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DATA IN. LOCKS OUT.
Welcome to Lock Labs! Scores above 80 = strong pick · Tier S+ = elite · Tap any pick to see the breakdown.
BTS Single 127-73 (63.5%) · Streak: 0 · Parlay: 29-43 (40.3%) · S 10-8 (55.6%) · A 222-104 (68.1%) · B 2540-1346 (65.4%)
← PREV 2026-09-04 NEXT → ▼ DOWNLOAD TODAY'S HOT BOARD Last scored 04:00 PM ET
Today's Locks
Picks locked 10:00 AM ET
Current Streak
🔥 0
Jake McCarthy
Jake McCarthy
COLCOL vs STLSTL · vs Andre Pallante · 8:40 PM
Score
81.0
Prob
69%
Tier
A
✓ HIT
Yandy Díaz
Yandy Díaz
TBTB vs TEXTEX · vs Trevor Williams · 8:05 PM
Score
79.6
Prob
69%
Tier
B
✓ HIT
Yesterday's Card
8-17 Record 32.0% Hit Rate 25 Picks
Player Score Tier Line Result
Junior Caminero 82.0 A 0-for-4, 1K ✗ MISS
Yandy Díaz 80.6 A 2-for-4 ✓ HIT
Mookie Betts 76.7 B 0-for-3, 1K ✗ MISS
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 76.5 B 0-for-3, 1K ✗ MISS
Bryan Reynolds 75.8 B 0-for-3 ✗ MISS
Mickey Gasper 75.7 B 0-for-3, 2K ✗ MISS
Rafael Devers 75.4 B 0-for-4, 3K ✗ MISS
Otto Lopez 74.1 B 0-for-3 ✗ MISS
Jackson Chourio 73.6 B 0-for-4, 2K ✗ MISS
Dominic Canzone 71.5 B 1-for-4, 2K ✓ HIT
Roman Anthony 71.5 B 1-for-4, 3K ✓ HIT
Brandon Lowe 71.0 B 0-for-3 ✗ MISS
Freddie Freeman 70.3 B 0-for-4, 1K ✗ MISS
Wilyer Abreu 70.3 B 0-for-4, 2K ✗ MISS
Oneil Cruz 70.2 B 0-for-1, 1K ✗ MISS
Jonathan Aranda 70.2 B 0-for-3, 3K ✗ MISS
Yordan Alvarez 70.1 B 0-for-2, 1K ✗ MISS
Jac Caglianone 70.0 B 2-for-4 ✓ HIT
Chandler Simpson 69.5 B 0-for-4 ✗ MISS
Bobby Witt Jr. 69.1 B 0-for-3 ✗ MISS
Lawrence Butler 69.0 B 2-for-5, 2K ✓ HIT
Bryce Eldridge 68.6 B 0-for-3, 1K ✗ MISS
Carter Jensen 68.5 B 3-for-4 ✓ HIT
Cal Raleigh 68.3 B 1-for-4, 2K ✓ HIT
Javier Sanoja 68.2 B 1-for-3 ✓ HIT
0
🔒 LOCKS
39
TOTAL PICKS
1
S/A TIER
81.0
TOP SCORE
26-10
Record
72%
Hit Rate
3
Pending
39
Total Picks
Today's Locks (3 locks)
🔒 LOCK
A
81.0
69% hit prob
COL vs STL • vs Andre Pallante (R) • #1 • 8:40 PM ✗ MISS
🔥 6-game streak L7: .267 (6/7 H) 🌡 Hitter+ · 88°F · 10mph
112111122 L10
McCarthy has only struck out at a 10% clip over his last 7 games (3 Ks in 30 PAs) — elite contact window. Faces Andre Pallante (5.4 K/9) — low punchout rate means more balls in play. Hitter-friendly park factor at Coors Field.
0-4
H-AB
1
K
1
BB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
10.0/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
4.5/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
WHIP
1.2
K/9
5.4
H/9
5.4
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
🔒 LOCK
B
76.6
68% hit prob
PIT vs LAA • vs Ryan Johnson (R) • #3 • 6:45 PM ✓ HIT · 2H
L7: .241 (5/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 80°F · 6mph
1211212 L10
Hitting 3rd in the order today. Reynolds's 47.8% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. Faces Ryan Johnson who carries a 16.20 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today.
