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DATA IN. LOCKS OUT.
Welcome to Lock Labs! Scores above 80 = strong pick · Tier S+ = elite · Tap any pick to see the breakdown.
BTS Single 127-72 (63.8%) · Streak: 0 · Parlay: 29-43 (40.3%) · S 10-7 (58.8%) · A 220-104 (67.9%) · B 2515-1336 (65.3%)

Power Plays

BETA

Highest conviction 2+ total base picks. LOCK tier only — pitcher form + boost required.

XBH Record
310-626 33%
2+ TB Record
388-548 41%
Graded
936 picks L2
← PREV 2026-06-09 NEXT →
Last scored 04:00 PM ET
Juan Soto
JS
Juan Soto LOCK
NYM NYM vs STL STL vs Dustin May 7:10 PM ET platoon confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Soto's .262 ISO puts him in the top tier of power hitters on today's slate. Dustin May's last 3 starts show a 8% XBH rate — he's been hittable for power. Gets an extra edge from platoon advantage.
✗ No XBH 1 TB
Shea Langeliers
SL
ATH vs MIL MIL vs Robert Gasser 10:05 PM ET platoon confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Elite power numbers from Langeliers: .416 ISO and a 114 mph max exit velo this season. Robert Gasser has allowed a 10% XBH rate over his last 3 starts — hitters are squaring him up for damage. Gets an extra edge from platoon advantage.
✗ No XBH 1 TB
Andy Pages
AP
Andy Pages LOCK
LAD LAD vs PIT PIT vs Paul Skenes 6:40 PM ET temp confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Pages is one of the most dangerous power bats in baseball right now — .323 ISO with 110 mph max exit velo. Paul Skenes has allowed a 11% XBH rate over his last 3 starts — hitters are squaring him up for damage. Gets an extra edge from 82°F game-time temp.
✓ HR 4 TB
CJ Abrams
CA
CJ Abrams LOCK
WSH WSH vs SF SF vs Adrian Houser 9:45 PM ET platoon confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Abrams is one of the most dangerous power bats in baseball right now — .291 ISO with 111 mph max exit velo. Adrian Houser's last 3 starts show a 9% XBH rate — he's been hittable for power. Gets an extra edge from platoon advantage.
✗ No XBH 0 TB
Cole Young
CY
Cole Young LOCK
SEA SEA vs BAL BAL vs Trevor Rogers 6:35 PM ET park temp confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Elite power numbers from Young: .278 ISO and a 111 mph max exit velo this season. Trevor Rogers's last 3 starts show a 9% XBH rate — he's been hittable for power. Stacking boosts: park factor 1.07x and 80°F game-time temp.
✗ No XBH 0 TB
Recent Results (last 20 graded)
✗
Ian Happ
Ian Happ
2026-09-19 — CHC CHC vs CIN CIN
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Sal Stewart
Sal Stewart
2026-09-19 — CIN CIN vs CHC CHC
No XBH
0 TB
✓
Drake Baldwin
Drake Baldwin
2026-09-19 — ATL ATL vs HOU HOU
2B
4 TB
✗
Yordan Alvarez
Yordan Alvarez
2026-09-19 — HOU HOU vs ATL ATL
No XBH
1 TB
✓
Carter Jensen
Carter Jensen
2026-09-19 — KC KC vs PIT PIT
HR
4 TB
✗
Matt Olson
Matt Olson
2026-09-19 — ATL ATL vs HOU HOU
No XBH
2 TB
✗
Zach Neto
Zach Neto
2026-09-19 — LAA LAA vs MIN MIN
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Munetaka Murakami
Munetaka Murakami
2026-09-19 — CWS CWS vs DET DET
No XBH
1 TB
✓
Brandon Lowe
Brandon Lowe
2026-09-18 — PIT PIT vs KC KC
HR
4 TB
✗
Chase DeLauter
Chase DeLauter
2026-09-18 — CLE CLE vs ATH
No XBH
1 TB
✓
Oneil Cruz
Oneil Cruz
2026-09-18 — PIT PIT vs KC KC
2B
4 TB
✗
Ryan O'Hearn
Ryan O'Hearn
2026-09-18 — PIT PIT vs KC KC
No XBH
0 TB
✓
Sal Stewart
Sal Stewart
2026-09-17 — CIN CIN vs LAD LAD
HR
5 TB
✓
Brandon Lowe
Brandon Lowe
2026-09-17 — PIT PIT vs MIL MIL
2B
2 TB
✗
Juan Soto
Juan Soto
2026-09-17 — NYM NYM vs PHI PHI
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Jared Young
Jared Young
2026-09-17 — NYM NYM vs PHI PHI
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Oneil Cruz
Oneil Cruz
2026-09-17 — PIT PIT vs MIL MIL
No XBH
1 TB
✗
Zach Neto
Zach Neto
2026-09-17 — LAA LAA vs MIN MIN
No XBH
0 TB
✓
Yordan Alvarez
Yordan Alvarez
2026-09-17 — HOU HOU vs KC KC
HR
5 TB
✗
Kyle Schwarber
Kyle Schwarber
2026-09-17 — PHI PHI vs NYM NYM
No XBH
0 TB

