LOCK LABS — Power Plays

BTS Single 127-72 (63.8%) · Streak: 0 · Parlay: 29-43 (40.3%) · S 10-7 (58.8%) · A 220-104 (67.9%) · B 2515-1336 (65.3%)

Power Plays

BETA

Highest conviction 2+ total base picks. LOCK tier only — pitcher form + boost required.

XBH Record

310-626 33%

2+ TB Record

388-548 41%

Graded

936 picks L2

← PREV 2026-09-18 NEXT →

Last scored 04:00 PM ET

Brandon Lowe LOCK

PIT vs

KC vs Randy Dobnak 6:40 PM ET platoon temp confirmed

XBH Prob

48%

Awaiting lines

Elite power numbers from Lowe: .366 ISO and a 111 mph max exit velo this season. Randy Dobnak's last 3 starts show a 8% XBH rate — he's been hittable for power. Stacking boosts: platoon advantage and 75°F game-time temp.

✓ HR 4 TB

Chase DeLauter LOCK

CLE vs ATH vs Mason Barnett 7:10 PM ET platoon confirmed

XBH Prob

48%

Awaiting lines

Elite power numbers from DeLauter: .468 ISO and a 111 mph max exit velo this season. Mason Barnett has been getting crushed for extra-base hits — 14% XBH rate in his last 3 starts. Gets an extra edge from platoon advantage.

✗ No XBH 1 TB

Recent Results (last 20 graded)

✗

Ian Happ

2026-09-19 — CHC

CHC vs

CIN

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Sal Stewart

2026-09-19 — CIN

CIN vs

CHC

No XBH

0 TB

✓

Drake Baldwin

2026-09-19 — ATL

ATL vs

HOU

4 TB

✗

Yordan Alvarez

2026-09-19 — HOU

HOU vs

ATL

No XBH

1 TB

✓

Carter Jensen

2026-09-19 —

KC vs

PIT

4 TB

✗

Matt Olson

2026-09-19 — ATL

ATL vs

HOU

No XBH

2 TB

✗

Zach Neto

2026-09-19 — LAA

LAA vs

MIN

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Munetaka Murakami

2026-09-19 — CWS

CWS vs

DET

No XBH

1 TB

✓

Brandon Lowe

2026-09-18 — PIT

PIT vs

4 TB

✗

Chase DeLauter

2026-09-18 — CLE

CLE vs ATH

No XBH

1 TB

✓

Oneil Cruz

2026-09-18 — PIT

PIT vs

4 TB

✗

Ryan O'Hearn

2026-09-18 — PIT

PIT vs

No XBH

0 TB

✓

Sal Stewart

2026-09-17 — CIN

CIN vs

LAD

5 TB

✓

Brandon Lowe

2026-09-17 — PIT

PIT vs

MIL

2 TB

✗

Juan Soto

2026-09-17 — NYM

NYM vs

PHI

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Jared Young

2026-09-17 — NYM

NYM vs

PHI

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Oneil Cruz

2026-09-17 — PIT

PIT vs

MIL

No XBH

1 TB

✗

Zach Neto

2026-09-17 — LAA

LAA vs

MIN

No XBH

0 TB

✓

Yordan Alvarez

2026-09-17 — HOU

HOU vs

5 TB

✗

Kyle Schwarber

2026-09-17 — PHI

PHI vs

NYM

No XBH

0 TB

Home Run Picks

BETA

Separate model — HR rate × pitcher xSLG × max exit velo. BOMB = base + boost (temp, pitcher form, or platoon).

BOMB

330-1421 (19%)

ELITE

57-253 (18%)

Brandon Lowe BOMB

PIT vs

KC vs Randy Dobnak temp pitcher_form platoon

HR prob

32%

✓ HOME RUN!

Daulton Varsho BOMB

TOR vs TEX

TEX vs Kumar Rocker pitcher_form platoon

HR prob

29%

✗ No HR

Aaron Judge BOMB

NYY vs

AZ vs Eduardo Rodriguez platoon

HR prob

27%

Pete Alonso BOMB

BAL vs MIL

MIL vs Dustin May temp

HR prob

27%

✓ HOME RUN!

Kyle Stowers BOMB

MIA vs

SD vs Nick Pivetta platoon

HR prob

24%

✗ No HR

Jazz Chisholm Jr. ELITE

NYY vs

AZ vs Eduardo Rodriguez

HR prob

27%

Taylor Ward ELITE

BAL vs MIL

MIL vs Dustin May

HR prob

24%

Cody Bellinger ELITE

NYY vs

AZ vs Eduardo Rodriguez

HR prob

21%

✗ No HR

Austin Wells ELITE

NYY vs

AZ vs Eduardo Rodriguez

HR prob

21%

✗ No HR

Ben Rice ELITE

NYY vs

AZ vs Eduardo Rodriguez

HR prob

21%

✓ HOME RUN!

How picks are filtered

2+ TB: ISO×pxSLG ≥ .100 + pitcher L3 XBH rate ≥ .08 + boost flag. ~48% XBH hit rate vs ~29% implied.

HR: HR rate ≥ .049 + pitcher xSLG ≥ .420 + max EV ≥ 101. BOMB = base + boost. ~27% HR vs ~20-25% implied.

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