2-4
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
30.62/35
Contact
18.0/20
Pitcher
18.0/20
Lineup
5.5/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
16.2
WHIP
3.3
K/9
5.81
H/9
20.3
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
🔒 LOCK
B
76.1
68% hit prob
COL vs STL • vs Andre Pallante (R) • #4 • 8:40 PM ✓ HIT · 3H
🔥 8-game streak L7: .364 (7/7 H) 🌡 Hitter+ · 88°F · 10mph
121111112 L10
Hitting 4th in the order today. Rumfield is scorching — 8 straight games with a hit and a 0.364 L7 average. Rumfield is outperforming his xBA by 41 points (0.302 AVG vs 0.260 xBA) — he's finding hits where the data doesn't expect them.
3-4
H-AB
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.1/35
Contact
11.0/20
Pitcher
10.0/20
Lineup
8.5/10
Park
4.5/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
WHIP
1.2
K/9
5.4
H/9
5.4
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
Additional picks
B
73.2
67% hit prob
KC vs TOR • vs Jameson Taillon (R) • #3 • 8:10 PM ✗ MISS
🔥 2-game streak L7: .419 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 96°F · 8mph
1522112 L10
Caglianone has a 13.7% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Caglianone is swinging a 0.419 bat over his last 7 games (6/7 with a hit). Faces Jameson Taillon (6.4 K/9) — low punchout rate means more balls in play.
0-4
H-AB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
33.22/35
Contact
18.5/20
Pitcher
7.0/20
Lineup
7.5/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
vs. Pitcher
WHIP
1.29
K/9
6.43
H/9
4.3
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
73.0
67% hit prob
CIN vs MIL • vs Shane Drohan (L) • #3 • 6:10 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
L7: .321 (5/7 H) 🌡 Hitter+ · 95°F · 4mph
21122212 L10
Quietly productive — Stewart owns a 0.321 average across his last 7 starts. Faces Shane Drohan (LHP) on the mound today. Hitter-friendly park factor at Great American Ball Park.
1-4
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
13.0/20
Pitcher
8.5/20
Lineup
8.5/10
Park
5.0/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
0/5
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
72.9
67% hit prob
BOS vs BAL • vs Shane Baz (R) • #1 • 7:05 PM ✗ MISS
🔥 5-game streak L7: .393 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 86°F · 6mph
131122231 L10
Faces Shane Baz who carries a 6.75 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed. Anthony is on a 5-game hit streak, batting 0.393 over his last 7.
0-4
H-AB
1
K
1
BB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
31.4/35
Contact
16.0/20
Pitcher
10.0/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
6.75
WHIP
1.31
K/9
7.06
H/9
12.3
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
79.6
69% hit prob
TB vs TEX • vs Trevor Williams (R) • #1 • 8:05 PM projected ✓ HIT · 3H
🔥 3-game streak L7: .345 (6/7 H) 🏟 Hitter+ · 72°F
1221212 L10
Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed. Díaz has hits in 3 straight, carrying a 0.345 average over his last 7. Díaz's 48.5% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud.
3-5
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
31.12/35
Contact
16.5/20
Pitcher
10.5/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
4.0/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
2.5/5
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
78.3
69% hit prob
MIL vs CIN • vs Rhett Lowder (R) • #1 • 6:10 PM projected ✓ HIT · 1H
L7: .312 (6/7 H) 🌡 Hitter+ · 95°F · 4mph
24111124 L10
Matchup vs Rhett Lowder (RHP) grades 15/20 — model sees a favorable split here. Hitter-friendly park factor at Great American Ball Park. Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed.
1-5
H-AB
2
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
31.32/35
Contact
18.0/20
Pitcher
15.0/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
5.0/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
3.6
WHIP
1.0
K/9
9.0
H/9
5.4
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
77.9
69% hit prob
SEA vs ATH • vs Kade Morris (R) • #2 • 10:10 PM projected ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 4-game streak L7: .241 (5/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
11122111 L10
Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed. Canzone has been getting on base, with hits in 5 of 7 recent games. Matchup vs Kade Morris (RHP) grades 18/20 — model sees a favorable split here.
