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DATA IN. LOCKS OUT.
Welcome to Lock Labs! Scores above 80 = strong pick · Tier S+ = elite · Tap any pick to see the breakdown.
BTS Single 126-71 (64.0%) · Streak: 2 · Parlay: 29-42 (40.8%) · S 10-7 (58.8%) · A 214-100 (68.2%) · B 2466-1321 (65.1%)

Power Plays

BETA

Highest conviction 2+ total base picks. LOCK tier only — pitcher form + boost required.

XBH Record
302-613 33%
2+ TB Record
379-536 41%
Graded
915 picks L2
← PREV 2026-08-19 NEXT →
Last scored 04:00 PM ET
Brandon Lowe
BL
PIT PIT vs DET DET vs Jackson Jobe 12:35 PM ET platoon temp confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Elite power numbers from Lowe: .366 ISO and a 111 mph max exit velo this season. Jackson Jobe has allowed a 10% XBH rate over his last 3 starts — hitters are squaring him up for damage. Stacking boosts: platoon advantage and 75°F game-time temp.
✓ HR 4 TB
Jared Young
JY
NYM NYM vs SD SD vs Michael King 1:10 PM ET platoon temp confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Elite power numbers from Young: .302 ISO and a 114 mph max exit velo this season. Michael King's last 3 starts show a 9% XBH rate — he's been hittable for power. Stacking boosts: platoon advantage and 85°F game-time temp.
✓ 2+ TB 2 TB
Andy Pages
AP
Andy Pages LOCK
LAD LAD vs COL COL vs Kyle Freeland 8:40 PM ET platoon park confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Pages is one of the most dangerous power bats in baseball right now — .323 ISO with 110 mph max exit velo. Kyle Freeland has allowed a 10% XBH rate over his last 3 starts — hitters are squaring him up for damage. Stacking boosts: platoon advantage and park factor 1.19x.
✗ No XBH 1 TB
Sal Stewart
SS
CIN CIN vs STL STL vs Matthew Liberatore 6:40 PM ET platoon temp confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Elite power numbers from Stewart: .300 ISO and a 111 mph max exit velo this season. Matthew Liberatore's last 3 starts show a 8% XBH rate — he's been hittable for power. Stacking boosts: platoon advantage and 75°F game-time temp.
✓ HR 4 TB
Munetaka Murakami
MM
CWS CWS vs CHC CHC vs Clay Holmes 2:20 PM ET platoon temp confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Murakami is one of the most dangerous power bats in baseball right now — .387 ISO with 114 mph max exit velo. Clay Holmes's last 3 starts show a 8% XBH rate — he's been hittable for power. Stacking boosts: platoon advantage and 75°F game-time temp.
✗ No XBH 0 TB
Recent Results (last 20 graded)
✗
Jordan Walker
Jordan Walker
2026-09-16 — STL STL vs SF SF
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Jared Young
Jared Young
2026-09-16 — NYM NYM vs BAL BAL
No XBH
1 TB
✗
Cole Young
Cole Young
2026-09-16 — SEA SEA vs LAA LAA
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Zach Neto
Zach Neto
2026-09-16 — LAA LAA vs SEA SEA
No XBH
2 TB
✗
Christian Walker
Christian Walker
2026-09-16 — HOU HOU vs KC KC
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Jordan Walker
Jordan Walker
2026-09-15 — STL STL vs SF SF
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Zach Neto
Zach Neto
2026-09-15 — LAA LAA vs SEA SEA
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Jackson Merrill
Jackson Merrill
2026-09-14 — SD SD vs COL COL
No XBH
3 TB
✗
Juan Soto
Juan Soto
2026-09-14 — NYM NYM vs BAL BAL
No XBH
1 TB
✗
Jared Young
Jared Young
2026-09-14 — NYM NYM vs BAL BAL
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Mickey Moniak
Mickey Moniak
2026-09-14 — COL COL vs SD SD
No XBH
0 TB
✓
Ian Happ
Ian Happ
2026-09-14 — CHC CHC vs ATL ATL
2B
2 TB
✗
Max Muncy
Max Muncy
2026-09-13 — ATH vs SEA SEA
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Munetaka Murakami
Munetaka Murakami
2026-09-13 — CWS CWS vs STL STL
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Ian Happ
Ian Happ
2026-09-13 — CHC CHC vs PIT PIT
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Jahmai Jones
Jahmai Jones
2026-09-13 — BOS BOS vs KC KC
No XBH
0 TB
✓
Mickey Moniak
Mickey Moniak
2026-09-13 — COL COL vs DET DET
2B
2 TB
✗
Brandon Lowe
Brandon Lowe
2026-09-12 — PIT PIT vs CHC CHC
No XBH
1 TB
✗
Oneil Cruz
Oneil Cruz
2026-09-12 — PIT PIT vs CHC CHC
No XBH
0 TB
✓
Ryan O'Hearn
Ryan O'Hearn
2026-09-12 — PIT PIT vs CHC CHC
HR
4 TB

