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DATA IN. LOCKS OUT.
Welcome to Lock Labs! Scores above 80 = strong pick · Tier S+ = elite · Tap any pick to see the breakdown.
BTS Single 126-71 (64.0%) · Streak: 2 · Parlay: 29-42 (40.8%) · S 10-7 (58.8%) · A 214-100 (68.2%) · B 2466-1321 (65.1%)

Power Plays

BETA

Highest conviction 2+ total base picks. LOCK tier only — pitcher form + boost required.

XBH Record
302-613 33%
2+ TB Record
379-536 41%
Graded
915 picks L2
← PREV 2026-08-22 NEXT →
Last scored 04:00 PM ET
Jared Young
JY
NYM NYM vs CWS CWS vs Luis Castillo 7:10 PM ET platoon temp confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Elite power numbers from Young: .302 ISO and a 114 mph max exit velo this season. Luis Castillo has allowed a 10% XBH rate over his last 3 starts — hitters are squaring him up for damage. Stacking boosts: platoon advantage and 76°F game-time temp.
✓ XBH 4 TB
Wilyer Abreu
WA
BOS BOS vs SF SF vs Blade Tidwell 7:15 PM ET platoon confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Abreu's .428 ISO puts him in the top tier of power hitters on today's slate. Blade Tidwell's last 3 starts show a 9% XBH rate — he's been hittable for power. Gets an extra edge from platoon advantage.
✗ No XBH 0 TB
Recent Results (last 20 graded)
✗
Jordan Walker
Jordan Walker
2026-09-16 — STL STL vs SF SF
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Jared Young
Jared Young
2026-09-16 — NYM NYM vs BAL BAL
No XBH
1 TB
✗
Cole Young
Cole Young
2026-09-16 — SEA SEA vs LAA LAA
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Zach Neto
Zach Neto
2026-09-16 — LAA LAA vs SEA SEA
No XBH
2 TB
✗
Christian Walker
Christian Walker
2026-09-16 — HOU HOU vs KC KC
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Jordan Walker
Jordan Walker
2026-09-15 — STL STL vs SF SF
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Zach Neto
Zach Neto
2026-09-15 — LAA LAA vs SEA SEA
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Jackson Merrill
Jackson Merrill
2026-09-14 — SD SD vs COL COL
No XBH
3 TB
✗
Juan Soto
Juan Soto
2026-09-14 — NYM NYM vs BAL BAL
No XBH
1 TB
✗
Jared Young
Jared Young
2026-09-14 — NYM NYM vs BAL BAL
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Mickey Moniak
Mickey Moniak
2026-09-14 — COL COL vs SD SD
No XBH
0 TB
✓
Ian Happ
Ian Happ
2026-09-14 — CHC CHC vs ATL ATL
2B
2 TB
✗
Max Muncy
Max Muncy
2026-09-13 — ATH vs SEA SEA
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Munetaka Murakami
Munetaka Murakami
2026-09-13 — CWS CWS vs STL STL
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Ian Happ
Ian Happ
2026-09-13 — CHC CHC vs PIT PIT
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Jahmai Jones
Jahmai Jones
2026-09-13 — BOS BOS vs KC KC
No XBH
0 TB
✓
Mickey Moniak
Mickey Moniak
2026-09-13 — COL COL vs DET DET
2B
2 TB
✗
Brandon Lowe
Brandon Lowe
2026-09-12 — PIT PIT vs CHC CHC
No XBH
1 TB
✗
Oneil Cruz
Oneil Cruz
2026-09-12 — PIT PIT vs CHC CHC
No XBH
0 TB
✓
Ryan O'Hearn
Ryan O'Hearn
2026-09-12 — PIT PIT vs CHC CHC
HR
4 TB

Home Run Picks

BETA

Separate model — HR rate × pitcher xSLG × max exit velo. BOMB = base + boost (temp, pitcher form, or platoon).

BOMB
325-1401 (19%)
ELITE
54-250 (18%)
Junior Caminero
JC
TB TB vs BAL BAL vs Brandon Young temp pitcher_form
HR prob
31%
✗ No HR
Kyle Stowers
KS
MIA MIA vs WSH WSH vs Jake Irvin pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
29%
Wilyer Abreu
WA
BOS BOS vs SF SF vs Blade Tidwell pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
26%
✗ No HR
Carson Williams
CW
TB TB vs BAL BAL vs Brandon Young temp pitcher_form
HR prob
25%
Gary Sánchez
GS
MIL MIL vs ATL ATL vs Martín Pérez platoon
HR prob
24%
Riley Greene
RG
DET DET vs KC KC vs Michael Wacha platoon
HR prob
24%
Spencer Torkelson
ST
DET DET vs KC KC vs Michael Wacha temp
HR prob
24%
✗ No HR
Christian Yelich
CY
MIL MIL vs ATL ATL vs Martín Pérez
HR prob
24%
✗ No HR
Jahmai Jones
JJ
Jahmai Jones ELITE
DET DET vs KC KC vs Michael Wacha
HR prob
21%
✗ No HR
How picks are filtered
2+ TB: ISO×pxSLG ≥ .100 + pitcher L3 XBH rate ≥ .08 + boost flag. ~48% XBH hit rate vs ~29% implied.
HR: HR rate ≥ .049 + pitcher xSLG ≥ .420 + max EV ≥ 101. BOMB = base + boost. ~27% HR vs ~20-25% implied.
LOCK LABS — Data In. Locks Out.
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