1-5
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
30.42/35
Contact
17.0/20
Pitcher
18.5/20
Lineup
8.0/10
Park
1.5/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
76.6
68% hit prob
STL vs COL • vs Ryan Feltner (R) • #3 • 8:40 PM projected ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 3-game streak L7: .367 (5/7 H) 🌡 Hitter+ · 88°F · 10mph
1123312 L10
Hitting 3rd in the order today. Walker has hits in 3 straight, carrying a 0.367 average over his last 7. Walker is averaging 92.3 mph exit velocity this season with a 49% hard-hit rate.
1-4
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
30.14/35
Contact
18.5/20
Pitcher
13.5/20
Lineup
8.5/10
Park
4.5/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
2.5/5
vs. Pitcher
WHIP
0.67
K/9
12.0
H/9
3.0
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
76.4
68% hit prob
TB vs TEX • vs Trevor Williams (R) • #3 • 8:05 PM projected ✓ HIT · 2H
L7: .250 (5/7 H) 🏟 Hitter+ · 72°F
12211212 L10
Faces Trevor Williams (RHP) on the mound today. Hitter-friendly park factor at Globe Life Field. Hitting 3rd in the order today.
2-5
H-AB
2
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
31.94/35
Contact
18.5/20
Pitcher
10.5/20
Lineup
8.5/10
Park
4.0/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
0/5
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
74.5
68% hit prob
MIN vs CWS • vs Erick Fedde (R) • #1 • 7:40 PM projected ✗ MISS
🔥 6-game streak L7: .357 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 90°F · 8mph
12212221 L10
Keaschall has only struck out at a 11% clip over his last 7 games (3 Ks in 28 PAs) — elite contact window. Faces Erick Fedde who carries a 5.40 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed.
0-5
H-AB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
11.0/20
Pitcher
9.5/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
5.4
WHIP
1.4
K/9
7.2
H/9
10.8
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
73.0
67% hit prob
NYY vs SD • vs Walker Buehler (R) • #2 • 9:40 PM projected ✗ MISS
🔥 6-game streak L7: .414 (6/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
11112233 L10
Bellinger is on a 6-game hit streak, batting 0.414 over his last 7. Faces Walker Buehler who carries a 9.45 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed.
0-4
H-AB
3
K
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
5.5/20
Pitcher
14.0/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
1.5/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
9.45
WHIP
1.95
K/9
10.16
H/9
11.6
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
71.5
67% hit prob
CIN vs MIL • vs Shane Drohan (L) • #2 • 6:10 PM ✓ HIT · 3H
🔥 2-game streak L7: .462 (6/7 H) 🌡 Hitter+ · 95°F · 4mph
111331212 L10
Hitter-friendly park factor at Great American Ball Park. Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed. Cruz is averaging 94.4 mph exit velocity this season with a 52% hard-hit rate.
3-5
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
31.52/35
Contact
16.5/20
Pitcher
9.0/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
5.0/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
71.4
67% hit prob
CHC vs MIA • vs Janson Junk (R) • #1 • 7:10 PM projected ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 2-game streak L7: .344 (6/7 H) 🏟 Neutral · 72°F
1242111 L10
Draws Janson Junk, who's giving up 11.0 H/9 — hitters are teeing off on him. Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed. Crow-Armstrong's 49.0% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud.
1-4
H-AB
1
K
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
30.42/35
Contact
16.5/20
Pitcher
12.5/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
4.15
WHIP
1.38
K/9
10.98
H/9
11.0
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
71.2
66% hit prob
MIL vs CIN • vs Rhett Lowder (R) • #6 • 6:10 PM projected ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 3-game streak L7: .346 (5/7 H) 🌡 Hitter+ · 95°F · 4mph
21132121 L10
Hitter-friendly park factor at Great American Ball Park. Yelich has hits in 3 straight, carrying a 0.346 average over his last 7. Matchup vs Rhett Lowder (RHP) grades 16/20 — model sees a favorable split here.
1-4
H-AB
1
K
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
28.24/35
Contact
11.0/20
Pitcher
15.5/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
5.0/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
2.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
3.6
WHIP
1.0
K/9
9.0
H/9
5.4
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
71.1
66% hit prob
MIL vs CIN • vs Rhett Lowder (R) • #3 • 6:10 PM projected ✓ HIT · 1H
L7: .333 (5/7 H) 🌡 Hitter+ · 95°F · 4mph
2322122 L10
Quietly productive — Contreras owns a 0.333 average across his last 7 starts. Matchup vs Rhett Lowder (RHP) grades 15/20 — model sees a favorable split here. Hitter-friendly park factor at Great American Ball Park.
