓ HIT
Yesterday's Card
8-11 Record 42.1% Hit Rate 19 Picks
▼
Player Score Tier Line Result
Freddie Freeman 76.6 B 1-for-5 ✓ HIT
Mookie Betts 76.6 B 0-for-5 ✗ MISS
Jackson Chourio 76.5 B 0-for-4, 1K ✗ MISS
Fernando Tatis Jr. 76.0 B 0-for-3, 1K ✗ MISS
Shohei Ohtani 74.5 B 3-for-4 ✓ HIT
Brice Turang 74.5 B 1-for-4 ✓ HIT
Luis García Jr. 72.7 B 1-for-5, 3K ✓ HIT
Yordan Alvarez 72.4 B 1-for-5, 2K ✓ HIT
Alec Burleson 72.1 B 0-for-1, 1K ✗ MISS
Rafael Devers 71.3 B 0-for-2 ✗ MISS
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 71.3 B 0-for-3, 1K ✗ MISS
Jordan Walker 69.9 B 0-for-2, 1K ✗ MISS
Isaac Paredes 69.8 B 0-for-4, 1K ✗ MISS
Matt Olson 69.3 B 2-for-5, 1K ✓ HIT
Michael Harris II 69.3 B 3-for-6, 3K ✓ HIT
Trent Grisham 68.8 B 0-for-4, 1K ✗ MISS
Cam Smith 68.5 B 2-for-3 ✓ HIT
Andy Pages 68.1 B 0-for-5, 2K ✗ MISS
Dylan Crews 68.0 B 0-for-4, 1K ✗ MISS
0
🔒 LOCKS
21
TOTAL PICKS
0
S/A TIER
77.1
TOP SCORE
14-6
Record
70%
Hit Rate
1
Pending
21
Total Picks
Today's Locks (1 lock)
🔒 LOCK
B
Willson Contreras

Willson Contreras
77.1
68% hit prob
BOS vs CWS • vs Noah Schultz (L) • #4 • 7:40 PM ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 4-game streak L7: .320 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 76°F · 6mph
21112211 L10
Hitting 4th in the order today. Contreras has hits in 4 straight, carrying a 0.320 average over his last 7. Contreras's 46.7% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud.
2-4
H-AB
1
K
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
30.62/35
Contact
20.0/20
Pitcher
13.0/20
Lineup
6.5/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
Additional picks
B
Luis García Jr.

Luis García Jr.
74.8
68% hit prob
WSH vs HOU • vs Tatsuya Imai (R) • #2 • 6:45 PM ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 2-game streak L7: .296 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 82°F · 5mph
43111221 L10
Faces Tatsuya Imai who carries a 13.50 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed. Jr.'s 46.9% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud.
2-3
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
31.32/35
Contact
12.5/20
Pitcher
14.5/20
Lineup
8.0/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
13.5
WHIP
2.63
K/9
16.36
H/9
12.3
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
Brandon Lowe

Brandon Lowe
73.0
67% hit prob
PIT vs ATL • vs Hurston Waldrep (R) • #2 • 6:40 PM ✓ HIT · 3H
🔥 5-game streak L7: .200 (5/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 82°F · 6mph
2112111 L10
Lowe has a 12.5% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Faces Hurston Waldrep (RHP) on the mound today. Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed.
3-5
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
33.0/35
Contact
13.5/20
Pitcher
10.5/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
Kevin McGonigle

Kevin McGonigle
72.9
67% hit prob
DET vs ATH • vs J.T. Ginn (R) • #1 • 6:40 PM ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 1-game streak L7: .296 (5/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 79°F · 8mph
11121122 L10
Faces J.T. Ginn who carries a 5.14 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed. Quietly productive — McGonigle owns a 0.296 average across his last 7 starts.
2-4
H-AB
1
K
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
33.42/35
Contact
12.5/20
Pitcher
10.0/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
1.5/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
0.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
5.14
WHIP
1.14
K/9
5.14
H/9
7.7
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
Freddie Freeman

Freddie Freeman
74.1
68% hit prob
LAD vs COL • vs Michael Lorenzen (R) • #3 • 10:10 PM projected ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 1-game streak L7: .308 (6/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
32211121 L10
Freeman has only struck out at a 12% clip over his last 7 games (3 Ks in 26 PAs) — elite contact window. Freeman's 45.1% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. Freeman is hitting 0.308 over his last 7 (6/7 with a hit).
2-5
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
33.62/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
14.0/20
Lineup
5.5/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
0.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
6.23
WHIP
1.62
K/9
8.78
H/9
15.4
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
Shohei Ohtani