Home Run Picks

BETA

Separate model — HR rate × pitcher xSLG × max exit velo. BOMB = base + boost (temp, pitcher form, or platoon).

BOMB
325-1401 (19%)
ELITE
54-250 (18%)
Byron Buxton
BB
MIN MIN vs ATL ATL vs AJ Smith-Shawver temp pitcher_form
HR prob
31%
✗ No HR
Eugenio Suárez
ES
CIN CIN vs STL STL vs Matthew Liberatore temp platoon
HR prob
30%
✗ No HR
Kyle Schwarber
KS
PHI PHI vs MIA MIA vs Sandy Alcantara temp platoon
HR prob
30%
✗ No HR
Wilyer Abreu
WA
BOS BOS vs AZ AZ vs Brandon Pfaadt temp platoon
HR prob
30%
✗ No HR
Sal Stewart
SS
CIN CIN vs STL STL vs Matthew Liberatore temp platoon
HR prob
30%
✓ HOME RUN!
Brandon Lowe
BL
PIT PIT vs DET DET vs Jackson Jobe temp pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
29%
✓ HOME RUN!
Kody Clemens
KC
MIN MIN vs ATL ATL vs AJ Smith-Shawver temp pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
29%
✗ No HR
Taylor Ward
TW
BAL BAL vs NYY NYY vs Will Warren temp pitcher_form
HR prob
28%
✗ No HR
Pete Alonso
PA
BAL BAL vs NYY NYY vs Will Warren temp pitcher_form
HR prob
28%
✓ HOME RUN!
Cal Raleigh
CR
SEA SEA vs MIL MIL vs Dustin May platoon
HR prob
27%
✗ No HR
Tyler O'Neill
TO
BAL BAL vs NYY NYY vs Will Warren temp pitcher_form
HR prob
25%
✗ No HR
Mickey Moniak
MM
COL COL vs LAD LAD vs Roki Sasaki platoon
HR prob
24%
✓ HOME RUN!
Bryce Harper
BH
PHI PHI vs MIA MIA vs Sandy Alcantara temp platoon
HR prob
24%
✗ No HR
Jorge Polanco
JP
NYM NYM vs SD SD vs Michael King temp platoon
HR prob
24%
Corbin Carroll
CC
AZ AZ vs BOS BOS vs Payton Tolle temp
HR prob
24%
✗ No HR
Max Muncy
MM
Max Muncy ELITE
LAD LAD vs COL COL vs Kyle Freeland
HR prob
27%
✗ No HR
Shohei Ohtani
SO
LAD LAD vs COL COL vs Kyle Freeland
HR prob
27%
✗ No HR
Junior Caminero
JC
TB TB vs TOR TOR vs Max Scherzer
HR prob
27%
✗ No HR
Hunter Goodman
HG
COL COL vs LAD LAD vs Roki Sasaki
HR prob
24%
Julio Rodríguez
JR
SEA SEA vs MIL MIL vs Dustin May
HR prob
21%
✗ No HR
Carson Williams
CW
TB TB vs TOR TOR vs Max Scherzer
HR prob
21%
How picks are filtered
2+ TB: ISO×pxSLG ≥ .100 + pitcher L3 XBH rate ≥ .08 + boost flag. ~48% XBH hit rate vs ~29% implied.
HR: HR rate ≥ .049 + pitcher xSLG ≥ .420 + max EV ≥ 101. BOMB = base + boost. ~27% HR vs ~20-25% implied.
LOCK LABS — Data In. Locks Out.
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