1-4
H-AB
1
K
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
27.62/35
Contact
11.0/20
Pitcher
15.0/20
Lineup
8.5/10
Park
5.0/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
3.6
WHIP
1.0
K/9
9.0
H/9
5.4
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
70.6
66% hit prob
SEA vs ATH • vs Kade Morris (R) • #4 • 10:10 PM projected ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 5-game streak L7: .222 (5/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
13121111 L10
Raleigh is on a 5-game hit streak, batting 0.222 over his last 7. Raleigh has a 14.9% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Matchup vs Kade Morris (RHP) grades 19/20 — model sees a favorable split here.
2-3
H-AB
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
28.6/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
19.0/20
Lineup
5.5/10
Park
1.5/5
Discipline
0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
70.4
66% hit prob
PIT vs LAA • vs Ryan Johnson (R) • #4 • 6:45 PM ✗ MISS
🔥 5-game streak L7: .346 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 80°F · 6mph
2112311 L10
Hitting 4th in the order today. Gonzales is on a 5-game hit streak, batting 0.346 over his last 7. Faces Ryan Johnson who carries a 16.20 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today.
0-3
H-AB
1
K
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
31.4/35
Contact
5.5/20
Pitcher
17.0/20
Lineup
5.5/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
16.2
WHIP
3.3
K/9
5.81
H/9
20.3
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
TOR vs KC • vs Daniel Lynch IV (L) • #3 • 8:10 PM projected ✓ HIT · 2H
L7: .231 (4/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 96°F · 8mph
111113 L10
Jr. has only struck out at a 8% clip over his last 7 games (2 Ks in 26 PAs) — elite contact window. Faces Daniel Lynch IV (2.00 WHIP) — he's been putting baserunners on all season. Hitting 3rd in the order today.
2-4
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
29.44/35
Contact
20.0/20
Pitcher
5.0/20
Lineup
8.5/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
4.5
WHIP
2.0
K/9
13.5
H/9
4.5
Last 10 Games 6/10 with a hit
B
70.4
66% hit prob
LAD vs WSH • vs Jackson Kent (L) • #2 • 10:10 PM projected ✓ HIT · 2H
L7: .310 (6/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
111211122 L10
Betts is hitting 0.310 over his last 7 (6/7 with a hit). Matchup vs Jackson Kent (LHP) grades 16/20 — model sees a favorable split here. Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed.
2-4
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
29.92/35
Contact
9.0/20
Pitcher
16.5/20
Lineup
8.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
0/5
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
70.1
66% hit prob
MIL vs CIN • vs Rhett Lowder (R) • #8 • 6:10 PM projected
🔥 3-game streak L7: .360 (6/7 H) 🌡 Hitter+ · 95°F · 4mph
11212211 L10
Ortiz is swinging a 0.360 bat over his last 7 games (6/7 with a hit). Matchup vs Rhett Lowder (RHP) grades 15/20 — model sees a favorable split here. Hitter-friendly park factor at Great American Ball Park.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
30.62/35
Contact
11.0/20
Pitcher
15.0/20
Lineup
3.0/10
Park
5.0/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
2.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
3.6
WHIP
1.0
K/9
9.0
H/9
5.4
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
70.1
66% hit prob
BAL vs BOS • vs Ranger Suarez (L) • #2 • 7:05 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 8-game streak L7: .333 (7/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 86°F · 6mph
211211111 L10
Mayo is scorching — 8 straight games with a hit and a 0.333 L7 average. Mayo's 48.2% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. Mayo has a 12.3% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up.
1-3
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
31.6/35
Contact
15.0/20
Pitcher
7.5/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
8.64
WHIP
1.92
K/9
5.56
H/9
14.4
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
70.1
66% hit prob
CHC vs MIA • vs Janson Junk (R) • #4 • 7:10 PM projected ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 7-game streak L7: .387 (7/7 H) 🏟 Neutral · 72°F
11313121 L10
Draws Janson Junk, who's giving up 11.0 H/9 — hitters are teeing off on him. Hitting 4th in the order today. Bregman is scorching — 7 straight games with a hit and a 0.387 L7 average.