Shohei Ohtani
73.5
67% hit prob
LAD vs COL • vs Michael Lorenzen (R) • #1 • 10:10 PM projected ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 2-game streak L7: .286 (5/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
12121113 L10
Ohtani has a 17.1% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Ohtani is hitting 0.286 over his last 7 (5/7 with a hit). Faces Michael Lorenzen who carries a 6.23 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today.
1-4
H-AB
1
K
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
31.04/35
Contact
13.0/20
Pitcher
14.0/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
6.23
WHIP
1.62
K/9
8.78
H/9
15.4
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
Miguel Vargas

Miguel Vargas
71.9
67% hit prob
CWS vs BOS • vs Payton Tolle (L) • #1 • 7:40 PM ✗ MISS
🔥 1-game streak L7: .192 (4/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 76°F · 6mph
3121121 L10
Vargas's xBA (0.275) outpaces his actual average (0.246) by 29 points — positive regression is coming. Vargas's 47.0% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. Vargas has a 15.4% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up.
0-3
H-AB
1
K
1
BB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
29.44/35
Contact
16.5/20
Pitcher
9.0/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
0.5/5
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
Josh Bell

Josh Bell
70.8
66% hit prob
MIN vs CLE • vs Joey Cantillo (L) • #4 • 7:40 PM projected ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 2-game streak L7: .280 (5/7 H) ⚾ Neutral
1111131 L10
Bell is hitting 0.280 over his last 7 (5/7 with a hit). Draws Joey Cantillo, who's giving up 11.2 H/9 — hitters are teeing off on him. Hitting 4th in the order today.
2-3
H-AB
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
31.82/35
Contact
16.5/20
Pitcher
8.0/20
Lineup
7.5/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
4.91
WHIP
1.91
K/9
14.06
H/9
11.2
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
Juan Soto

Juan Soto
70.7
66% hit prob
NYM vs KC • vs Seth Lugo (R) • #2 • 7:10 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 4-game streak L7: .304 (5/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 71°F · 9mph
2112121 L10
Soto is averaging 92.6 mph exit velocity this season with a 48% hard-hit rate. Soto has a 14.9% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Faces Seth Lugo (4.4 K/9) — low punchout rate means more balls in play.
1-5
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
29.72/35
Contact
13.0/20
Pitcher
8.5/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
1.0/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
WHIP
0.79
K/9
4.43
H/9
7.4
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
Michael Harris II

Michael Harris II
70.5
66% hit prob
ATL vs PIT • vs Paul Skenes (R) • #1 • 6:40 PM ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 6-game streak L7: .387 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 82°F · 6mph
1112323 L10
Faces Paul Skenes who carries a 9.53 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed. II is on a 6-game hit streak, batting 0.387 over his last 7.
2-5
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
33.5/35
Contact
18.0/20
Pitcher
2.5/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
9.53
WHIP
1.94
K/9
10.38
H/9
12.1
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
Junior Caminero

Junior Caminero
70.5
66% hit prob
TB vs NYY • vs Will Warren (R) • #3 • 6:40 PM ✗ MISS
L7: .207 (4/7 H) 🏟 Pitcher+ · 72°F
1132112 L10
Caminero has a 13.6% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Draws Will Warren, who's giving up 11.0 H/9 — hitters are teeing off on him. Hitting 3rd in the order today.
0-4
H-AB
2
K
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
25.46/35
Contact
20.0/20
Pitcher
13.5/20
Lineup
8.5/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
2.08
WHIP
1.62
K/9
6.59
H/9
11.0
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
James Wood

James Wood
70.3
66% hit prob
WSH vs HOU • vs Tatsuya Imai (R) • #1 • 6:45 PM ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 1-game streak L7: .400 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 82°F · 5mph
11132211 L10
A 0.400 average in his last 7 — Wood's timing is locked in right now. Faces Tatsuya Imai who carries a 13.50 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed.
2-4
H-AB
1
K
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
28.82/35
Contact
16.5/20
Pitcher
14.5/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
0/5
Momentum
0.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
13.5
WHIP
2.63
K/9
16.36
H/9
12.3
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
Kyle Karros

Kyle Karros
69.9
66% hit prob
COL vs LAD • vs Justin Wrobleski (L) • #2 • 10:10 PM projected ✗ MISS
🔥 4-game streak L7: .348 (6/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
12113111 L10
Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed. Karros has hits in 4 straight, carrying a 0.348 average over his last 7. Karros has reached base with a hit in 6 of his last 7 games.
0-4
H-AB
1
K
1
BB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.92/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
7.0/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
6.75
WHIP
1.25
K/9
4.5
H/9
9.0
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
Bryan Reynolds

Bryan Reynolds
69.5
66% hit prob
PIT vs ATL • vs Hurston Waldrep (R) • #3 • 6:40 PM ✗ MISS
🔥 5-game streak L7: .250 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 82°F · 6mph
11111221 L10
Reynolds is on a 5-game hit streak, batting 0.250 over his last 7. Reynolds's 47.3% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. Faces Hurston Waldrep (RHP) on the mound today.
0-1
H-AB
3
BB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
11.0/20
Pitcher
11.0/20
Lineup
5.5/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
Mookie Betts