Home Run Picks

BETA

Separate model — HR rate × pitcher xSLG × max exit velo. BOMB = base + boost (temp, pitcher form, or platoon).

BOMB
330-1421 (19%)
ELITE
57-253 (18%)
Ronald Acuña Jr.
RJ
ATL ATL vs CWS CWS vs Erick Fedde temp pitcher_form
HR prob
31%
✗ No HR
Trent Grisham
TG
NYY NYY vs CLE CLE vs Slade Cecconi temp platoon
HR prob
30%
✗ No HR
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
JJ
NYY NYY vs CLE CLE vs Slade Cecconi temp platoon
HR prob
30%
✓ HOME RUN!
Juan Soto
JS
Juan Soto BOMB
NYM NYM vs STL STL vs Dustin May platoon
HR prob
27%
✗ No HR
Michael Busch
MB
CHC CHC vs COL COL vs Tomoyuki Sugano platoon
HR prob
27%
✓ HOME RUN!
Junior Caminero
JC
TB TB vs BOS BOS vs Payton Tolle platoon
HR prob
27%
✗ No HR
Ben Rice
BR
Ben Rice BOMB
NYY NYY vs CLE CLE vs Slade Cecconi temp platoon
HR prob
27%
✗ No HR
Kyle Stowers
KS
MIA MIA vs AZ AZ vs Zac Gallen pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
26%
✗ No HR
Ketel Marte
KM
AZ AZ vs MIA MIA vs Max Meyer platoon
HR prob
24%
✗ No HR
Austin Wells
AW
NYY NYY vs CLE CLE vs Slade Cecconi platoon
HR prob
24%
Corbin Carroll
CC
AZ AZ vs MIA MIA vs Max Meyer platoon
HR prob
24%
✓ HOME RUN!
Pete Crow-Armstrong
PC
CHC CHC vs COL COL vs Tomoyuki Sugano platoon
HR prob
24%
✗ No HR
Cody Bellinger
CB
NYY NYY vs CLE CLE vs Slade Cecconi temp platoon
HR prob
24%
✗ No HR
Will Benson
WB
CIN CIN vs SD SD vs Lucas Giolito pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
23%
Aaron Judge
AJ
Aaron Judge ELITE
NYY NYY vs CLE CLE vs Slade Cecconi
HR prob
27%
Hunter Goodman
HG
COL COL vs CHC CHC vs Colin Rea
HR prob
24%
✓ HOME RUN!
How picks are filtered
2+ TB: ISO×pxSLG ≥ .100 + pitcher L3 XBH rate ≥ .08 + boost flag. ~48% XBH hit rate vs ~29% implied.
HR: HR rate ≥ .049 + pitcher xSLG ≥ .420 + max EV ≥ 101. BOMB = base + boost. ~27% HR vs ~20-25% implied.
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