2-4
H-AB
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.1/35
Contact
9.0/20
Pitcher
12.0/20
Lineup
5.5/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
4.15
WHIP
1.38
K/9
10.98
H/9
11.0
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
70.0
66% hit prob
KC vs TOR • vs Jameson Taillon (R) • #1 • 8:10 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 4-game streak L7: .370 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 96°F · 8mph
12111223 L10
A 0.370 average in his last 7 — Jensen's timing is locked in right now. Faces Jameson Taillon (6.4 K/9) — low punchout rate means more balls in play. Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed.
1-4
H-AB
2
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
28.52/35
Contact
16.5/20
Pitcher
7.0/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
WHIP
1.29
K/9
6.43
H/9
4.3
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
69.9
66% hit prob
LAD vs WSH • vs Jackson Kent (L) • #3 • 10:10 PM projected ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 4-game streak L7: .357 (5/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
1222132 L10
Hernández has hits in 4 straight, carrying a 0.357 average over his last 7. Hernández's last 7 games: 0.357 AVG with 5 games producing a hit. Matchup vs Jackson Kent (LHP) grades 16/20 — model sees a favorable split here.
1-3
H-AB
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
27.42/35
Contact
13.0/20
Pitcher
16.5/20
Lineup
7.5/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
69.5
66% hit prob
ATL vs PHI • vs Cristopher Sánchez (L) • #3 • 6:40 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 4-game streak L7: .231 (6/7 H) 🌡 Hitter+ · 84°F · 7mph
221111111 L10
Goes up against Cristopher Sánchez (0.79 ERA) today. Hitter-friendly park factor at Citizens Bank Park. Hitting 3rd in the order today.
1-5
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
31.52/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
5.5/20
Lineup
6.5/10
Park
4.0/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
0.79
WHIP
0.97
K/9
13.78
H/9
5.7
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
69.3
66% hit prob
STL vs COL • vs Ryan Feltner (R) • #1 • 8:40 PM projected ✗ MISS
🔥 4-game streak L7: .250 (6/7 H) 🌡 Hitter+ · 88°F · 10mph
1121111 L10
Hitter-friendly park factor at Coors Field. Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed. Fermín has reached base with a hit in 6 of his last 7 games.
0-2
H-AB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
28.32/35
Contact
5.5/20
Pitcher
13.5/20
Lineup
9.0/10
Park
4.5/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
WHIP
0.67
K/9
12.0
H/9
3.0
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
69.2
66% hit prob
MIL vs CIN • vs Rhett Lowder (R) • #5 • 6:10 PM projected
🔥 4-game streak L7: .389 (5/7 H) 🌡 Hitter+ · 95°F · 4mph
21121121 L10
Matchup vs Rhett Lowder (RHP) grades 15/20 — model sees a favorable split here. Hitter-friendly park factor at Great American Ball Park. Vaughn has hits in 4 straight, carrying a 0.389 average over his last 7.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.22/35
Contact
7.5/20
Pitcher
15.0/20
Lineup
4.0/10
Park
5.0/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
3.6
WHIP
1.0
K/9
9.0
H/9
5.4
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
69.2
66% hit prob
MIN vs CWS • vs Erick Fedde (R) • #5 • 7:40 PM projected ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 2-game streak L7: .296 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 90°F · 8mph
1111212 L10
Bell is hitting 0.296 over his last 7 (6/7 with a hit). Faces Erick Fedde who carries a 5.40 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today.
2-3
H-AB
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
29.72/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
10.5/20
Lineup
6.0/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
5.4
WHIP
1.4
K/9
7.2
H/9
10.8
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
69.0
66% hit prob
CWS vs MIN • vs Zebby Matthews (R) • #2 • 7:40 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 1-game streak L7: .259 (5/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 90°F · 8mph
12211122 L10
Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed. Vargas's 45.2% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. Vargas has a 13.6% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up.
1-4
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.02/35
Contact
5.5/20
Pitcher
15.0/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
0.5/5
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
69.0
66% hit prob
SEA vs ATH • vs Kade Morris (R) • #3 • 10:10 PM projected ✗ MISS
🔥 4-game streak L7: .200 (5/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
2111121 L10
Hitting 3rd in the order today. Rodríguez has been getting on base, with hits in 5 of 7 recent games. Matchup vs Kade Morris (RHP) grades 18/20 — model sees a favorable split here.
