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DATA IN. LOCKS OUT.
Welcome to Lock Labs! Scores above 80 = strong pick · Tier S+ = elite · Tap any pick to see the breakdown.
BTS Single 89-52 (63.1%) · Streak: 0 · Parlay: 23-32 (41.8%) · S 8-5 (61.5%) · A 164-73 (69.2%) · B 1705-896 (65.6%)
← PREV 2026-07-08 NEXT → ▼ DOWNLOAD TODAY'S HOT BOARD Last scored 04:00 PM ET
Today's Locks
Picks locked 10:00 AM ET
Current Streak
🔥 0
Matt Olson
Matt Olson
ATLATL vs PITPIT · vs Jared Jones · 6:40 PM
Score
83.8
Prob
70%
Tier
A
▲ Locked at 83.3 (A) · 10:00 AM ET
✗ MISS
Michael Harris II
Michael Harris II
ATLATL vs PITPIT · vs Jared Jones · 6:40 PM
Score
82.0
Prob
69%
Tier
A
▲ Locked at 81.5 (A) · 10:00 AM ET
✓ HIT
Yesterday's Card
14-6 Record 70.0% Hit Rate 20 Picks
▼
Player Score Tier Line Result
Willson Contreras 77.1 B 2-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Luis García Jr. 74.8 B 2-for-3 ✓ HIT
Freddie Freeman 74.1 B 2-for-5, 1K ✓ HIT
Shohei Ohtani 73.5 B 1-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Brandon Lowe 73.0 B 3-for-5, 1K ✓ HIT
Kevin McGonigle 72.9 B 2-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Miguel Vargas 71.9 B 0-for-3, 1K ✗ MISS
Josh Bell 70.8 B 2-for-3 ✓ HIT
Juan Soto 70.7 B 1-for-5, 1K ✓ HIT
Michael Harris II 70.5 B 2-for-5 ✓ HIT
Junior Caminero 70.5 B 0-for-4, 2K ✗ MISS
James Wood 70.3 B 2-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Kyle Karros 69.9 B 0-for-4, 1K ✗ MISS
Bryan Reynolds 69.5 B 0-for-1 ✗ MISS
Keibert Ruiz 69.2 B 0-for-4, 1K ✗ MISS
Nick Gonzales 68.9 B 2-for-5 ✓ HIT
Chase DeLauter 68.7 B 2-for-3 ✓ HIT
Fernando Tatis Jr. 68.4 B 1-for-4 ✓ HIT
Chandler Simpson 68.4 B 0-for-4 ✗ MISS
Curtis Mead 68.0 B 2-for-5, 1K ✓ HIT
0
🔒 LOCKS
25
TOTAL PICKS
2
S/A TIER
83.8
TOP SCORE
15-9
Record
62%
Hit Rate
1
Pending
25
Total Picks
Today's Locks (4 locks)
🔒 LOCK
A
Matt Olson

Matt Olson
83.8
70% hit prob
ATL vs PIT • vs Jared Jones (R) • #3 • 6:40 PM ✗ MISS
🔥 5-game streak L7: .241 (5/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 85°F · 5mph
3121121 L10
Olson is averaging 92.9 mph exit velocity this season with a 52% hard-hit rate. Olson has a 13.8% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Matchup vs Jared Jones (RHP) grades 16/20 — model sees a favorable split here.
0-4
H-AB
3
K
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.8/35
Contact
20.0/20
Pitcher
15.5/20
Lineup
7.5/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
🔒 LOCK
A
Michael Harris II

Michael Harris II
82.0
69% hit prob
ATL vs PIT • vs Jared Jones (R) • #1 • 6:40 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 7-game streak L7: .424 (7/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 85°F · 5mph
1123232 L10
Matchup vs Jared Jones (RHP) grades 16/20 — model sees a favorable split here. Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed. II is scorching — 7 straight games with a hit and a 0.424 L7 average.
1-4
H-AB
2
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
33.5/35
Contact
16.5/20
Pitcher
15.5/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
🔒 LOCK
B
Luis García Jr.

