LOCK LABS — Power Plays

BTS Single 89-52 (63.1%) · Streak: 0 · Parlay: 23-32 (41.8%) · S 8-5 (61.5%) · A 165-75 (68.8%) · B 1714-906 (65.4%)

Power Plays

BETA

Highest conviction 2+ total base picks. LOCK tier only — pitcher form + boost required.

XBH Record

213-400 35%

2+ TB Record

268-345 44%

Graded

613 picks W1

← PREV 2026-05-30 NEXT →

Last scored 04:00 PM ET

Matt Olson LOCK

ATL vs CIN

CIN vs Brady Singer 7:15 PM ET platoon confirmed

XBH Prob

48%

Awaiting lines

Elite power numbers from Olson: .290 ISO and a 112 mph max exit velo this season. Brady Singer has been getting crushed for extra-base hits — 16% XBH rate in his last 3 starts. Gets an extra edge from platoon advantage.

✓ HR 4 TB

Yordan Alvarez LOCK

HOU vs MIL

MIL vs Brandon Sproat 4:10 PM ET platoon confirmed

XBH Prob

48%

Awaiting lines

Elite power numbers from Alvarez: .500 ISO and a 118 mph max exit velo this season. Brandon Sproat's last 3 starts show a 8% XBH rate — he's been hittable for power. Gets an extra edge from platoon advantage.

✓ XBH 3 TB

Drake Baldwin LOCK

ATL vs CIN

CIN vs Brady Singer 7:15 PM ET platoon confirmed

XBH Prob

48%

Awaiting lines

Baldwin is one of the most dangerous power bats in baseball right now — .325 ISO with 111 mph max exit velo. Brady Singer has been getting crushed for extra-base hits — 16% XBH rate in his last 3 starts. Gets an extra edge from platoon advantage.

Recent Results (last 20 graded)

✗

Yordan Alvarez

2026-07-24 — HOU

HOU vs

CWS

No XBH

1 TB

✗

CJ Abrams

2026-07-24 — WSH

WSH vs

No XBH

2 TB

✗

Corbin Carroll

2026-07-24 —

AZ vs

WSH

No XBH

1 TB

✗

Juan Soto

2026-07-24 — NYM

NYM vs

LAD

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Luis García Jr.

2026-07-24 — WSH

WSH vs

No XBH

0 TB

✓

Andy Pages

2026-07-24 — LAD

LAD vs

NYM

3 TB

✓

Freddie Freeman

2026-07-24 — LAD

LAD vs

NYM

4 TB

✗

Jose Altuve

2026-07-24 — HOU

HOU vs

CWS

No XBH

3 TB

✓

Kyle Schwarber

2026-07-24 — PHI

PHI vs

NYY

2 TB

✓

Munetaka Murakami

2026-07-24 — CWS

CWS vs

HOU

2 TB

✓

Jared Young

2026-07-24 — NYM

NYM vs

LAD

3 TB

✓

Christian Walker

2026-07-24 — HOU

HOU vs

CWS

2 TB

✗

Chase DeLauter

2026-07-23 — CLE

CLE vs

MIN

No XBH

0 TB

✓

Drake Baldwin

2026-07-23 — ATL

ATL vs

4 TB

✗

Matt Olson

2026-07-23 — ATL

ATL vs

No XBH

0 TB

✓

Corbin Carroll

2026-07-23 —

AZ vs

STL

3 TB

✗

Chase DeLauter

2026-07-22 — CLE

CLE vs

MIN

No XBH

1 TB

✗

Andy Pages

2026-07-22 — LAD

LAD vs

PHI

No XBH

1 TB

✓

Zach Neto

2026-07-22 — LAA

LAA vs

STL

2 TB

✓

Jackson Merrill

2026-07-22 —

SD vs

ATL

5 TB

Home Run Picks

BETA

Separate model — HR rate × pitcher xSLG × max exit velo. BOMB = base + boost (temp, pitcher form, or platoon).

BOMB

247-994 (20%)

ELITE

40-192 (17%)

Eugenio Suárez BOMB

CIN vs ATL

ATL vs Martín Pérez platoon

HR prob

27%

✗ No HR

Kyle Schwarber BOMB

PHI vs LAD

LAD vs Roki Sasaki platoon

HR prob

27%

✗ No HR

Daulton Varsho BOMB

TOR vs BAL

BAL vs Brandon Young platoon

HR prob

27%

✗ No HR

Sal Stewart BOMB

CIN vs ATL

ATL vs Martín Pérez platoon

HR prob

27%

✗ No HR

Bryce Harper BOMB

PHI vs LAD

LAD vs Roki Sasaki platoon

HR prob

24%

✗ No HR

Brandon Lowe BOMB

PIT vs MIN

MIN vs Bailey Ober platoon

HR prob

24%

✗ No HR

Vinnie Pasquantino BOMB

KC vs

TEX vs Kumar Rocker platoon

HR prob

24%

✗ No HR

Carter Jensen BOMB

KC vs

TEX vs Kumar Rocker platoon

HR prob

24%

✓ HOME RUN!

James Wood BOMB

WSH vs

SD vs Michael King platoon

HR prob

21%

✗ No HR

Salvador Perez ELITE

KC vs

TEX vs Kumar Rocker

HR prob

24%

✗ No HR

George Springer ELITE

TOR vs BAL

BAL vs Brandon Young

HR prob

24%

✗ No HR

Will Benson ELITE

CIN vs ATL

ATL vs Martín Pérez

HR prob

24%

Davis Schneider ELITE

TOR vs BAL

BAL vs Brandon Young

HR prob

24%

Joey Wiemer ELITE

WSH vs

SD vs Michael King

HR prob

21%

How picks are filtered

2+ TB: ISO×pxSLG ≥ .100 + pitcher L3 XBH rate ≥ .08 + boost flag. ~48% XBH hit rate vs ~29% implied.

HR: HR rate ≥ .049 + pitcher xSLG ≥ .420 + max EV ≥ 101. BOMB = base + boost. ~27% HR vs ~20-25% implied.

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