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DATA IN. LOCKS OUT.
Welcome to Lock Labs! Scores above 80 = strong pick · Tier S+ = elite · Tap any pick to see the breakdown.
BTS Single 127-72 (63.8%) · Streak: 0 · Parlay: 29-43 (40.3%) · S 10-7 (58.8%) · A 216-103 (67.7%) · B 2484-1325 (65.2%)

Power Plays

BETA

Highest conviction 2+ total base picks. LOCK tier only — pitcher form + boost required.

XBH Record
308-620 33%
2+ TB Record
385-543 41%
Graded
928 picks L1
← PREV 2026-06-23 NEXT →
Last scored 04:00 PM ET
Kyle Schwarber
KS
PHI PHI vs WSH WSH vs Zack Littell 6:45 PM ET platoon confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Elite power numbers from Schwarber: .343 ISO and a 113 mph max exit velo this season. Zack Littell has allowed a 10% XBH rate over his last 3 starts — hitters are squaring him up for damage. Gets an extra edge from platoon advantage.
Brandon Lowe
BL
PIT PIT vs SEA SEA vs George Kirby 6:40 PM ET platoon temp confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Elite power numbers from Lowe: .366 ISO and a 111 mph max exit velo this season. George Kirby has allowed a 11% XBH rate over his last 3 starts — hitters are squaring him up for damage. Stacking boosts: platoon advantage and 76°F game-time temp.
✓ XBH 3 TB
Juan Soto
JS
Juan Soto LOCK
NYM NYM vs CHC CHC vs Edward Cabrera 7:10 PM ET platoon confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Soto's .262 ISO puts him in the top tier of power hitters on today's slate. Edward Cabrera has been getting crushed for extra-base hits — 15% XBH rate in his last 3 starts. Gets an extra edge from platoon advantage.
✗ No XBH 0 TB
Zach Neto
ZN
Zach Neto LOCK
LAA LAA vs BAL BAL vs Shane Baz 9:38 PM ET park confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Neto is one of the most dangerous power bats in baseball right now — .282 ISO with 110 mph max exit velo. Shane Baz's last 3 starts show a 8% XBH rate — he's been hittable for power. Gets an extra edge from park factor 1.05x.
✓ XBH 3 TB
Jordan Walker
JW
STL STL vs AZ AZ vs Eduardo Rodriguez 7:45 PM ET platoon temp confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Elite power numbers from Walker: .267 ISO and a 117 mph max exit velo this season. Eduardo Rodriguez's last 3 starts show a 9% XBH rate — he's been hittable for power. Stacking boosts: platoon advantage and 82°F game-time temp.
✓ 2+ TB 2 TB
Sal Stewart
SS
CIN CIN vs MIL MIL vs Brandon Sproat 7:10 PM ET temp confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Elite power numbers from Stewart: .300 ISO and a 111 mph max exit velo this season. Brandon Sproat has allowed a 11% XBH rate over his last 3 starts — hitters are squaring him up for damage. Gets an extra edge from 78°F game-time temp.
✗ No XBH 0 TB
Recent Results (last 20 graded)
✓
Brandon Lowe
Brandon Lowe
2026-09-18 — PIT PIT vs KC KC
HR
4 TB
✗
Chase DeLauter
Chase DeLauter
2026-09-18 — CLE CLE vs ATH
No XBH
1 TB
✓
Oneil Cruz
Oneil Cruz
2026-09-18 — PIT PIT vs KC KC
2B
4 TB
✗
Ryan O'Hearn
Ryan O'Hearn
2026-09-18 — PIT PIT vs KC KC
No XBH
0 TB
✓
Sal Stewart
Sal Stewart
2026-09-17 — CIN CIN vs LAD LAD
HR
5 TB
✓
Brandon Lowe
Brandon Lowe
2026-09-17 — PIT PIT vs MIL MIL
2B
2 TB
✗
Juan Soto
Juan Soto
2026-09-17 — NYM NYM vs PHI PHI
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Jared Young
Jared Young
2026-09-17 — NYM NYM vs PHI PHI
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Oneil Cruz
Oneil Cruz
2026-09-17 — PIT PIT vs MIL MIL
No XBH
1 TB
✗
Zach Neto
Zach Neto
2026-09-17 — LAA LAA vs MIN MIN
No XBH
0 TB
✓
Yordan Alvarez
Yordan Alvarez
2026-09-17 — HOU HOU vs KC KC
HR
5 TB
✗
Kyle Schwarber
Kyle Schwarber
2026-09-17 — PHI PHI vs NYM NYM
No XBH
0 TB
✓
Daulton Varsho
Daulton Varsho
2026-09-17 — HOU HOU vs KC KC
HR
4 TB
✗
Jordan Walker
Jordan Walker
2026-09-16 — STL STL vs SF SF
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Jared Young
Jared Young
2026-09-16 — NYM NYM vs BAL BAL
No XBH
1 TB
✗
Cole Young
Cole Young
2026-09-16 — SEA SEA vs LAA LAA
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Zach Neto
Zach Neto
2026-09-16 — LAA LAA vs SEA SEA
No XBH
2 TB
✗
Christian Walker
Christian Walker
2026-09-16 — HOU HOU vs KC KC
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Jordan Walker
Jordan Walker
2026-09-15 — STL STL vs SF SF
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Zach Neto
Zach Neto
2026-09-15 — LAA LAA vs SEA SEA
No XBH
0 TB

Home Run Picks

BETA

Separate model — HR rate × pitcher xSLG × max exit velo. BOMB = base + boost (temp, pitcher form, or platoon).

BOMB
327-1408 (19%)
ELITE
54-250 (18%)
Cal Raleigh
CR
SEA SEA vs PIT PIT vs Mitch Keller temp pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
32%
✓ HOME RUN!
Kyle Schwarber
KS
PHI PHI vs WSH WSH vs Zack Littell pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
29%
Kyle Stowers
KS
MIA MIA vs TEX TEX vs Cal Quantrill pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
29%
✗ No HR
Bryce Harper
BH
PHI PHI vs WSH WSH vs Zack Littell pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
26%
✗ No HR
Kyle Manzardo
KM
CLE CLE vs CWS CWS vs Sean Burke pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
26%
✗ No HR
Julio Rodríguez
JR
SEA SEA vs PIT PIT vs Mitch Keller temp pitcher_form
HR prob
25%
✗ No HR
José Ramírez
JR
CLE CLE vs CWS CWS vs Sean Burke pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
23%
Rafael Devers
RD
SF SF vs ATH vs Aaron Civale pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
23%
✗ No HR
Corey Seager
CS
TEX TEX vs MIA MIA vs Sandy Alcantara platoon
HR prob
21%
How picks are filtered
2+ TB: ISO×pxSLG ≥ .100 + pitcher L3 XBH rate ≥ .08 + boost flag. ~48% XBH hit rate vs ~29% implied.
HR: HR rate ≥ .049 + pitcher xSLG ≥ .420 + max EV ≥ 101. BOMB = base + boost. ~27% HR vs ~20-25% implied.
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