0-5
H-AB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
29.52/35
Contact
13.0/20
Pitcher
18.0/20
Lineup
5.5/10
Park
1.5/5
Discipline
0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
68.8
66% hit prob
CLE vs DET • vs Andrew Sears (L) • #3 • 7:15 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 1-game streak L7: .259 (5/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 80°F · 6mph
11321211 L10
Hitting 3rd in the order today. Ramírez's xBA (0.272) outpaces his actual average (0.235) by 37 points — positive regression is coming. Matchup vs Andrew Sears (LHP) grades 16/20 — model sees a favorable split here.
0-3
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
28.32/35
Contact
12.5/20
Pitcher
16.5/20
Lineup
5.5/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
0.5/5
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
68.8
66% hit prob
STL vs COL • vs Ryan Feltner (R) • #2 • 8:40 PM projected ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 1-game streak L7: .214 (3/7 H) 🌡 Hitter+ · 88°F · 10mph
113222 L10
Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed. Herrera has been getting on base, with hits in 3 of 7 recent games. Faces Ryan Feltner (RHP) on the mound today.
2-5
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
24.84/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
13.5/20
Lineup
9.0/10
Park
4.5/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
0.5/5
vs. Pitcher
WHIP
0.67
K/9
12.0
H/9
3.0
Last 10 Games 6/10 with a hit
B
68.4
66% hit prob
MIN vs CWS • vs Erick Fedde (R) • #2 • 7:40 PM projected ✗ MISS
🔥 1-game streak L7: .290 (5/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 90°F · 8mph
11112213 L10
Faces Erick Fedde who carries a 5.40 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed. Lee is outperforming his xBA by 25 points (0.253 AVG vs 0.227 xBA) — he's finding hits where the data doesn't expect them.
0-4
H-AB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
28.94/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
10.5/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
0.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
5.4
WHIP
1.4
K/9
7.2
H/9
10.8
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
68.3
66% hit prob
SD vs NYY • vs Max Fried (L) • #1 • 9:40 PM projected ✗ MISS
🔥 3-game streak L7: .226 (5/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
4111122 L10
Jr. is averaging 92.9 mph exit velocity this season with a 54% hard-hit rate. Jr. has a 12.8% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Faces Max Fried (6.3 K/9) — low punchout rate means more balls in play.
0-4
H-AB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
31.32/35
Contact
18.0/20
Pitcher
4.0/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
1.5/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
2.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
1.35
WHIP
0.75
K/9
6.3
H/9
4.5
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
68.1
66% hit prob
KC vs TOR • vs Jameson Taillon (R) • #4 • 8:10 PM ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 2-game streak L7: .233 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 96°F · 8mph
21112111 L10
Faces Jameson Taillon (6.4 K/9) — low punchout rate means more balls in play. Hitting 4th in the order today. Perez has reached base with a hit in 6 of his last 7 games.
2-3
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
33.62/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
6.5/20
Lineup
5.5/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
vs. Pitcher
WHIP
1.29
K/9
6.43
H/9
4.3
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
68.0
66% hit prob
MIA vs CHC • vs Shota Imanaga (L) • #2 • 7:10 PM projected
🔥 4-game streak L7: .333 (6/7 H) 🏟 Neutral · 72°F
11112121 L10
Stowers has a 12.7% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Stowers has reached base with a hit in 6 of his last 7 games. Faces Shota Imanaga (4.50 ERA) — a plus matchup by the model.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.02/35
Contact
18.5/20
Pitcher
4.5/20
Lineup
9.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
4.5
WHIP
1.2
K/9
9.9
H/9
8.1
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
68.0
66% hit prob
ATH vs SEA • vs Logan Gilbert (R) • #3 • 10:10 PM projected ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 10-game streak L7: .308 (7/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
2211111112 L10
Hitting 3rd in the order today. Butler is scorching — 10 straight games with a hit and a 0.308 L7 average. Butler's 47.3% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud.
1-4
H-AB
2
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
16.5/20
Pitcher
3.5/20
Lineup
5.5/10
Park
1.5/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
6.75
WHIP
1.41
K/9
11.47
H/9
10.6
Last 10 Games 10/10 with a hit
Power Plays
3 LOCK picks today — extra-base hit props
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