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DATA IN. LOCKS OUT.
Welcome to Lock Labs! Scores above 80 = strong pick · Tier S+ = elite · Tap any pick to see the breakdown.
BTS Single 126-71 (64.0%) · Streak: 2 · Parlay: 29-42 (40.8%) · S 10-7 (58.8%) · A 214-100 (68.2%) · B 2466-1321 (65.1%)

Power Plays

BETA

Highest conviction 2+ total base picks. LOCK tier only — pitcher form + boost required.

XBH Record
302-613 33%
2+ TB Record
379-536 41%
Graded
915 picks L2
← PREV 2026-08-23 NEXT →
Last scored 04:00 PM ET
Jared Young
JY
NYM NYM vs CWS CWS vs Sean Newcomb 2:10 PM ET temp confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Elite power numbers from Young: .302 ISO and a 114 mph max exit velo this season. Sean Newcomb's last 3 starts show a 8% XBH rate — he's been hittable for power. Gets an extra edge from 75°F game-time temp.
✗ No XBH 1 TB
Chase DeLauter
CD
CLE CLE vs COL COL vs Tomoyuki Sugano 3:10 PM ET platoon park temp confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Elite power numbers from DeLauter: .468 ISO and a 111 mph max exit velo this season. Tomoyuki Sugano has been getting crushed for extra-base hits — 12% XBH rate in his last 3 starts. Everything lines up: platoon advantage, park factor 1.19x, and 91°F game-time temp.
✓ XBH 7 TB
Recent Results (last 20 graded)
✗
Jordan Walker
Jordan Walker
2026-09-16 — STL STL vs SF SF
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Jared Young
Jared Young
2026-09-16 — NYM NYM vs BAL BAL
No XBH
1 TB
✗
Cole Young
Cole Young
2026-09-16 — SEA SEA vs LAA LAA
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Zach Neto
Zach Neto
2026-09-16 — LAA LAA vs SEA SEA
No XBH
2 TB
✗
Christian Walker
Christian Walker
2026-09-16 — HOU HOU vs KC KC
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Jordan Walker
Jordan Walker
2026-09-15 — STL STL vs SF SF
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Zach Neto
Zach Neto
2026-09-15 — LAA LAA vs SEA SEA
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Jackson Merrill
Jackson Merrill
2026-09-14 — SD SD vs COL COL
No XBH
3 TB
✗
Juan Soto
Juan Soto
2026-09-14 — NYM NYM vs BAL BAL
No XBH
1 TB
✗
Jared Young
Jared Young
2026-09-14 — NYM NYM vs BAL BAL
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Mickey Moniak
Mickey Moniak
2026-09-14 — COL COL vs SD SD
No XBH
0 TB
✓
Ian Happ
Ian Happ
2026-09-14 — CHC CHC vs ATL ATL
2B
2 TB
✗
Max Muncy
Max Muncy
2026-09-13 — ATH vs SEA SEA
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Munetaka Murakami
Munetaka Murakami
2026-09-13 — CWS CWS vs STL STL
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Ian Happ
Ian Happ
2026-09-13 — CHC CHC vs PIT PIT
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Jahmai Jones
Jahmai Jones
2026-09-13 — BOS BOS vs KC KC
No XBH
0 TB
✓
Mickey Moniak
Mickey Moniak
2026-09-13 — COL COL vs DET DET
2B
2 TB
✗
Brandon Lowe
Brandon Lowe
2026-09-12 — PIT PIT vs CHC CHC
No XBH
1 TB
✗
Oneil Cruz
Oneil Cruz
2026-09-12 — PIT PIT vs CHC CHC
No XBH
0 TB
✓
Ryan O'Hearn
Ryan O'Hearn
2026-09-12 — PIT PIT vs CHC CHC
HR
4 TB

Home Run Picks

BETA

Separate model — HR rate × pitcher xSLG × max exit velo. BOMB = base + boost (temp, pitcher form, or platoon).

BOMB
325-1401 (19%)
ELITE
54-250 (18%)
Jo Adell
JA
Jo Adell BOMB
CLE CLE vs COL COL vs Tomoyuki Sugano temp pitcher_form
HR prob
31%
✗ No HR
Shohei Ohtani
SO
LAD LAD vs PIT PIT vs Lake Bachar temp platoon
HR prob
30%
✗ No HR
Byron Buxton
BB
MIN MIN vs SD SD vs Walker Buehler temp
HR prob
30%
✗ No HR
Cal Raleigh
CR
SEA SEA vs CHC CHC vs Shota Imanaga pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
29%
✗ No HR
Michael Busch
MB
CHC CHC vs SEA SEA vs Bryce Miller pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
29%
✗ No HR
Max Muncy
MM
Max Muncy BOMB
LAD LAD vs PIT PIT vs Lake Bachar temp platoon
HR prob
27%
✗ No HR
Kody Clemens
KC
MIN MIN vs SD SD vs Walker Buehler temp platoon
HR prob
27%
✗ No HR
José Ramírez
JR
CLE CLE vs COL COL vs Tomoyuki Sugano pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
26%
Julio Rodríguez
JR
SEA SEA vs CHC CHC vs Shota Imanaga pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
23%
✗ No HR
Pete Crow-Armstrong
PC
CHC CHC vs SEA SEA vs Bryce Miller pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
23%
✓ HOME RUN!
Mike Trout
MT
Mike Trout ELITE
LAA LAA vs TEX TEX vs Cal Quantrill
HR prob
27%
✗ No HR
Zach Neto
ZN
Zach Neto ELITE
LAA LAA vs TEX TEX vs Cal Quantrill
HR prob
24%
✓ HOME RUN!
Corey Seager
CS
Corey Seager ELITE
TEX TEX vs LAA LAA vs Yusei Kikuchi
HR prob
21%
✗ No HR
How picks are filtered
2+ TB: ISO×pxSLG ≥ .100 + pitcher L3 XBH rate ≥ .08 + boost flag. ~48% XBH hit rate vs ~29% implied.
HR: HR rate ≥ .049 + pitcher xSLG ≥ .420 + max EV ≥ 101. BOMB = base + boost. ~27% HR vs ~20-25% implied.
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