LOCK LABS — Power Plays

BTS Single 126-71 (64.0%) · Streak: 2 · Parlay: 29-42 (40.8%) · S 10-7 (58.8%) · A 214-99 (68.4%) · B 2453-1313 (65.1%)

Power Plays

BETA

Highest conviction 2+ total base picks. LOCK tier only — pitcher form + boost required.

XBH Record

302-609 33%

2+ TB Record

378-533 41%

Graded

911 picks L3

← PREV 2026-09-05 NEXT →

Last scored 04:00 PM ET

Drake Baldwin LOCK

ATL vs PHI

PHI vs Zack Wheeler 6:05 PM ET platoon temp confirmed

XBH Prob

48%

Awaiting lines

Baldwin is one of the most dangerous power bats in baseball right now — .325 ISO with 113 mph max exit velo. Zack Wheeler's last 3 starts show a 8% XBH rate — he's been hittable for power. Stacking boosts: platoon advantage and 79°F game-time temp.

✓ 2+ TB 2 TB

Recent Results (last 20 graded)

✗

Jordan Walker

2026-09-16 — STL

STL vs

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Jordan Walker

2026-09-15 — STL

STL vs

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Zach Neto

2026-09-15 — LAA

LAA vs

SEA

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Jackson Merrill

2026-09-14 —

SD vs

COL

No XBH

3 TB

✗

Juan Soto

2026-09-14 — NYM

NYM vs

BAL

No XBH

1 TB

✗

Jared Young

2026-09-14 — NYM

NYM vs

BAL

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Mickey Moniak

2026-09-14 — COL

COL vs

No XBH

0 TB

✓

Ian Happ

2026-09-14 — CHC

CHC vs

ATL

2 TB

✗

Max Muncy

2026-09-13 — ATH vs SEA

SEA

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Munetaka Murakami

2026-09-13 — CWS

CWS vs

STL

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Ian Happ

2026-09-13 — CHC

CHC vs

PIT

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Jahmai Jones

2026-09-13 — BOS

BOS vs

No XBH

0 TB

✓

Mickey Moniak

2026-09-13 — COL

COL vs

DET

2 TB

✗

Brandon Lowe

2026-09-12 — PIT

PIT vs

CHC

No XBH

1 TB

✗

Oneil Cruz

2026-09-12 — PIT

PIT vs

CHC

No XBH

0 TB

✓

Ryan O'Hearn

2026-09-12 — PIT

PIT vs

CHC

4 TB

✗

Munetaka Murakami

2026-09-12 — CWS

CWS vs

STL

No XBH

1 TB

✓

Drake Baldwin

2026-09-11 — ATL

ATL vs

PHI

3 TB

✗

Chase DeLauter

2026-09-11 — CLE

CLE vs

MIN

No XBH

0 TB

✓

Wilyer Abreu

2026-09-11 — BOS

BOS vs

3 TB

Home Run Picks

BETA

Separate model — HR rate × pitcher xSLG × max exit velo. BOMB = base + boost (temp, pitcher form, or platoon).

BOMB

325-1395 (19%)

ELITE

53-249 (18%)

Daulton Varsho BOMB

TOR vs

KC vs Seth Lugo temp pitcher_form platoon

HR prob

32%

✗ No HR

George Springer BOMB

TOR vs

KC vs Seth Lugo temp pitcher_form

HR prob

31%

✗ No HR

Eugenio Suárez BOMB

CIN vs MIL

MIL vs Dustin May temp pitcher_form

HR prob

31%

✗ No HR

Sal Stewart BOMB

CIN vs MIL

MIL vs Dustin May temp pitcher_form

HR prob

31%

✗ No HR

Juan Soto BOMB

NYM vs

SF vs Anthony Molina temp platoon

HR prob

30%

✗ No HR

Kyle Schwarber BOMB

PHI vs ATL

ATL vs Martín Pérez temp

HR prob

30%

✓ HOME RUN!

Cal Raleigh BOMB

SEA vs ATH vs Jeffrey Springs pitcher_form platoon

HR prob

29%

✗ No HR

Vinnie Pasquantino BOMB

KC vs

TOR vs Max Scherzer temp pitcher_form platoon

HR prob

29%

✗ No HR

Hunter Goodman BOMB

COL vs STL

STL vs Matthew Liberatore temp pitcher_form platoon

HR prob

29%

✗ No HR

Michael Busch BOMB

CHC vs MIA

MIA vs Ryan Gusto platoon

HR prob

27%

✗ No HR

Bryce Harper BOMB

PHI vs ATL

ATL vs Martín Pérez temp

HR prob

27%

✗ No HR

Carter Jensen BOMB

KC vs

TOR vs Max Scherzer temp pitcher_form platoon

HR prob

26%

✗ No HR

Salvador Perez BOMB

KC vs

TOR vs Max Scherzer temp pitcher_form

HR prob

25%

✗ No HR

Julio Rodríguez BOMB

SEA vs ATH vs Jeffrey Springs pitcher_form platoon

HR prob

23%

✗ No HR

Pete Crow-Armstrong BOMB

CHC vs MIA

MIA vs Ryan Gusto platoon

HR prob

21%

✗ No HR

How picks are filtered

2+ TB: ISO×pxSLG ≥ .100 + pitcher L3 XBH rate ≥ .08 + boost flag. ~48% XBH hit rate vs ~29% implied.

HR: HR rate ≥ .049 + pitcher xSLG ≥ .420 + max EV ≥ 101. BOMB = base + boost. ~27% HR vs ~20-25% implied.

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