LOCK LABS — Power Plays

BTS Single 127-72 (63.8%) · Streak: 0 · Parlay: 29-43 (40.3%) · S 10-7 (58.8%) · A 220-104 (67.9%) · B 2515-1336 (65.3%)

Power Plays

BETA

Highest conviction 2+ total base picks. LOCK tier only — pitcher form + boost required.

XBH Record

310-626 33%

2+ TB Record

388-548 41%

Graded

936 picks L2

← PREV 2026-06-10 NEXT →

Last scored 04:00 PM ET

Nick Kurtz LOCK

ATH vs MIL

MIL vs Brandon Sproat 9:05 PM ET platoon confirmed

XBH Prob

48%

Awaiting lines

Kurtz's .329 ISO puts him in the top tier of power hitters on today's slate. Brandon Sproat has allowed a 10% XBH rate over his last 3 starts — hitters are squaring him up for damage. Gets an extra edge from platoon advantage.

✗ No XBH 1 TB

Recent Results (last 20 graded)

✗

Ian Happ

2026-09-19 — CHC

CHC vs

CIN

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Sal Stewart

2026-09-19 — CIN

CIN vs

CHC

No XBH

0 TB

✓

Drake Baldwin

2026-09-19 — ATL

ATL vs

HOU

4 TB

✗

Yordan Alvarez

2026-09-19 — HOU

HOU vs

ATL

No XBH

1 TB

✓

Carter Jensen

2026-09-19 —

KC vs

PIT

4 TB

✗

Matt Olson

2026-09-19 — ATL

ATL vs

HOU

No XBH

2 TB

✗

Zach Neto

2026-09-19 — LAA

LAA vs

MIN

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Munetaka Murakami

2026-09-19 — CWS

CWS vs

DET

No XBH

1 TB

✓

Brandon Lowe

2026-09-18 — PIT

PIT vs

4 TB

✗

Chase DeLauter

2026-09-18 — CLE

CLE vs ATH

No XBH

1 TB

✓

Oneil Cruz

2026-09-18 — PIT

PIT vs

4 TB

✗

Ryan O'Hearn

2026-09-18 — PIT

PIT vs

No XBH

0 TB

✓

Sal Stewart

2026-09-17 — CIN

CIN vs

LAD

5 TB

✓

Brandon Lowe

2026-09-17 — PIT

PIT vs

MIL

2 TB

✗

Juan Soto

2026-09-17 — NYM

NYM vs

PHI

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Jared Young

2026-09-17 — NYM

NYM vs

PHI

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Oneil Cruz

2026-09-17 — PIT

PIT vs

MIL

No XBH

1 TB

✗

Zach Neto

2026-09-17 — LAA

LAA vs

MIN

No XBH

0 TB

✓

Yordan Alvarez

2026-09-17 — HOU

HOU vs

5 TB

✗

Kyle Schwarber

2026-09-17 — PHI

PHI vs

NYM

No XBH

0 TB

Home Run Picks

BETA

Separate model — HR rate × pitcher xSLG × max exit velo. BOMB = base + boost (temp, pitcher form, or platoon).

BOMB

330-1421 (19%)

ELITE

57-253 (18%)

Michael Busch BOMB

CHC vs COL

COL vs Michael Lorenzen temp pitcher_form platoon

HR prob

32%

✗ No HR

Corey Seager BOMB

TEX vs

KC vs Seth Lugo temp pitcher_form platoon

HR prob

29%

✗ No HR

Kyle Schwarber BOMB

PHI vs TOR

TOR vs Max Scherzer pitcher_form platoon

HR prob

29%

✓ HOME RUN!

Hunter Goodman BOMB

COL vs CHC

CHC vs Shota Imanaga temp pitcher_form platoon

HR prob

29%

✗ No HR

Bryce Harper BOMB

PHI vs TOR

TOR vs Max Scherzer pitcher_form platoon

HR prob

26%

✓ HOME RUN!

Ketel Marte BOMB

AZ vs

MIA vs Ryan Gusto pitcher_form platoon

HR prob

26%

✗ No HR

Corbin Carroll BOMB

AZ vs

MIA vs Ryan Gusto pitcher_form platoon

HR prob

26%

✗ No HR

Pete Crow-Armstrong BOMB

CHC vs COL

COL vs Michael Lorenzen temp pitcher_form platoon

HR prob

26%

✗ No HR

Rob Refsnyder BOMB

SEA vs BAL

BAL vs Brandon Young temp

HR prob

24%

Julio Rodríguez BOMB

SEA vs BAL

BAL vs Brandon Young temp

HR prob

24%

✗ No HR

Will Benson BOMB

CIN vs

SD vs Michael King pitcher_form platoon

HR prob

23%

✗ No HR

How picks are filtered

2+ TB: ISO×pxSLG ≥ .100 + pitcher L3 XBH rate ≥ .08 + boost flag. ~48% XBH hit rate vs ~29% implied.

HR: HR rate ≥ .049 + pitcher xSLG ≥ .420 + max EV ≥ 101. BOMB = base + boost. ~27% HR vs ~20-25% implied.

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