Luis García Jr.
76.2
68% hit prob
WSH vs HOU • vs Spencer Arrighetti (R) • #2 • 6:45 PM ✓ HIT · 3H
🔥 3-game streak L7: .333 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 81°F · 5mph
431112212 L10
Jr.'s 46.9% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. Jr. has reached base with a hit in 6 of his last 7 games. Faces Spencer Arrighetti (RHP) on the mound today.
3-4
H-AB
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.22/35
Contact
16.0/20
Pitcher
10.5/20
Lineup
8.0/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
2.5/5
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
🔒 LOCK
B
Mauricio Dubón

Mauricio Dubón
76.0
68% hit prob
ATL vs PIT • vs Jared Jones (R) • #5 • 6:40 PM ✗ MISS
🔥 4-game streak L7: .360 (5/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 85°F · 5mph
11121312 L10
Matchup vs Jared Jones (RHP) grades 15/20 — model sees a favorable split here. Dubón has hits in 4 straight, carrying a 0.360 average over his last 7. Dubón's last 7 games: 0.360 AVG with 5 games producing a hit.
0-4
H-AB
1
K
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
9.0/20
Pitcher
15.0/20
Lineup
6.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
Additional picks
B
Otto Lopez

Otto Lopez
74.5
68% hit prob
MIA vs SEA • vs George Kirby (R) • #2 • 6:40 PM ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 7-game streak L7: .455 (7/7 H) 🏟 Neutral · 72°F
22132331 L10
Lopez is outperforming his xBA by 40 points (0.330 AVG vs 0.290 xBA) — he's finding hits where the data doesn't expect them. Lopez has only struck out at a 3% clip over his last 7 games (1 Ks in 33 PAs) — elite contact window. Goes up against George Kirby (3.75 ERA) today.
2-4
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
10.5/20
Pitcher
6.5/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
3.75
WHIP
1.0
K/9
9.0
H/9
5.2
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
Juan Soto

Juan Soto
74.1
68% hit prob
NYM vs KC • vs Steven Cruz (R) • #2 • 7:10 PM ✗ MISS
🔥 5-game streak L7: .280 (5/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 77°F · 11mph
21121211 L10
Soto is averaging 92.6 mph exit velocity this season with a 48% hard-hit rate. Soto has a 14.9% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Faces Steven Cruz who carries a 7.36 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today.
0-3
H-AB
1
K
2
BB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.1/35
Contact
15.0/20
Pitcher
7.5/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
1.0/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
7.36
WHIP
1.36
K/9
11.25
H/9
8.4
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
Brandon Lowe

Brandon Lowe
74.0
68% hit prob
PIT vs ATL • vs Grant Holmes (R) • #2 • 6:40 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 6-game streak L7: .290 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 85°F · 5mph
1121113 L10
Lowe has a 12.5% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Faces Grant Holmes who carries a 5.40 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed.
1-4
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
33.0/35
Contact
15.0/20
Pitcher
8.5/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
5.4
WHIP
1.4
K/9
7.2
H/9
9.0
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
Liam Hicks

Liam Hicks
74.0
68% hit prob
MIA vs SEA • vs George Kirby (R) • #1 • 6:40 PM ✗ MISS
🔥 10-game streak L7: .424 (7/7 H) 🏟 Neutral · 72°F
1112211323 L10
Hicks has only struck out at a 6% clip over his last 7 games (2 Ks in 33 PAs) — elite contact window. Goes up against George Kirby (3.75 ERA) today. Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed.
0-4
H-AB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
9.5/20
Pitcher
7.0/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
3.75
WHIP
1.0
K/9
9.0
H/9
5.2
Last 10 Games 10/10 with a hit
B
Ozzie Albies

Ozzie Albies
73.6
67% hit prob
ATL vs PIT • vs Jared Jones (R) • #2 • 6:40 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 5-game streak L7: .267 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 85°F · 5mph
1211121 L10
Matchup vs Jared Jones (RHP) grades 16/20 — model sees a favorable split here. Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed. Albies is on a 5-game hit streak, batting 0.267 over his last 7.
1-4
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.1/35
Contact
7.5/20
Pitcher
16.0/20
Lineup
8.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
Heliot Ramos

Heliot Ramos
73.2
67% hit prob
SF vs TOR • vs Dylan Cease (R) • #1 • 3:45 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 6-game streak L7: .345 (6/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 62°F · 11mph
111211132 L10
Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed. Ramos is on a 6-game hit streak, batting 0.345 over his last 7. Ramos is averaging 92.5 mph exit velocity this season with a 51% hard-hit rate.
1-4
H-AB
3
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
33.7/35
Contact
18.0/20
Pitcher
7.0/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
0.5/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
1.69
WHIP
0.94
K/9
21.18
H/9
5.3
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
Kevin McGonigle

