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DATA IN. LOCKS OUT.
Welcome to Lock Labs! Scores above 80 = strong pick · Tier S+ = elite · Tap any pick to see the breakdown.
BTS Single 127-72 (63.8%) · Streak: 0 · Parlay: 29-43 (40.3%) · S 10-7 (58.8%) · A 220-104 (67.9%) · B 2515-1336 (65.3%)

Power Plays

BETA

Highest conviction 2+ total base picks. LOCK tier only — pitcher form + boost required.

XBH Record
310-626 33%
2+ TB Record
388-548 41%
Graded
936 picks L2
← PREV 2026-06-08 NEXT →
Last scored 04:00 PM ET
CJ Abrams
CA
CJ Abrams LOCK
WSH WSH vs SF SF vs Logan Webb 9:45 PM ET platoon confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Abrams is one of the most dangerous power bats in baseball right now — .291 ISO with 111 mph max exit velo. Logan Webb has been getting crushed for extra-base hits — 12% XBH rate in his last 3 starts. Gets an extra edge from platoon advantage.
✓ 2+ TB 2 TB
Chase DeLauter
CD
CLE CLE vs NYY NYY vs Will Warren 6:40 PM ET platoon temp confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Elite power numbers from DeLauter: .468 ISO and a 111 mph max exit velo this season. Will Warren's last 3 starts show a 9% XBH rate — he's been hittable for power. Stacking boosts: platoon advantage and 89°F game-time temp.
✗ No XBH 1 TB
Recent Results (last 20 graded)
✗
Ian Happ
Ian Happ
2026-09-19 — CHC CHC vs CIN CIN
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Sal Stewart
Sal Stewart
2026-09-19 — CIN CIN vs CHC CHC
No XBH
0 TB
✓
Drake Baldwin
Drake Baldwin
2026-09-19 — ATL ATL vs HOU HOU
2B
4 TB
✗
Yordan Alvarez
Yordan Alvarez
2026-09-19 — HOU HOU vs ATL ATL
No XBH
1 TB
✓
Carter Jensen
Carter Jensen
2026-09-19 — KC KC vs PIT PIT
HR
4 TB
✗
Matt Olson
Matt Olson
2026-09-19 — ATL ATL vs HOU HOU
No XBH
2 TB
✗
Zach Neto
Zach Neto
2026-09-19 — LAA LAA vs MIN MIN
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Munetaka Murakami
Munetaka Murakami
2026-09-19 — CWS CWS vs DET DET
No XBH
1 TB
✓
Brandon Lowe
Brandon Lowe
2026-09-18 — PIT PIT vs KC KC
HR
4 TB
✗
Chase DeLauter
Chase DeLauter
2026-09-18 — CLE CLE vs ATH
No XBH
1 TB
✓
Oneil Cruz
Oneil Cruz
2026-09-18 — PIT PIT vs KC KC
2B
4 TB
✗
Ryan O'Hearn
Ryan O'Hearn
2026-09-18 — PIT PIT vs KC KC
No XBH
0 TB
✓
Sal Stewart
Sal Stewart
2026-09-17 — CIN CIN vs LAD LAD
HR
5 TB
✓
Brandon Lowe
Brandon Lowe
2026-09-17 — PIT PIT vs MIL MIL
2B
2 TB
✗
Juan Soto
Juan Soto
2026-09-17 — NYM NYM vs PHI PHI
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Jared Young
Jared Young
2026-09-17 — NYM NYM vs PHI PHI
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Oneil Cruz
Oneil Cruz
2026-09-17 — PIT PIT vs MIL MIL
No XBH
1 TB
✗
Zach Neto
Zach Neto
2026-09-17 — LAA LAA vs MIN MIN
No XBH
0 TB
✓
Yordan Alvarez
Yordan Alvarez
2026-09-17 — HOU HOU vs KC KC
HR
5 TB
✗
Kyle Schwarber
Kyle Schwarber
2026-09-17 — PHI PHI vs NYM NYM
No XBH
0 TB

Home Run Picks

BETA

Separate model — HR rate × pitcher xSLG × max exit velo. BOMB = base + boost (temp, pitcher form, or platoon).

BOMB
330-1421 (19%)
ELITE
57-253 (18%)
Taylor Ward
TW
BAL BAL vs SEA SEA vs Emerson Hancock temp
HR prob
30%
✗ No HR
Pete Alonso
PA
BAL BAL vs SEA SEA vs Emerson Hancock temp
HR prob
30%
✗ No HR
Rafael Devers
RD
SF SF vs WSH WSH vs Miles Mikolas platoon
HR prob
27%
✗ No HR
José Ramírez
JR
CLE CLE vs NYY NYY vs Will Warren temp platoon
HR prob
24%
✗ No HR
Kyle Manzardo
KM
CLE CLE vs NYY NYY vs Will Warren temp platoon
HR prob
24%
✗ No HR
Gary Sánchez
GS
MIL MIL vs ATH vs Jeffrey Springs pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
23%
Will Benson
WB
CIN CIN vs SD SD vs Walker Buehler platoon
HR prob
21%
Eugenio Suárez
ES
CIN CIN vs SD SD vs Walker Buehler
HR prob
27%
✗ No HR
Kyle Schwarber
KS
PHI PHI vs TOR TOR vs Patrick Corbin
HR prob
27%
✗ No HR
Jo Adell
JA
Jo Adell ELITE
LAA LAA vs HOU HOU vs Spencer Arrighetti
HR prob
27%
✗ No HR
Sal Stewart
SS
Sal Stewart ELITE
CIN CIN vs SD SD vs Walker Buehler
HR prob
27%
✗ No HR
Willy Adames
WA
Willy Adames ELITE
SF SF vs WSH WSH vs Miles Mikolas
HR prob
24%
✗ No HR
Mike Trout
MT
Mike Trout ELITE
LAA LAA vs HOU HOU vs Spencer Arrighetti
HR prob
21%
✗ No HR
Bryce Harper
BH
Bryce Harper ELITE
PHI PHI vs TOR TOR vs Patrick Corbin
HR prob
21%
✗ No HR
Tyler O'Neill
TO
BAL BAL vs SEA SEA vs Emerson Hancock
HR prob
21%
Zach Neto
ZN
Zach Neto ELITE
LAA LAA vs HOU HOU vs Spencer Arrighetti
HR prob
21%
✓ HOME RUN!
How picks are filtered
2+ TB: ISO×pxSLG ≥ .100 + pitcher L3 XBH rate ≥ .08 + boost flag. ~48% XBH hit rate vs ~29% implied.
HR: HR rate ≥ .049 + pitcher xSLG ≥ .420 + max EV ≥ 101. BOMB = base + boost. ~27% HR vs ~20-25% implied.
LOCK LABS — Data In. Locks Out.
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