Mookie Betts
69.4
66% hit prob
LAD vs COL • vs Michael Lorenzen (R) • #4 • 10:10 PM projected
L7: .233 (4/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
1121321 L10
Betts's xBA (0.275) outpaces his actual average (0.232) by 43 points — positive regression is coming. Faces Michael Lorenzen who carries a 6.23 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. Hitting 4th in the order today.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
26.36/35
Contact
16.0/20
Pitcher
13.5/20
Lineup
6.5/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
6.23
WHIP
1.62
K/9
8.78
H/9
15.4
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
Keibert Ruiz

Keibert Ruiz
69.2
66% hit prob
WSH vs HOU • vs Tatsuya Imai (R) • #5 • 6:45 PM ✗ MISS
🔥 1-game streak L7: .304 (5/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 82°F · 5mph
1211122 L10
Quietly productive — Ruiz owns a 0.304 average across his last 7 starts. Faces Tatsuya Imai who carries a 13.50 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. Ruiz is outperforming his xBA by 39 points (0.272 AVG vs 0.233 xBA) — he's finding hits where the data doesn't expect them.
0-4
H-AB
1
K
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.72/35
Contact
9.0/20
Pitcher
15.0/20
Lineup
4.0/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
0.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
13.5
WHIP
2.63
K/9
16.36
H/9
12.3
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
Nick Gonzales

Nick Gonzales
68.9
66% hit prob
PIT vs ATL • vs Hurston Waldrep (R) • #6 • 6:40 PM ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 6-game streak L7: .481 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 82°F · 6mph
11133123 L10
Faces Hurston Waldrep (RHP) on the mound today. Gonzales is on a 6-game hit streak, batting 0.481 over his last 7. Gonzales is outperforming his xBA by 28 points (0.312 AVG vs 0.284 xBA) — he's finding hits where the data doesn't expect them.
2-5
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
33.9/35
Contact
10.5/20
Pitcher
10.0/20
Lineup
4.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
Chase DeLauter

Chase DeLauter
68.7
66% hit prob
CLE vs MIN • vs Taj Bradley (R) • #3 • 7:40 PM projected ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 2-game streak L7: .323 (6/7 H) ⚾ Neutral
212213112 L10
Goes up against Taj Bradley (0.87 ERA) today. Hitting 3rd in the order today. Quietly productive — DeLauter owns a 0.323 average across his last 7 starts.
2-3
H-AB
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
31.72/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
9.0/20
Lineup
6.5/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
0.87
WHIP
1.16
K/9
10.69
H/9
7.1
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
Chandler Simpson

Chandler Simpson
68.4
66% hit prob
TB vs NYY • vs Will Warren (R) • #5 • 6:40 PM ✗ MISS
🔥 9-game streak L7: .385 (7/7 H) 🏟 Pitcher+ · 72°F
111112311 L10
Simpson has only struck out at a 8% clip over his last 7 games (2 Ks in 26 PAs) — elite contact window. Draws Will Warren, who's giving up 11.0 H/9 — hitters are teeing off on him. Simpson is scorching — 9 straight games with a hit and a 0.385 L7 average.
0-4
H-AB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
33.4/35
Contact
2.0/20
Pitcher
14.0/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
2.08
WHIP
1.62
K/9
6.59
H/9
11.0
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
Fernando Tatis Jr.

Fernando Tatis Jr.
68.4
66% hit prob
SD vs AZ • vs Zac Gallen (R) • #1 • 9:40 PM projected ✓ HIT · 1H
L7: .276 (4/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
1112123 L10
Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed. Jr.'s 52.6% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. Faces Zac Gallen (3.6 K/9) — low punchout rate means more balls in play.
1-4
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
29.44/35
Contact
16.5/20
Pitcher
11.0/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
1.5/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
3.6
WHIP
1.1
K/9
3.6
H/9
8.1
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
Curtis Mead

Curtis Mead
68.0
66% hit prob
WSH vs HOU • vs Tatsuya Imai (R) • #3 • 6:45 PM ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 4-game streak L7: .367 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 82°F · 5mph
11122123 L10
Mead is swinging a 0.367 bat over his last 7 games (6/7 with a hit). Faces Tatsuya Imai who carries a 13.50 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. Hitting 3rd in the order today.
2-5
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
29.02/35
Contact
11.0/20
Pitcher
14.0/20
Lineup
5.5/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
13.5
WHIP
2.63
K/9
16.36
H/9
12.3
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
Power Plays
11 LOCK picks today — extra-base hit props
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