Kevin McGonigle
72.4
67% hit prob
DET vs ATH • vs Jeffrey Springs (L) • #3 • 6:40 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 2-game streak L7: .345 (6/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 82°F · 10mph
11211222 L10
Faces Jeffrey Springs (1.50 WHIP) — he's been putting baserunners on all season. Hitting 3rd in the order today. Quietly productive — McGonigle owns a 0.345 average across his last 7 starts.
1-3
H-AB
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
33.42/35
Contact
12.5/20
Pitcher
11.0/20
Lineup
8.5/10
Park
1.5/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
3.38
WHIP
1.5
K/9
3.53
H/9
8.8
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
Willson Contreras

Willson Contreras
76.9
68% hit prob
BOS vs CWS • vs Davis Martin (R) • #4 • 7:40 PM projected ✗ MISS
🔥 5-game streak L7: .360 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 88°F · 8mph
211122112 L10
Contreras's 46.7% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. Contreras has a 14.2% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Goes up against Davis Martin (2.45 ERA) today.
0-2
H-AB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
33.9/35
Contact
20.0/20
Pitcher
8.0/20
Lineup
6.5/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
2.45
WHIP
1.18
K/9
9.82
H/9
7.4
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
Chase DeLauter

Chase DeLauter
76.4
68% hit prob
CLE vs MIN • vs Connor Prielipp (L) • #3 • 7:40 PM projected ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 3-game streak L7: .333 (6/7 H) ⚾ Neutral
122131122 L10
Faces Connor Prielipp (LHP) on the mound today. Hitting 3rd in the order today. DeLauter has hits in 3 straight, carrying a 0.333 average over his last 7.
2-4
H-AB
1
K
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.42/35
Contact
16.0/20
Pitcher
13.5/20
Lineup
6.5/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
2.5/5
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
Josh Bell

Josh Bell
76.3
68% hit prob
MIN vs CLE • vs Slade Cecconi (R) • #3 • 7:40 PM projected ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 3-game streak L7: .333 (6/7 H) ⚾ Neutral
11111312 L10
Hitting 3rd in the order today. Bell has hits in 3 straight, carrying a 0.333 average over his last 7. Bell has reached base with a hit in 6 of his last 7 games.
1-5
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
31.82/35
Contact
16.0/20
Pitcher
13.0/20
Lineup
7.5/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
2.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
5.23
WHIP
1.06
K/9
9.8
H/9
6.2
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
Jordan Walker

Jordan Walker
73.7
67% hit prob
STL vs MIL • vs Kyle Harrison (L) • #4 • 7:45 PM projected ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 2-game streak L7: .348 (6/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
11211112 L10
Quietly productive — Walker owns a 0.348 average across his last 7 starts. Goes up against Kyle Harrison (2.61 ERA) today. Hitting 4th in the order today.
2-4
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.72/35
Contact
18.5/20
Pitcher
8.5/20
Lineup
8.5/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
2.61
WHIP
0.97
K/9
12.48
H/9
6.2
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
Willi Castro

Willi Castro
71.4
67% hit prob
COL vs LAD • vs Roki Sasaki (R) • #1 • 10:10 PM projected ✗ MISS
🔥 3-game streak L7: .192 (5/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
3111111 L10
Faces Roki Sasaki who carries a 7.00 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed. Castro is outperforming his xBA by 28 points (0.259 AVG vs 0.230 xBA) — he's finding hits where the data doesn't expect them.
0-2
H-AB
2
K
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
30.42/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
15.0/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
2.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
7.0
WHIP
1.56
K/9
9.0
H/9
9.0
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
James Wood

James Wood
71.0
66% hit prob
WSH vs HOU • vs Spencer Arrighetti (R) • #1 • 6:45 PM ✗ MISS
🔥 2-game streak L7: .440 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 81°F · 5mph
11322112 L10
A 0.440 average in his last 7 — Wood's timing is locked in right now. Faces Spencer Arrighetti (RHP) on the mound today. Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed.
0-2
H-AB
1
K
3
BB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
29.52/35
Contact
18.5/20
Pitcher
10.5/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
Kody Clemens

Kody Clemens
70.7
66% hit prob
MIN vs CLE • vs Slade Cecconi (R) • #6 • 7:40 PM projected ✓ HIT · 3H
🔥 1-game streak L7: .300 (5/7 H) ⚾ Neutral
11121222 L10
Quietly productive — Clemens owns a 0.300 average across his last 7 starts. Faces Slade Cecconi who carries a 5.23 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. Clemens is averaging 92.6 mph exit velocity this season with a 46% hard-hit rate.
3-4
H-AB
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
30.22/35
Contact
18.0/20
Pitcher
12.5/20
Lineup
4.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
0.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
5.23
WHIP
1.06
K/9
9.8
H/9
6.2
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
Fernando Tatis Jr.

