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DATA IN. LOCKS OUT.
Welcome to Lock Labs! Scores above 80 = strong pick · Tier S+ = elite · Tap any pick to see the breakdown.
BTS Single 127-72 (63.8%) · Streak: 0 · Parlay: 29-43 (40.3%) · S 10-7 (58.8%) · A 216-103 (67.7%) · B 2476-1324 (65.2%)

Power Plays

BETA

Highest conviction 2+ total base picks. LOCK tier only — pitcher form + boost required.

XBH Record
306-618 33%
2+ TB Record
383-541 41%
Graded
924 picks W1
← PREV 2026-07-10 NEXT →
Last scored 04:00 PM ET
Trent Grisham
TG
NYY NYY vs WSH WSH vs Carson Palmquist 6:45 PM ET temp confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Grisham brings legit pop — .229 ISO and 112 mph max exit velocity this season. Carson Palmquist's last 3 starts show a 8% XBH rate — he's been hittable for power. Gets an extra edge from 87°F game-time temp.
✗ No XBH 1 TB
Andy Pages
AP
Andy Pages LOCK
LAD LAD vs AZ AZ vs Eduardo Rodriguez 10:10 PM ET platoon confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Pages is one of the most dangerous power bats in baseball right now — .323 ISO with 110 mph max exit velo. Eduardo Rodriguez's last 3 starts show a 8% XBH rate — he's been hittable for power. Gets an extra edge from platoon advantage.
✓ HR 6 TB
CJ Abrams
CA
CJ Abrams LOCK
WSH WSH vs NYY NYY vs Ryan Weathers 6:45 PM ET temp confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Abrams is one of the most dangerous power bats in baseball right now — .291 ISO with 111 mph max exit velo. Ryan Weathers's last 3 starts show a 8% XBH rate — he's been hittable for power. Gets an extra edge from 87°F game-time temp.
✓ XBH 2 TB
Zach Neto
ZN
Zach Neto LOCK
LAA LAA vs MIN MIN vs Zebby Matthews 8:10 PM ET temp confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Neto is one of the most dangerous power bats in baseball right now — .282 ISO with 110 mph max exit velo. Zebby Matthews has allowed a 10% XBH rate over his last 3 starts — hitters are squaring him up for damage. Gets an extra edge from 86°F game-time temp.
✗ No XBH 1 TB
Ben Rice
BR
Ben Rice LOCK
NYY NYY vs WSH WSH vs Carson Palmquist 6:45 PM ET temp confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Rice brings legit pop — .244 ISO and 111 mph max exit velocity this season. Carson Palmquist's last 3 starts show a 8% XBH rate — he's been hittable for power. Gets an extra edge from 87°F game-time temp.
✓ HR 4 TB
Sal Stewart
SS
CIN CIN vs CHC CHC vs Shota Imanaga 7:10 PM ET platoon temp confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Elite power numbers from Stewart: .300 ISO and a 111 mph max exit velo this season. Shota Imanaga has allowed a 10% XBH rate over his last 3 starts — hitters are squaring him up for damage. Stacking boosts: platoon advantage and 84°F game-time temp.
✓ 2+ TB 2 TB
Munetaka Murakami
MM
CWS CWS vs ATH vs Jacob Lopez 7:40 PM ET temp confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Murakami is one of the most dangerous power bats in baseball right now — .387 ISO with 114 mph max exit velo. Jacob Lopez has allowed a 10% XBH rate over his last 3 starts — hitters are squaring him up for damage. Gets an extra edge from 75°F game-time temp.
✓ XBH 2 TB
Recent Results (last 20 graded)
✓
Sal Stewart
Sal Stewart
2026-09-17 — CIN CIN vs LAD LAD
HR
5 TB
✓
Brandon Lowe
Brandon Lowe
2026-09-17 — PIT PIT vs MIL MIL
2B
2 TB
✗
Juan Soto
Juan Soto
2026-09-17 — NYM NYM vs PHI PHI
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Jared Young
Jared Young
2026-09-17 — NYM NYM vs PHI PHI
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Oneil Cruz
Oneil Cruz
2026-09-17 — PIT PIT vs MIL MIL
No XBH
1 TB
✗
Zach Neto
Zach Neto
2026-09-17 — LAA LAA vs MIN MIN
No XBH
0 TB
✓
Yordan Alvarez
Yordan Alvarez
2026-09-17 — HOU HOU vs KC KC
HR
5 TB
✗
Kyle Schwarber
Kyle Schwarber
2026-09-17 — PHI PHI vs NYM NYM
No XBH
0 TB
✓
Daulton Varsho
Daulton Varsho
2026-09-17 — HOU HOU vs KC KC
HR
4 TB
✗
Jordan Walker
Jordan Walker
2026-09-16 — STL STL vs SF SF
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Jared Young
Jared Young
2026-09-16 — NYM NYM vs BAL BAL
No XBH
1 TB
✗
Cole Young
Cole Young
2026-09-16 — SEA SEA vs LAA LAA
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Zach Neto
Zach Neto
2026-09-16 — LAA LAA vs SEA SEA
No XBH
2 TB
✗
Christian Walker
Christian Walker
2026-09-16 — HOU HOU vs KC KC
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Jordan Walker
Jordan Walker
2026-09-15 — STL STL vs SF SF
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Zach Neto
Zach Neto
2026-09-15 — LAA LAA vs SEA SEA
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Jackson Merrill
Jackson Merrill
2026-09-14 — SD SD vs COL COL
No XBH
3 TB
✗
Juan Soto
Juan Soto
2026-09-14 — NYM NYM vs BAL BAL
No XBH
1 TB
✗
Jared Young
Jared Young
2026-09-14 — NYM NYM vs BAL BAL
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Mickey Moniak
Mickey Moniak
2026-09-14 — COL COL vs SD SD
No XBH
0 TB