Fernando Tatis Jr.
70.6
66% hit prob
SD vs AZ • vs Jose Cabrera (R) • #1 • 10:10 PM projected ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 1-game streak L7: .250 (4/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
1121231 L10
Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed. Jr.'s 52.6% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. Matchup vs Jose Cabrera (RHP) grades 16/20 — model sees a favorable split here.
2-4
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
30.14/35
Contact
15.0/20
Pitcher
15.5/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
1.5/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
0.5/5
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
Victor Caratini

Victor Caratini
70.0
66% hit prob
MIN vs CLE • vs Slade Cecconi (R) • #5 • 7:40 PM projected ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 4-game streak L7: .250 (6/7 H) ⚾ Neutral
12111111 L10
Caratini has reached base with a hit in 6 of his last 7 games. Faces Slade Cecconi who carries a 5.23 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today.
1-4
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.02/35
Contact
11.0/20
Pitcher
13.0/20
Lineup
5.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
5.23
WHIP
1.06
K/9
9.8
H/9
6.2
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
Bobby Witt Jr.

Bobby Witt Jr.
69.3
66% hit prob
KC vs NYM • vs Christian Scott (R) • #2 • 7:10 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 3-game streak L7: .310 (5/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 77°F · 11mph
131221 L10
Faces Christian Scott (RHP) on the mound today. Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed. Jr. has hits in 3 straight, carrying a 0.310 average over his last 7.
1-5
H-AB
2
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
27.84/35
Contact
20.0/20
Pitcher
6.0/20
Lineup
8.0/10
Park
1.0/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
2.5/5
Last 10 Games 6/10 with a hit
B
Nick Gonzales

Nick Gonzales
68.9
66% hit prob
PIT vs ATL • vs Grant Holmes (R) • #6 • 6:40 PM ✗ MISS
🔥 7-game streak L7: .500 (7/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 85°F · 5mph
111331232 L10
Gonzales is scorching — 7 straight games with a hit and a 0.500 L7 average. Gonzales is outperforming his xBA by 28 points (0.312 AVG vs 0.284 xBA) — he's finding hits where the data doesn't expect them. Gonzales has only struck out at a 7% clip over his last 7 games (2 Ks in 30 PAs) — elite contact window.
0-3
H-AB
2
K
1
BB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
33.9/35
Contact
12.5/20
Pitcher
8.0/20
Lineup
4.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
5.4
WHIP
1.4
K/9
7.2
H/9
9.0
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
Kyle Karros

Kyle Karros
68.3
66% hit prob
COL vs LAD • vs Roki Sasaki (R) • #2 • 10:10 PM projected ✓ HIT · 2H
L7: .280 (5/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
2113111 L10
Faces Roki Sasaki who carries a 7.00 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed. Quietly productive — Karros owns a 0.280 average across his last 7 starts.
2-4
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
31.32/35
Contact
11.0/20
Pitcher
14.0/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
7.0
WHIP
1.56
K/9
9.0
H/9
9.0
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
Byron Buxton

Byron Buxton
68.2
66% hit prob
MIN vs CLE • vs Slade Cecconi (R) • #2 • 7:40 PM projected
🔥 2-game streak L7: .231 (4/7 H) ⚾ Neutral
1211311 L10
Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed. Buxton is outperforming his xBA by 26 points (0.276 AVG vs 0.250 xBA) — he's finding hits where the data doesn't expect them. Buxton's 47.6% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
28.74/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
12.0/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
5.23
WHIP
1.06
K/9
9.8
H/9
6.2
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
Curtis Mead

Curtis Mead
68.1
66% hit prob
WSH vs HOU • vs Spencer Arrighetti (R) • #3 • 6:45 PM ✗ MISS
🔥 5-game streak L7: .387 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 81°F · 5mph
11221232 L10
Mead is on a 5-game hit streak, batting 0.387 over his last 7. Faces Spencer Arrighetti (RHP) on the mound today. Hitting 3rd in the order today.
0-3
H-AB
1
K
2
BB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
31.6/35
Contact
12.5/20
Pitcher
10.0/20
Lineup
5.5/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
Power Plays
11 LOCK picks today — extra-base hit props
→
LOCK LABS — Data In. Locks Out.
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