Home Run Picks

BETA

Separate model — HR rate × pitcher xSLG × max exit velo. BOMB = base + boost (temp, pitcher form, or platoon).

BOMB
326-1408 (19%)
ELITE
54-250 (18%)
Trent Grisham
TG
NYY NYY vs WSH WSH vs Carson Palmquist temp pitcher_form
HR prob
31%
✗ No HR
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
JJ
NYY NYY vs WSH WSH vs Carson Palmquist temp pitcher_form
HR prob
31%
✓ HOME RUN!
Ben Rice
BR
Ben Rice BOMB
NYY NYY vs WSH WSH vs Carson Palmquist temp pitcher_form
HR prob
31%
✓ HOME RUN!
Eugenio Suárez
ES
CIN CIN vs CHC CHC vs Shota Imanaga temp platoon
HR prob
30%
✗ No HR
Sal Stewart
SS
CIN CIN vs CHC CHC vs Shota Imanaga temp platoon
HR prob
30%
✗ No HR
Nick Kurtz
NK
Nick Kurtz BOMB
ATH vs CWS CWS vs Sean Burke temp platoon
HR prob
30%
Jo Adell
JA
Jo Adell BOMB
LAA LAA vs MIN MIN vs Zebby Matthews temp
HR prob
30%
✗ No HR
Shea Langeliers
SL
ATH vs CWS CWS vs Sean Burke temp
HR prob
30%
✗ No HR
George Springer
GS
TOR TOR vs SD SD vs JP Sears pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
29%
✗ No HR
Rafael Devers
RD
SF SF vs COL COL vs Tanner Gordon pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
29%
✓ HOME RUN!
Cody Bellinger
CB
NYY NYY vs WSH WSH vs Carson Palmquist temp pitcher_form
HR prob
28%
✗ No HR
Austin Wells
AW
NYY NYY vs WSH WSH vs Carson Palmquist temp pitcher_form
HR prob
28%
✓ HOME RUN!
Mike Trout
MT
Mike Trout BOMB
LAA LAA vs MIN MIN vs Zebby Matthews temp
HR prob
27%
Kyle Manzardo
KM
CLE CLE vs MIA MIA vs Sandy Alcantara platoon
HR prob
24%
✗ No HR
Carter Jensen
CJ
KC KC vs BAL BAL vs Brandon Young temp platoon
HR prob
24%
✗ No HR
Salvador Perez
SP
KC KC vs BAL BAL vs Brandon Young temp
HR prob
24%
✗ No HR
Zach Neto
ZN
Zach Neto BOMB
LAA LAA vs MIN MIN vs Zebby Matthews temp
HR prob
24%
✗ No HR
Shohei Ohtani
SO
LAD LAD vs AZ AZ vs Eduardo Rodriguez
HR prob
27%
✓ HOME RUN!
Max Muncy
MM
Max Muncy ELITE
LAD LAD vs AZ AZ vs Eduardo Rodriguez
HR prob
24%
How picks are filtered
2+ TB: ISO×pxSLG ≥ .100 + pitcher L3 XBH rate ≥ .08 + boost flag. ~48% XBH hit rate vs ~29% implied.
HR: HR rate ≥ .049 + pitcher xSLG ≥ .420 + max EV ≥ 101. BOMB = base + boost. ~27% HR vs ~20-25% implied.
LOCK LABS — Data In. Locks Out.
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